UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev Fight Card Odds and Picks

The UFC had a pretty interesting event back in Seattle, but now it is time to come back home to the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada for the UFC Fight Night. We get an exciting clash in the Flyweight division when Manel Kape faces Asu Almabayev after Brandon Royval had to pull out from an Injury.

Besides the main event of the night, we get quite an interesting clash in the middleweight division in which Cody Brundage and Julian Marquez face off.

Nasrat Haqparast and Esteban Ribovics are also facing off in the main card, along with Austen Lane and Mario Pinto, who should keep things interesting on our way to the main and co-main events.

We have a fun event with six main card fights and six prelims, which should make a pretty fun event from start to finish as we dive into a pretty nice event to chill before the next numbered event arrives.

Você pode verificar todos os UFC/MMA apostas, a análise de cada lutador e a aposta final que você pode fazer nessas lutas.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev Fight Card Odds and Info

Noite de Luta do UFC: Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev

Por que apostar em Manel Kape?

Kape is coming from a fantastic win over Bruno Silva, and it’s about time he takes on another prospect because that’s seemingly the only thing that the UFC will use him for, as he’s not being pushed for the belt.

Kape is perhaps one of the most dangerous flyweights in the UFC due to his extremely well-rounded skill set and his good takedown defense, and it’s that takedown defense that will be put to the test once again in this fight against Almabayev.

We already know that he is one of the sharpest strikers in the division, lightning quick, and very experienced in high-pace fights that require twitch reflexes and fast thinking, all things he excels at.

Por que apostar em Asu Almabayev?

Almabayev only has four fights in the UFC, and I think this is a generous step up in competition for him even though this is a somewhat unprepared Almabayev who is coming into this fight on a few weeks’ notice.

Almabayev is simplistic with his approach but highly skillful in using his attacks. He wrestles exceptionally well, and all he wants to do is get the fight to the ground and unleash some ground and pound to open up his opponents to submission.

Final Betting Analysis: Manel Kape vs. Asu Almabayev

Kapes’ takedown defense is something to be noted here simply because the way that Almabayev fights is by threatening many takedowns each round, and eventually, one or two are bound to land during this fight, based on the pace and aggression that Almabayev fights compared to how Kape is defensive with his footwork in avoiding his takedown.

We expect Almabayev to successfully control Kape several times during the fight in the smaller octagon.

That said, the longer this fight remains on the feet, the more dangerous it will be for Almabayev, who will have to approach with aggression whilst throwing defense out the window as he closes the distance and tries to get the takedown.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Cody Brundage vs. Julian Marquez

Por que apostar em Cody Brundage?

Brundage’s wins have been quite questionable in terms of quality. Overall isn’t that much of an impressive UFC-level fighter. He is there to fill in gaps for a card, and we stand by that.

What Brundage does well is mostly wrestling, but he’s no NCAA veteran or an Olympic/Pan Am level wrestler. He typically does stick to his guns when he fights, so expect him to get the fight to the ground quickly to minimize any danger from Marquez’s power punches.

Por que apostar em Julian Marquez?

Marquez is on a long losing streak, and it astounds us that he’s a favorite coming into this fight, but then again, this is a silly fight, so we don’t want to overthink this.

Final Betting Analysis: Cody Brundage vs. Julian Marquez

Marquez needs to keep this fight standing to win, as simple as that, and it will be rather difficult as Brundage is somewhat good at getting the fight to the ground.

We believe Marquez can inflict damage from any position, so Brundage needs to pursue a submission or another strategy to prevent Marquez from doing so. However, we think Brundage will succeed in this effort.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Nasrat Haqparast vs. Esteban Ribovics

Por que apostar em Nasrat Haqparast?

Haqparast has got to be one of the cleaner boxers in the UFC, as everything he throws comes at the right time, at the right angle, and at the right distance.He is a solid competitor on the feet and is highly capable of keeping a solid pace for all three rounds.

