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UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa – Antevisão e Probabilidades de Aposta

Last Updated on Agosto 31, 2022 5:54 pm by Erwin Noguera

O UFC decided to start the month with one hell of a Fight Night, as we hit the Accor Arena in Paris France on Saturday, September 3rd, to give us an exciting Main Event and a Co-Main Event that could shake the divisions up.

The Main Event gets Cyril Gane who gets back into the cage after his title shot, and the next contender in line, Tai Tuivasa, who is riding on a 5 fight win streak and trying to secure a title shot.

With 6 fights on the main card and 6 more on the prelims, France is going to have one hell of a fight night as there are a lot of rising talents along with the exciting main show.

Você pode verificar todos os UFC/MMA apostas, a análise de cada lutador e a aposta final que você pode fazer nesta luta.

UFC Fight Night – Gane vs. Tuivasa – Betting Odds and Free Picks – Info

Quando: Saturday, September 3rd, at noon ET

Probabilidades de Moneyline:

Ciryl Gane / Tai Tuivasa

Robert Whittaker / Marvin Vettori

Alessio Di Chirico / Roman Kopylov

Nasrat Haqparast / John Makdessi

William Gomis / Jarno Errens

Charles Jourdain / Nathaniel Wood

Dustin Stoltzfus / Abusupiyan Magomedov

Fares Ziam / Michal Figlak

Nassourdine Imavov / Joaquin Buckley

Benoit Saint-Denis / Gabriel Miranda

Khalid Taha / Cristian Quiñonez

Ailin Perez / Stephanie Egger

Noite de Luta do UFC: Ciryl Gane vs. Tai Tuivasa

Why Bet on Ciryl Gane

Ciryl “Bon Gamin” Gane is coming off the first loss of his MMA career when he faced Francis Ngannou for the heavyweight title in January.

Gane had a clear advantage in the striking exchanges but was taken down four times and controlled on the mat by Ngannou, who had never previously displayed that kind of ground game. 

Before that defeat, the Frenchman had gone a perfect 10-0 in his MMA career, including seven straight wins to begin his UFC tenure.

The 32-year-old is a physical specimen who looks and moves like an NFL edge rusher. Not just a fantastic athlete, Gane is an elite technical striker who excelled in kickboxing and Muay Thai before entering MMA.

Por que apostar no Tai Tuivasa

Tai Tuivasa has surged up to No. 3 in the heavyweight rankings after knocking out Derrick Lewis in the second round in February.

That was the fifth knockout victory in a row for “Bam Bam” who finished all of those opponents inside of the first seven minutes. 

The massive Australian is a powerful puncher who sets up his boxing with excellent use of low kicks.

Of Tuivasa’s 14 career wins, 13 have come by KO/TKO — with a whopping 11 fights ending within the first round.

The 29-year-old is a crowd favorite for his brawler style and his penchant for chugging a beer out of a shoe to celebrate his wins. 

Ciryl Gane vs. Tai Tuivasa Final Betting Analysis:

Embora Tuivasa has one-punch knockout power and certainly has a shot at pulling off the upset, this looks like a really bad matchup for him.

We’ve seen Gane take on massive power-punchers like Lewis and Ngannou and he’s barely been touched with his movement, slick defense, and speed proving too much for his slower foes.

Tuivasa is quicker than he looks but still has nowhere near the footwork of Gane and his six-inch reach disadvantage will make it tough to close the distance. 

Gane’s Muay Thai skills will neutralize Tuivasa’s low kicks and his accurate straight punches will tag Tuivasa when he throws looping shots.

Tenha em mente que Tuivasa absorbed some big shots from Greg Hardy, Blagoy Ivanov, and Lewis.

While his chin held up against Hardy and Lewis and he was able to take advantage of their aggression to knock them, out he won’t be able to do the same against the methodical Gane.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Robert Whittaker vs. Marvin Vettori

Why Bet on Robert Whittaker

Whittaker is the division’s Swiss Army Knife, being that he has something for everything, and he gets the job done regardless of what style he’s facing.

He’s an active striker with strong defense both standing and on the ground, and he’s proven to be equal parts complex and tough in recent bouts.

Even in his most recent loss to Adesanya, Whittaker was getting the better of the champ in the second half of the fight, though falling short once more.

Why Bet on Marvin Vettori

Vettori is a bulldozer and has cleaned up the division, leaving only the best to challenge him.

He managed to overcome Paulo Costa’s size and unprofessionalism in a last-minute light heavyweight fight last October, putting him on track to this big fight with Whittaker.

A busy striker up top and an absolute nightmare on the ground, Vettori also has a swagger about himself that feeds into his game plan.

Robert Whittaker vs. Marvin Vettori Final Betting Analysis:

Whittaker can’t bully Vettori, but his smart pressure could put the Italian in a position where he can’t be as busy or out of position to shoot for a takedown.

