Monterrey vs. Toluca Preview and Free Pick

Last Updated on February 3, 2023 1:22 pm by Erwin Noguera

Monterrey and Toluca will play a great match that will close Matchday 5 of the Torneo Clausura 2023 of Liga MX and that promises to be a show.

Monterrey arrives at a very good moment after 3 victories in a row and is looking for the leadership of the tournament.

Toluca is one of the undefeated, but mostly they have achieved draws and need a win to climb the table.


Sunday, February 5 at 8:10 pm ET at the BBVA stadium

Moneyline odds:

Monterrey -147 

Toluca +380

Draw Offs:


Where Can I Watch it? 

Fox Sports 2

Why Bet on Monterrey

Monterrey started the tournament with a small setback after losing at home to Chivas (0-1), however, then the story was different when they beat Cruz Azul (2-3), Atlético de San Luis (3-1) and Puebla (1-2), and with 9 points they are in second place tied with the leader, Pachuca, who has the best goal difference.

Rogelio Funes Mori is the team’s top scorer with 4 goals, although 3 of them came in the match against Atlético. Something that Vucetich’s team has to improve is its defense since they have conceded 5 goals in 4 games, numbers that are not good for a team that wants to be champion.

The Rayados have not lost at home against Toluca since 2016 (1-2), and since then they have 1 draw and 5 wins in a row. Throughout history, playing at home, they have beaten the Diablos Rojos 13 times, tied 10, and only lost 3.

Why Bet on Toluca

Toluca is one of the 4 undefeated in the tournament, although it has only achieved 1 victory (against Chivas 1-2) and 3 draws (vs. América, León, and Atlas). With 6 points, they are in ninth place, scoring 4 goals and conceding 3. Ironically, the only win has been away.

Striker Carlos González, who is the team’s top scorer in the tournament (2), is expected to recover from the injury that sidelined him from the last game, while defender Carlos Orrantia, who arrived this year and has already scored 1 goal, is also injured.

However, the one who will be there is the Uruguayan Leonardo Fernández, who has Monterrey as his favorite prey, since in 4 games against the Rayados he has scored 5 goals: 4 with Toluca and 1 with Tigres. He still hasn’t scored this year and hasn’t scored in 7 games, so he could break his streak this Sunday.

Final Betting Analysis: Monterrey vs. Toluca

An important and very good game between two teams that want to fight in the postseason. Monterrey has shown better things, but Toluca showed that it is a tough nut to crack. However, we believe that this time it will give in and that Rayados will win.

At we find that Monterrey is the favorite of the match with a Moneyline of -147, while Toluca has +380 and the draw is at +300.

The last time they met for Liga MX was on August 17 of last year and they drew 1-1 with goals from Leonardo Fernández for Toluca and Rodrigo Aguirre for Monterrey, while the last time they played at the Corona stadium was on September 22 of 2021 and the locals won 2-0 with goals from Jesús Gallardo and Rogelio Funes Mori.

Go for a straight win for Monterrey in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 on the win at -147, you will gain $68 for a total payout of $168.

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