However, we do think that Haqparast’s main drawback, in comparison to Ribovics, is his lack of weaponry. But, for one to lack weaponry at this level typically means that he excels with what he has. Haqparast, within boxing range, is a difficult fighter to deal with, and Ribovics, in all of his striking beauty, is probably going to outgun him due to the variety of strikes that Ribovics uses.

Now, Haqparast as an underdog is mighty tempting. We have always been a fan of him since way back, and whilst we think Ribovics is going to present a lot of challenging moments during the fight, we do think that Haqparast and his timing throughout a three-round fight can produce some excellent results for the Tristar fighter.

Por que apostar em Esteban Ribovics?

Ribovics has proven to us recently that he is battle-tested and is ready for even more battles because that fight against Zellhuber was one of the most beautiful displays of violence we have seen in years.

Ribovics not only threw 350 strikes in total during that three-round war, but he threw more than 50% of those strikes in that third round alone, punishing amounts of volume and activity, landing at an incredible rate of 48%.

Agora, Ribovics is still stretching his legs in the UFC, with only three wins on his record, but he has proven to us that he can turn up the heat at any moment and let all of his weapons go all at once.

Now, the thing about Ribovics that we may notice during this fight is that he will likely struggle against the jab and straight shots of Haqparast as he makes his reads and tries different angles to enter the range. This is honestly to be expected, as we saw in his fight against Zellhuber, but what he cannot do during this fight is be complacent and wait for the perfect time to strike.

Final Betting Analysis: Nasrat Haqparast vs. Esteban Ribovics

Watch out for the most basic of boxing fundamentals from Haqparast. His jab cross is something special, and he uses it with such timing and speed that if Ribovics is unable to enter and land his attacks, he’s likely going to be at the bad end of everything.

The cleaner the fight is, the better it will ultimately be for Haqparast. Ribovics will have to play it steady in the first round and then go absolutely crazy in the second and third to disrupt the clean rhythm of boxing that Haqparast typically settles into.

We believe Ribovics will be the one to get it done.

Noite de Luta do UFC: William Gomis vs. Hyder Amil

Por que apostar em William Gomis?

Gomis is quite an interesting one to talk about because we fail to see anything wrong with what he does in the cage, other than that he’s “too safe” to be an entertaining fighter, but as an MMA fighter who has seemingly mixed all of the arts well, he is an exceptional competitor.

Gomis is excellent on both the defensive and the offensive end. However, it’s a bit hard to tell when he’s going on the offensive because he seems too happy to glide around the cage whilst continuously being pressured. His body kicks, long punches, and quick footwork have been pivotal to his success in the UFC so far.

Por que apostar em Hyder Amil?

Amil is only two fights into his UFC career, but both fights have ended via KO within the first two rounds, and relatively in a similar fashion in which Amil just blasted his opponent with a flurry of punches that could effectively knock out an elephant.

The slightest problem with Amil is that, while he seems to have the bigger guns in this fight, he lacks the finesse that could very well be necessary in defeating Gomis.

Amil’s best chance to win this fight is to make it a filthy, gritty fight that makes Gomis panic and almost react too much instead of setting up his strikes naturally.

Final Betting Analysis: William Gomis vs. Hyder Amil

We believe that whilst the optics during this fight may show that Amil has been the busier or the more aggressive fighter, we think Gomis is still going to be slightly ahead in the stats sheet due to the way that he touches and moves around the cage, and that will only make Amil a bit more aggressive to corral the movement based fighter.

The smaller octagon would favor Amil as that means less aggression and forward movement required to get Gomis against the cage.However, if he cannot land those successive blows and stun him, we think that Gomis is going to be on the retreat and recalculate his next move.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Danny Barlow vs. Sam Patterson

Por que apostar em Danny Barlow?

Barlow has had two fights in the UFC so far, but he has looked like a great addition to the UFC roster, primarily due to his sharp striking and somewhat high accuracy.

