Week 11 includes three games that will begin to shape the path to the Playoffs. Two of them are divisional duels and the other is a classic collision in the AFC.
Let’s see case by case:
Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Eagles (7-2) lead the NFC East Division, but the Commanders (7-3) want to retake first place in the group with a victory this Thursday Night in Philadelphia.
Eagles have dominated Washington in recent years with five wins in the last six, including two at home.
But the Commanders are a completely different franchise from the moment they drafted Jayden Daniels with the second overall pick in the 2024 Draft. Daniels has improved week by week and is the reason why many experts consider Washington to be a contender in the NFC.
The Commanders are 5-1 against NFC opponents this season, with their only loss coming in Week 1 to Tampa Bay.
The big question in this game, though, is whether Washington’s defense can contain Saquon Barkley, who has 991 rushing yards and six touchdowns.
Pick: Eagles 27-24 Commanders
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Since coach Mike Tomlin decided to make a change at quarterback prior to Week 8, the Steelers have slowly undergone a metamorphosis from pretenders to contenders.
It’s the effect of having a rejuvenated Russell Wilson in charge of the offense. After he lost value in just two years in Denver, was traded to Pittsburgh and had to wait patiently on the sidelines while Justin Fields began the regular season as QB1.
Fields didn’t do badly, and so Tomlin’s decision wasn’t the most popular, but today no one is calling for Fields’ return.
Wilson had his best game with the Steelers last week in Washington, where he passed for 195 yards and three touchdowns, including the game-winning touchdown with his signature 32-yard rainbow to newly acquired Mike Williams.
Wilson made a reputation in Seattle as one of the best quarterbacks when it came to throwing the bomb, and it seems he’s regained that superpower.
On Sunday, the Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens, which many consider the best team in the AFC North.
However, Pittsburgh is not impressed with Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. The Steelers have won seven of the last eight in this rivalry, including three at home.
The Ravens’ only win in that span came at Pittsburgh in the 2022 season.
Pick: Steelers 24-20 Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
The NFL’s only undefeated team, the Chiefs, travel to Buffalo to face the hot-headed Bills in a heavyweight battle whose winner could end up with the top seed in the AFC and play the entire postseason at home.
The Chiefs and Bills are old rivals; Buffalo has won the last three in the regular season, but the last time the Bills beat Kansas City at home was in 2012.
Patrick Mahomes and the Bills have found every way possible to win games and stay perfect, most recently thanks to a blocked field goal on the final play when it looked like the Denver Broncos would escape Arrowhead with the win.
Josh Allen and the Bills have won five in a row and in four of them they’ve scored 30 or more points.
Can Buffalo end Kansas City’s perfect run?
Pick: Bills 30-27 Chiefs
Top picks for Week 11:
Commandres @ Eagles | Philadelphia Moneyline |
Colts @ Jets | Indianapolis +4 |
Ravens @ Steelers | Pittsburgh +3 |
Vikings @ Titans | Tennessee +6 |
Browns @ Saints | Under 44.5 |
Jaguars @ Lions | Over 46.5 |
Packers @ Bears | Over 40.5 |
Raiders @ Dolphins | Miami -7 |
Rams @ Patriots | Under 43.5 |
Falcons @ Broncos | Over 43.5 |
Seahawks @ 49ers | San Francisco -6.5 |
Chiefs @ Bills | Buffalo -2 |
Bengals @ Chargers | Under 47.5 |
Texans @ Cowboys | Over 42.5 |
Be ready for the 2024 NFL football season with our NFL Betting Guide and follow every NFL football game with our printable NFL schedule; available for download as a spreadsheet, Google Sheet for the entire season or get every week from Week 1 through Week 18 with free picks.
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Iván Pirrón: Author
Sports journalist with more than 30 years of experience in television, radio, print and digital media. NFL columnist and analyst since 2002. A die-hard lover of British rock and the mod movement, his role model is Paul Weller. He has been a reporter at Grupo Radio Centro, sports co-editor at Reforma newspaper, coordinator of Todo Menos Futbol and deputy director at Récord, information coordinator at Televisa Deportes and Press Director at the Mexican Tennis Federation. He is a professor in the Digital Journalism Diploma at the Carlos Septién GarcÃa School of Journalism, where he teaches the Podcast module. Oh, and in 2010 he played a chess match against none other than the legendary Russian Anatoly Yevgenevich Karvop, better known as Anatoly Karpov (he lost it, by the way).
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