Because Whittaker will keep the fight standing, Vettori might have to rely on his striking more than he’s used to.

With Vettori potentially needing to fight a conventional striking match, this makes it all the easier to lean towards “The Reaper.”

Whittaker has been fighting better opponents with varying styles, and the only amount of trouble he’s had in recent fights has been in competitive bouts versus Adesanya.

It’ll take someone with extraordinary power or skill to topple him right now, and Vettori has enough to compete, but not to win.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Alessio Di Chirico vs. Roman Kopylov

Why Bet on Alessio Di Chirico

Di Chirico has yet to find consistent success inside the Octagon.

He seems to fall into the category of Jack Of All Trades and has subsequently been outhustled by more specialized fighters on more than one occasion.

However, the Italian has also scored a few big moments and wins that prove his overall talent.

Por que apostar em Roman Kopylov

Kopylov joined the roster as a Fight Nights Global (FNG) champ.

The level of competition in FNG is pretty damn serious, so there was a bit of hype surrounding the Russian striker.

Unfortunately, he just hasn’t found much success inside the Octagon yet.

Alessio Di Chirico vs. Roman Kopylov Final Betting Analysis:

This fight reads like a match-up that should demonstrate Kopylov’s skill set.

Di Chirico is a technical and measured striker, but he’s not as powerful nor as fast as Kopylov.

Di Chirico is likely the better wrestler/grappler than his opponent, but not to the degree that he’ll be able to dominate on the canvas.

Lastly, he doesn’t, usually, push a pace high enough to exhaust the Russian.

A classic sprawl-and-brawl game plan should serve Kopylov well.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Nasrat Haqparast vs. John Makdessi

Why Bet on Nasrat Haqparast

Haqparast has struggled lately, but the Southpaw had some hype for a reason.

The German striker has seriously fast hands and major knockout power, which fits well alongside his well-schooled boxing game.

Why Bet on John Makdessi

Makdessi has a deep background in traditional striking arts, as seen by some funky kicks in the cage and a spinning back fist knockout early in his UFC career.

However, his best weapon is likely the jab, which Makdessi uses very well to control range and mitigate his opponent’s offense.

Nasrat Haqparast vs. John Makdessi Final Betting Analysis:

Makdessi is a very solid boxer, but he’s not a particularly big or physical Lightweight, nor does he bring much more to the table.

Haqparast’s recent losses have proven his own game a bit limited, but he’s still consistently shown more potential and raw physical ability.

Being an entire decade younger helps also.

Finally, Haqparast is a Southpaw, and he knows well how to smother his opponent’s lead hand before covering distance with his cross — that’s almost his entire game.

If Makdessi is unable to get his jab going, it’s really difficult to see how he navigates a striking match vs. a younger, faster, and more powerful opponent.

Noite de Luta do UFC: William Gomis vs. Jarno Errens

Why Bet on William Gomis

Once 2-2 in his professional career, William Gomis (10-2) enters the Octagon with six finishes in his last eight wins.

This most recent of those came in June 2022, when he pounded out Jose Marcos in his Ares FC debut.

“Jaguar” has knocked out six professional foes and submitted one other.

Why Bet on Jarno Errens

The Netherlands’ Jarno Errens (13-3-1) saw a five-fight unbeaten streak come to an end in April 2022 when he lost a decision to former victim Mert Ozyildirim.

He got back on track four months later, beating Alisher Abdullaev under the Brave CF banner.

This marks a less-than-one-month turnaround for him.

William Gomis vs. Jarno Errens Final Betting Analysis:

This is a question of which Gomis shows up.

The one who ran literal circles around the ultra-aggressive Tobias Harila last year almost certainly does the same to Errens, who’s on the wrong end of speed and power discrepancies.

The one who plodded his way through his two 2022 bouts, backing himself to the fence and swinging for one-hitter quitters instead of setting anything up, eats 100 one-two combinations and loses a decision.

I’ll be an optimist and say the former shows up because it’s a huge stage and Errens is the level of opponent Gomis puts in the effort against.

In short, body kicks, low kicks, and constant lateral movement should seal the deal for “Jaguar.”

Noite de Luta do UFC: Charles Jourdain vs. Nathaniel Wood

Por que apostar em Charles Jourdain

Jourdain hasn’t broken into the Top 15 just yet, but he came close opposite Burgos and has more than established himself as one of the most exciting young athletes on the roster.

Jourdain just doesn’t have an off-switch; he picks up momentum as rounds wear on and refuses to stop whipping damaging strikes in the direction of his opponent.

Por que apostar em Nathaniel Wood

Wood is a former Bantamweight, and though he’s quite fun himself, “The Prospect” is a bit more strategic.