Barlow’s reach and height are something of an anomaly in the division. He’s certainly taller and longer than the average welterweight, and that’s been one of the reasons why he has achieved so much success on the feet against fellow strikers.

Now, Barlow will have a clear advantage in the striking department, given that his southpaw stance may present some unique challenges to Patterson, who is mostly used to power shots from an orthodox stance.

Por que apostar em Sam Patterson?

Patterson hasn’t exactly fought the highest level of competition since his debut, but he is extremely one-dimensional with his approach, perhaps just as one-dimensional as Barlow is, but in this case, it’s his submission and grappling game that’s in the spotlight here as he is exceptionally quick at snatching up that neck.

The problem is that on the feet, we struggle to see Patterson doing anything of great effect against Barlow as his striking rate is exceedingly low, and he has often been outstruck, and whilst Barlow is no volume machine, any moment that Patterson keeps the fight standing is a moment that Barlow has more time to settle in and calculate his strikes.

Final Betting Analysis: Danny Barlow vs. Sam Patterson

For Barlow to win, he needs to strike at a distance and time the right shots to tear apart the chin of Patterson because if Patterson does get the takedown or get into a position in which he can get a submission, Barlow is going to lose.

The imperative is on Patterson to get the fight to the ground, and we are strong believers that the moment that Barlow lets his hands go a bit more and pushes forward with his chaotic jumble of attacks that looks messy is the moment that Patterson will look to clinch or tie up Barlow and get the fight to the ground, in which he can then obviously get the submission he needs to win.

However, we think that Bartow will be able to keep it standing and get the finish in the 2nd round.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Austen Lane vs. Mario Pinto

Por que apostar em Austen Lane?

Lane has perhaps saved his career via a relatively boring win over a one-dimensional taekwondo fighter in Despaigne, and he mostly won just by getting the takedowns and holding Despaigne down for most of the fight.

Outside of that one win, Lane has not been all that impressive, losing twice in a row via KO against Tafa and Diniz. Lane does not have the chin durability that makes most heavyweights great. He can’t take many powerful shots, and that raises a whole lot of alarms considering his opponent, Pinto, who is an absolute freak when it comes to power.

Lane did show some new additions to his skillset with his win over Despaigne, and whilst Lane may not be the most versatile Heavyweight fighter, these latest additions are interesting to see.

Why Bet on Mario Pinto?

Pinto is your typical young heavyweight who has fantastic power in his hands, heavy boxing combinations, and insane aggression to chase the finish.

We believe that Lanes’ new wrestling habits and training will be beneficial in this fight due to Pinto’s head-hunting tendencies.

Final Betting Analysis: Austen Lane vs. Mario Pinto

Now, there is some talk and chatter about Lane using his wrestling to slow down Pinto and get a win, just as he did against Despaigne. Whilst we think that’s a possibility, we expect that Pinto does have some semblance of takedown defense that will make it a bit difficult for Lane to succeed in getting the takedown.

If Lane does choose to engage in a striking exchange, he could probably land some good shots, but we think Pinto’s speed and aggression will be a bit too much. Lane’s chin isn’t that great either, so it wouldn’t take much for Pinto to land his punches and make Lane stumble or retreat in a hurry.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Ricardo Ramos vs. Chepe Mariscal

Por que apostar em Ricardo Ramos?

Ramos is coming off a solid win over Josh Culibao, in which he barely won by a split decision, but to even fight that competitively against an underdog like Culibao is something special.

Ramos has quite a few highlights on his record, and almost all of the big highlights come from his spinning attacks. He is so carefree with how he throws his spinning elbows, back fists, or kicks that he might as well have the nickname “Beyblade.”

The tough thing about those spinning attacks is that they typically only work against someone complacent in standing and banging, and that’s certainly not what Mariscal does.

Ramos will have to deal with takedown after takedown, as Mariscal has an insane gas tank and excellent wrestling. Two things that are an absolute nightmare for someone like Ramos, who relies on his speed and unorthodox attacks.

