Last Updated on October 27, 2022 9:35 pm by Erwin Noguera
The UFC Apex in Las Vegas is getting ready for one more exciting fight night to take place, as we get a fight card with a lot of up-and-comers and veteran talent to showcase.
This will be the fight card to finish the month of October and it seems like it will be a banger.
The event will have only 11 fights, which is a little low than what we are used to getting, but that does not mean that the quality of the bouts is any lower at all.
The main event has two excellent Flyweights contenders in Calvin Kattar and Arnold Allen, who are looking towards making it to the very top of the weight class and getting their shot at the title.
The co-main event sees a rising talent facing a seasoned veteran when Max Griffin meets with Tim Means in a Welterweight bout.
With 5 fights in the main card and 6 more on the prelims, there is a lot to enjoy out of this exciting fight card.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in this fight.
UFC Fight Night – Kattar vs. Allen – Betting Odds and Free Picks – Info
When: Saturday, October 29th, at 4:00 pm ET
Calvin Kattar -125 / Arnold Allen +105
Tim Means +150 / Max Griffin -180
Waldo Cortes-Acosta -195 / Jared Vanderaa +165
Tresean Gore +160 / Josh Fremd -190
Dustin Jacoby -170 / Khalil Rountree +145
Roman Dolidze +140 / Phil Hawes -165
Andrei Arlovski +155 / Marcos Rogério de Lima -185
Joseph Holmes +200 / Jun Yong Park -240
Chase Hooper -220 / Steve Garcia +180
Cody Durden +150 / Carlos Mota -175
Joshua Weems +300 / Christian Rodriguez -365
UFC Fight Night: Calvin Kattar vs. Arnold Allen
Why Bet on Calvin Kattar
Calvin Kattar is the No. 5 ranked featherweight contender and will try to bounce back from a split-decision loss to Josh Emmett in June.
Kattar also headlined the first UFC card of this year when he easily outpointed Giga Chikadze as an underdog.
Despite a background as an outstanding high school wrestler, Kattar prefers to keep things standing up with his crisp boxing and vicious elbows.
“The Boston Finisher” has lived up to his nickname, with four of his last six wins coming via KO/TKO.
Why Bet on Arnold Allen
“Almighty” Arnold Allen is on an 11-fight winning streak, including nine straight victories in the UFC.
Allen is coming off the best performance of his career in March when he knocked out Dan Hooker in the first round to claim a Performance of the Night bonus.
The 28-year-old is a well-rounded fighter that combines technical kickboxing ability with solid wrestling and forward pressure.
Calvin Kattar vs. Arnold Allen Final Betting Analysis:
Allen’s best chance of success will come from trying to implement his grappling but Kattar is a very strong defensive wrestler with a 91% takedown defense.
With Kalvin capable of keeping this fight standing up, he should have the advantage.
Arnold’s not always busy enough on his feet and has never been in a fight scheduled for more than three rounds.
Kattar is a high-volume striker and his last four fights have gone the full 25 minutes and are very steady in his output.
We saw Allen fade in the third round against Sodiq Yusuff last year and that could prove to be the deciding factor in this five-round main event.
UFC Fight Night: Tim Means vs. Max Griffin
Why Bet on Tim Means
Means joined the UFC in February 2012, but his experience with the organization has been rocky up to this point.
However, he has fought some of the finest competitors in the division, including Belal Muhammed, Neil Magny, and Jorge Masvidal. Each one resulting in a decision loss.
Means has been formidable but never able to turn the corner.
Tim does have the advantage going into this fight in terms of significant strikes landed per minute and taking fewer shots in the stand-up game.
He does, however, trail on the ground, a flaw in his game that a skilled opposition might exploit.
Why Bet on Max Griffin
Griffin debuted in the UFC in August 2016 and lost (by KO) to Colby Covington, which launched a journey that has since yielded inconsistent outcomes.
Griffin had won three straight before his most recent split decision loss to Neil Magny in March and comes into this one 6-7 in the UFC.
Tim Means vs. Max Griffin Final Betting Analysis:
Griffin has the advantage in every contested area here.
Even though he falls short in terms of striking volume, he excels in terms of knockdown average per 15 minutes and striking accuracy.
He also dominates his opponent in grappling, having the advantage in the average number of takedowns, submissions, and takedown defense.
Means’ vulnerability has been on the ground, where he has lost both of his losses in the last five fights.
Now Griffin enters the picture, bringing advantages in all areas of grappling, so that is an easy pick.
UFC Fight Night: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Jared Vanderaa
Why Bet on Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Cortes-Acosta is coming off an impressive first-round KO on Dana White’s Contender Series in August of this year.
With a lot of power in his hands, along with making improvements every time in the cage, Cortes-Acosta is primed and ready to make a big splash in the UFC heavyweight division.
Why Bet on Jared Vanderaa
Vanderaa is riding a really unfortunate 4-fight losing streak going into this bout against a dangerous debutant.
This is probably going to be his last chance to make a statement to stay in the company.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Jared Vanderaa Final Betting Analysis:
Cortes-Acosta is a brawler. What he lacks in technical striking skill, he makes up for with heart and power.