He’s very well-rounded and manages range very carefully, though Wood remains willing to jump into a firefight if necessary.

Charles Jourdain vs. Nathaniel Wood Final Betting Analysis:

Despite more of the unknowns being on the side of “The Prospect,” one can see how the style match-up works for the slight underdog.

He’s quite skilled with his distance management and range kickboxing, an advantage likely compounded by a small edge in quickness.

If Jourdain is getting his calf damaged, he’s only going to be more motivated to close distance — that’s not ideal for the lankier man.

Jourdain isn’t impossible to take down, and lately, he’s been leaning on the late rally to decide fights.

If Wood is careful on his feet and opportunistic in his wrestling, he can likely lead the dance without fatiguing, preventing any such third-round wildness.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Abusupiyan Magomedov

Por que apostar em Dustin Stoltzfus

Dustin Stoltzfus (14-4) went from slam KO’ing Joseph Pyfer on Contender Series to losing three straight in the Octagon, two of them by submission.

He finally returned to the win column in July 2022 with a unanimous decision win over Dwight Grant.

He steps in for Makhmud Muradov on short notice.

Why Bet on Abusupiyan Magomedov

Abusupiyan Magomedov (24-4-1) carried a 10-fight unbeaten streak into the 2018 PFL finals, only to suffer a one-punch knockout loss to Louis Taylor just 33 seconds into the fight.

He’s since gotten back on track with a pair of submission wins, the most recent of them over then-unbeaten Cezary Kesik under the KSW banner.

Saturday’s bout ends a nearly two-year layoff for “Abus.”

Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Abusupiyan Magomedov Final Betting Analysis:

Stoltzfus’ problem is, as always, that his wrestling is a level below his top game.

His jiu-jitsu and ground-and-pound skills aren’t worth much when UFC-caliber opponents can shut down his takedowns and put him on his back in return.

He can get away with it against the likes of Grant, but not a grappler of Magomedov’s caliber.

Even if they deadlock and switch to a striking battle, Magomedov’s got a clear edge in power.

While Magomedov’s layoff is cause for concern, one would favor even the PFL version of him to overpower Stoltzfus on the feet and the ground.

Indeed, “Abus” wrenches Stoltzfus to the mat and pounds him out before any potential cardio issues can crop up.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Fares Ziam vs. Michal Figlak

Why Bet on Fares Ziam

Unfazed by a UFC debut loss to Don Madge, Fares Ziam (12-4) worked his way back up the ranks with consecutive decisions over Jamie Mullarkey and Luigi Vendramini.

This set up a clash with Terrance McKinney, who choked out “Smile Killer” midway through the first round.

His professional finishes are split 5/4 between submissions and knockouts.

Why Bet on Michal Figlak

Michal Figlak (8-0) — a former 10-2 amateur — picked up a pair of regional professional wins before returning to Cage Warriors.

He ultimately amassed a perfect record (5-0) under its banner, including a decision over Agy Sardari in July 2022.

Fares Ziam vs. Michal Figlak Final Betting Analysis:

There are types of fighters that Ziam’s movement-heavy, low-output style can work against.

However, Figlak isn’t one of them.

That’s because between his relentless forward advance, rapid combination punching, and sneaky grappling game, “Mad Dog” has everything he needs to ruin Ziam’s day the way Madge and McKinney did.

Ziam is still young and has talent, but if he hasn’t fixed his lack of urgency by now, as a fan, one can’t be sure he ever will.

In short, Figlak bullies and out-works Ziam to a one-sided decision.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Joaquin Buckley

Por que apostar em Nassourdine Imavov

Nassourdine Imavov (11-3) punched his ticket to the world’s largest mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion with a first-round finish of two-time Octagon veteran, Jonathan Meunier.

He’s since gone 3-1 in UFC, including knockouts of Ian Heinisch and Edmen Shahbazyan in his most recent efforts.

Por que apostar em Joaquin Buckley

A UFC debut on an eight-day turnaround ended poorly for Joaquin Buckley (15-4), who suffered a one-punch knockout loss to Kevin Holland. Undaunted, he went on to win five of his next six and rack up four post-fight bonuses.

Eleven of his 15 professional wins have come via (technical) knockout.

Nassourdine Imavov vs. Joaquin Buckley Final Betting Analysis:

Full credit to Buckley: he looked like a whole new man(sa) against Albert Duraev, maintaining his usual frenetic energy, but dramatically ramping up his precision.

That version of him could be so much more than a human highlight reel … he’s a genuine contender.

Unfortunately, this looks like his toughest test to date. Imavov’s proven himself a terror on the feet, handily turning away persistent aggressors like Jordan Williams and Ian Heinisch.

Buckley is a level above those guys, obviously, but Imavov’s efforts proved that he won’t be overwhelmed.