The heavyweight will come out ready to throw bombs with his hands and put Vanderaa to sleep in the first round.
This is a perfect matchup for him to ease his way into the UFC and continue to get better.
UFC Fight Night: Tresean Gore vs. Josh Fremd
Why Bet on Tresean Gore
It hasn’t been an easy road to the UFC for Gore, and to date, he hasn’t capitalized on his opportunity.
He lost to Bryan Battle by decision before being knocked out by Cody Brundage in July.
The first-round knockout wasn’t a good look for Gore, who broke down crying at the press conference.
He’s trying to see the positives in losing, but we’re not sure he’s mentally prepared for this level of fighting.
Why Bet on Josh Fremd
Expectations were high for Fremd, who entered the UFC with some excellent wins under his belt in LFA.
The American defeated Renato Valente to earn his contract and feature on the UFC 273 card.
However, he was soundly beaten by Anthony Hernandez and he needs to be better.
Tresean Gore vs. Josh Fremd Final Betting Analysis:
Fremd is facing an easier fighter in Gore, but he needs to show the same form that saw him knock out Bruno Oliviera and Antonio Jones.
The 28-year-old appears to be the more disciplined fighter inside and outside the Octagon.
Gore has faced some personal battles, which he has overcome, but it’s not an ideal situation for him, and it might serve Fremd the victory.
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Khalil Rountree
Why Bet on Dustin Jacoby
The light heavyweight division is in good stead and that’s evident by the likes of Jacoby, who is 18-5-1 and coming off a first-round knockout win over Da Un Jung.
The 34-year-old hasn’t lost in the UFC since 2012 after getting cut following an 0-2 start.
However, since returning, he has posted wins over Justin Ledet, Darren Stewart, John Allan, and Jung.
Why Bet on Khalil Rountree
It was hard not to be impressed with Rountree’s second-round knockout of Karl Roberson in March. Despite Roberson not being much of an opponent, it was good to see Rountree’s power at full force.
The 32-year-old Californian has now won consecutive fights after beating Modestas Bukauskas last year.
It also came by a second-round KO, so he has found the recipe for success.
Dustin Jacoby vs. Khalil Rountree Final Betting Analysis:
Rountree has a slight advantage in power over Jacoby and could end his opponent’s night with a well-placed shot.
If the fight goes to the ground, things suggest Jacoby will have a slight advantage over Rountree, but he is not one to actively hunt the submission.
This fight takes place on the feet, and it should be a barn burner.
Our pick is placed on Jacoby, but he needs to keep clear of Roundtree’s power shots.
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Phil Hawes
Why Bet on Roman Dolidze
Georgia’s Roman Dolidze (10-1) picked up a pair of UFC victories before suffering his first-ever defeat at the hands of Trevin Giles.
He’s since gotten back on track with another two wins, among them a 73-second bonus-winning knockout of Kyle Daukaus in May 2022.
Why Bet on Phil Hawes
Four consecutive first-round finishes, including a 78-second knockout of Khadzhimurat Bestaev on Contender Series, earned Phil Hawes (12-3) a long-awaited Octagon berth in 2020.
He currently sits at 4-1 in the world’s largest fight promotion and was last seen brutalizing Deron Winn to earn his second “Performance of the Night” bonus.
Roman Dolidze vs. Phil Hawes Final Betting Analysis:
This should be something of a graduation exam for Hawes.
His cardio and durability have long been his biggest bugbears, and though Dolidze is outclassed virtually everywhere, he’s persistent and powerful enough to trip Hawes up if he’s not firing on all cylinders.
That said, Hawes has such a massive edge in the striking technique that it’s hard to pick against him, especially when he has the wrestling pedigree to avoid a smothering.
Unless Dolidze lands an out-of-nowhere bomb like the one that broke Daukaus, expected Hawes to carve him up for another mid-round stoppage.
UFC Fight Night: Andrei Arlovski vs. Marcos Rogério de Lima
Why Bet on Andrei Arlovski
Just three years removed from a 3-8 (1 NC) freefall, the ageless Andrei Arlovski (34-20) now finds himself 6-1 in his last seven fights.
His 2022 campaign has already seen him claim split decisions over Jared Vanderaa and Jake Collier.
Why Bet on Marcos Rogério de Lima
Last year, Marcos Rogerio de Lima (19-8-1) put together his first two-fight win streak since 2014 with a decision over Maurice Greene and a knockout of Ben Rothwell.
The fun wasn’t to last, as he subsequently dropped a competitive decision to Blagoy Ivanov.
He’s scored 14 knockouts as a professional.
Andrei Arlovski vs. Marcos Rogério de Lima Final Betting Analysis:
How many times now have we seen the new old Arlovski “veteran savvy” his way past big punchers that should have knocked his block off?
It seems like “Pezao” is a prime candidate, too; the man’s made an art form of completely falling apart when he can’t find the early finish.
Rogerio de Lima is a dead fish off of his back, but his takedown defense held up for a remarkably long time against Ivanov.
If the Brazilian lands even a fraction of the power shots he connected with that evening, Arlovski’s going to sleep in a hurry, but we expect the old veteran fighter to continue his current streak.
UFC Fight Night: Joseph Holmes vs. Jun Yong Park
Why Bet on Joseph Holmes
Though the Contender Series victory for Joseph Holmes (8-2) didn’t earn him a UFC contract, his subsequent knockout of Jhonoven Pati on Lookin’ for a Fight did the trick.
Jamie Pickett proved too high a bar to clear in his Octagon debut, but a dominant finish of Alen Amedovski got “Ugly Man Joe” back in the win column.
All of his professional wins have come inside the distance, six via submission.
Why Bet on Jun Yong Park
Jun Yong Park (14-5) bounced back from a debut loss to Anthony Hernandez with three straight wins, only to fall short in a Fight of the Night war with Gregory Rodrigues.
Undeterred, he subsequently kicked off his 2022 efforts with a split decision over Eryk Anders.
Joseph Holmes vs. Jun Yong Park Final Betting Analysis:
Holmes does have the means to give Park issues.
Besides the obvious height and reach advantages, his solid top game is a good weapon to use against someone better at getting off of his back than at stopping takedowns in the first place.
For all his skills, Park can let fights get away from him.
Still, losing to Jamie Pickett is about as big a red flag as you can find in today’s UFC Middleweight division.
Park is the more proven product, the more dangerous striker, and has some solid wrestling chops of his own, so he gets the nod.
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Steve Garcia
Why Bet on Chase Hooper
Chase Hooper (11-2-1) entered the Octagon undefeated before splitting his first four bouts.
A nearly 12-month layoff followed, which he ended with a career-best wipeout of Felipe Colares in May 2022.
“The Dream” has submitted five professional foes and knocked out another four.
Why Bet on Steve Garcia
More than 19 months after losing his UFC debut against Luis Pena, Steve Garcia (12-5) scored his first Octagon victory with a ground-and-pound finish to Charlie Ontiveros.
Then came fellow Contender Series veteran Maheshate, who stopped “Mean Machine” with punches just 74 seconds into the fight.
Chase Hooper vs. Steve Garcia Final Betting Analysis:
Garcia’s tendency to fall over himself when throwing was on full display against Ontiveros, who dropped him early before collapsing, and Maheshate, who just straight-up pasted him.
This inability to maintain distance is an awful shortcoming to have against Hooper, who can convert a tie-up into a dominant position even without much in the way of actual wrestling skills.
While Garcia’s size and power admittedly give him an edge on the feet, his lack of discipline will give Hooper far too many opportunities to drag the fight into his wheelhouse.
Hooper racks up ground-and-pound until the ref intervenes.
UFC Fight Night: Cody Durden vs. Carlos Mota
Why Bet on Cody Durden
After starting his professional career 4-2, Cody Durden (13-4) worked his way to the Octagon with a seven-fight winning streak.
His UFC record currently sits at 2-2-1, including a brutal finish of J.P. Buys in his most recent effort.
Why Bet on Carlos Mota
The first bid at LFA Flyweight gold saw Carlos Mota (8-1) fall to Charles Johnson in the fifth round of one of 2022’s best wars.
He made a second attempt seven months later, smashing Rizvan Abuev with a one-punch knockout to earn the strap in Aug. 2022.
Cody Durden vs. Carlos Mota Final Betting Analysis:
The pivotal question here is whether Durden can consistently take Mota down.
Even with Durden’s obvious striking improvements of late, Mota’s power, aggression, and wilting body attack pose huge issues for someone this prone to fading down the stretch.
The longer it stays standing, the more one-sided it will get in “Tizil’s” favor.
Mota should have the grappling chops to survive Durden’s early takedown attack and has shown the grit and cardio necessary to take over once Durden starts to slow.
A late snowball carries Mota to victory.
UFC Fight Night: Joshua Weems vs. Christian Rodriguez
Why Bet on Joshua Weems
Joshua comes into the UFC to make his debut on short notice, and he comes in from two submission victories in a row.
Why Bet on Christian Rodriguez
CeeRod is looking to get back into the win column after the defeat he got on his UFC Debut.
The young fighter is looking to make a statement in this match, and it seems like he has the most people behind him for his fight.
Joshua Weems vs. Christian Rodriguez Final Betting Analysis:
For this fight there is little to analyze, these are two young and up-coming fighters who are early in their UFC career, but things heavily favor CeeRod, due to his defensive wrestling.
If he can manage to defend the takedown, he will be likely to outstrike Weems and make some damage.
Kattar vs. Allen Betting Pick: Calvin Kattar
Means vs. Griffin Betting Pick: Max Griffin
Cortes-Acosta vs. Vanderaa Betting Pick: Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Gore vs. Fremd Betting Pick: Josh Fremd
Jacoby vs. Rountree Betting Pick: Dustin Jacoby
Dolidze vs. Hawes Betting Pick: Phil Hawes
Arlovski vs. De Lima Betting Pick: Andrei Arlovski
Holmes vs. Park Betting Pick: Jun Yong Park
Hooper vs. Garcia Betting Pick: Chase Hooper
Durden vs. Mota Betting Pick: Carlos Mota
Weems vs. Rodriguez Betting Pick: Christian Rodriguez