If Buckley can’t get “Russian Sniper” off his game, the latter’s technical superiority will carry him to victory in an intense firefight.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Gabriel Miranda

Why Bet on Benoit Saint-Denis

The UFC debut for Benoit Saint-Denis (9-1) ended in disaster, suffering one of the nastier beatings in recent memory at the hands of Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos.

“God of War” dropped to 155 pounds for his second Octagon bout, a second-round submission finish of Niklas Stolze.

All of his wins have come inside the distance, eight via submission.

Why Bet on Gabriel Miranda

Gabriel Miranda (16-5) started his professional career 1-2 before embarking on his current run, which has seen him end all of his wins via stoppage.

He currently sits at 7-1 in his last eight, most recently scoring a 75-second submission in Oct. 2021.

Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Gabriel Miranda Final Betting Analysis:

Saint-Denis erased the vast majority of doubts in that win over Stolze, and he might have an even easier time here.

Going by Miranda’s fights in Brave CF, Saint-Denis badly out-classes “Fly” in both the striking and the wrestling.

Miranda’s key weapon is his Brazilian jiu-jitsu, but Saint-Denis is more than capable of keeping up with him on the ground, especially as “God of War “ seems capable of dictating where the fight takes place.

Outside of landing an out-of-nowhere, quick-kill submission, Miranda’s avenues to victory are sorely limited.

In short, Saint-Denis dominates wherever the fight goes.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Khalid Taha vs. Cristian Quiñonez

Why Bet on Khalid Taha

Khalid Taha (13-4) bounced back from an unsuccessful UFC debut with two straight stoppage wins, only for a failed drug test to overturn one of them and force a yearlong stay on the sidelines.

He’s yet to recapture that success, dropping consecutive decisions to Raoni Barcelos and Sergey Morozov.

Why Bet on Cristian Quiñonez

Christian Quinonez (16-3) claimed the UWC Bantamweight title with a dominant decision over Donny Matos in Feb. 2021.

Eight months later, he defeated Xiao Long in Série de concorrentes para garantir um contrato com o UFC.

Khalid Taha vs. Cristian Quiñonez Final Betting Analysis:

Any reference to Taha’s poor UFC record has to come with the asterisk that he’s faced some serious competition.

From moving up in weight to fight a smothering grappler in Nad Narimani to taking on top-notch Bantamweight threats in Barcelos and Morozov, he’s been very short on gimmes in the Octagon.

However, Quinonez may have a shot here.

Problema’s footwork and output seem like solid weapons against Taha, who can be over-reliant on swinging big power shots.

It’s easy to picture Quinonez tearing up his lead leg and peppering him with long punches between Taha’s bursts of offense.

It’s also easy to picture Taha landing his hard leg kicks and catching Quinonez as the latter tries to lean away from punches, but not como easy.

In the end, Quinonez threads the needle for a narrow victory.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Ailin Perez vs. Stephanie Egger

Why Bet on Ailin Perez

Ailin Perez (7-1) got off to a 5-0 pro start before a disqualification loss to Tamires Vidal in Nov. 2021. “Fiona” went on to go 2-0 in 2022, both wins via stoppage.

Her five pro stoppage wins include four by knockout.

Why Bet on Stephanie Egger

Stephanie Egger (7-3) pushed her UFC record over .500 with consecutive finishes of Shanna Young and Jessica-Rose Clark, the latter of which earned “Performance of the Night.”

Then came a hugely controversial loss to Mayra Bueno Silva in which Egger was accused of trying to fake a tap.

Ailin Perez vs. Stephanie Egger Final Betting Analysis:

Perez’s offense largely revolves around the clinch, where Egger’s judo reigns supreme, and “Fiona” hasn’t shown the Brazilian jiu-jitsu or striking chops to even the score elsewhere.

Odds are that Egger comes out looking to prove a point, which is very bad news for Perez.

In the end, Egger goes some ways toward erasing the memory of her last fight with an early throw and quick tapout.

Gane vs. Tuivasa Betting Pick: Cyril Gane

Whittaker vs. Vettori Betting Pick: Robert Whittaker

Di Chirico vs. Kopylov Betting Pick: Roman Kopylov

Haqparast vs. Makdessi Betting Pick: Nasrat Haqparast

Gomis vs. Errens Betting Pick: William Gomis

Jourdain vs. Wood Betting Pick: Nathaniel Wood

Stoltzfus vs. Magomedov Betting Pick: Abusupiyan Magomedov

Ziam vs. Figlak Betting Pick: Michal Fihlak

Imavov vs. Buckley Betting Pick: Nassourdine Imavov

Saint-Denis vs. Miranda Betting Pick: Benoit Saint-Denis

Taha vs. Quiñonez Betting Pick: Christian Quiñonez

Perez vs. Egger Betting Pick: Stephanie Egger

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