So, for Ramos to win this fight, he’ll have to keep it standing and keep it clean because the moment that he goes for a spinning attack, it’s highly likely that Mariscal will level change and drag him to the ground.

Por que apostar no Chepe Mariscal?

Mariscal may not be an outstanding finisher in the UFC, but as soon as he gains a ground-and-pound position to start letting his hands go, he’s an absolute animal uncaged, and he can land such devastating ground and pound purely by overwhelming his opponents in the first round, exhausting them completely before finishing the fight mostly in the second and third round, and it’s during those two rounds that we expect to see Ramos wilt a little bit as Mariscal’s high pace of activity overwhelms Ramos.

Now, Mariscal has been walloped before. He’s not invulnerable to strikes, and it’s quite possible for him to feel the speed and precision of Ramos’ varied attacks, including those spinning elbows. However, we do think that Mariscal will absorb whatever he needs to wrap his arms around Ramos and get him to the ground.

Final Betting Analysis: Ricardo Ramos vs. Chepe Mariscal

Ramos’ wrestling can also be a bit of a threat for Mariscal, but we think that if Ramos were to focus on his wrestling output during this fight, he is likely to be more fatigued than Mariscal as the fight goes on because Mariscal does train at elevation and has shown to be one of the most insane counter-wrestlers we have recently seen.

Once Mariscal stops Ramos’ wrestling, he is going tonullify with sheer aggression, and we believe that will get him the victory.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. John Castañeda

Por que apostar em Douglas Silva de Andrade?

Silva deAndrade is coming off a tough loss against Miles Johns. The one thing we have noticed about deAndrade during his last few fights is that his style hasn’t exactly changed, and the guidebook for defeating him is widely available.

See, Silva de Andrade has outstanding punching power and a high variance of attacks. He is still somewhat predictable because he launches himself into attacks, whether it is a blitz that ends with him throwing a wild hook that essentially spins himself around or a high kick or body kick that also spins him around. His power is his best friend and sometimes worst enemy if he is to face someone who can quickly capitalize on the sudden momentum loss from those winged strikes.

With that said, deAndrade still carries quite a lot of power, despite his age becoming a larger factor as the months go by. However, for as much power as he has and uses, it leaves him with a major weakness, and that’s his chin.

Por que apostar em John Castañeda?

Castaneda has always been a rather scrappy fighter, and after his loss against a highly dangerous Daniel Marcos, we expect him to level up quite a bit during his camp preparation for Silva de Andrade.

Outside of Castaneda’s boxing, which is rather clean, we expect Castaneda to come into this fight with a wrestle-heavy approach just to slow down the 39-year-old and sap that explosiveness that Silva de Andrade needs to land his strikes.

Now, as with every MMA fight, it all starts on the feet, and whilst we don’t expect Castaneda to look too comfortable on the feet against Silva de Andrade, we do think that the first round is primarily going to be absorbing/blocking the shots, and avoiding the big swings.

Final Betting Analysis: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. John Castañeda

Castaneda, whilst not an outstanding striker by any means, certainly will have the ability to glide out of the way and retaliate accordingly. Silva de Andrade has to be careful not to throw everything into his shots, even though that’s typically how he fights because Castaneda is an excellent wrestler and will not hesitate to take this fight to the ground to make it a bit of a safer fight for himself.

We think Castaneda will pull ahead on the scorecards over time, especially after Silva de Andrade’s propulsion system has been damaged.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Lucas Almeida vs. Danny Silva

Por que apostar em Lucas Almeida?

Almeida is a solid striker who utilizes a lot of quick and twitchy feints to mask lightning-quick combinations and clean singular strikes to just pick apart his opponent.

Now, the thing with Almeida is that while he has a great offensive style of walking his opponent down and landing those short boxing combinations, his head movement is severely lacking, and it doesn’t take much for someone to fire back and land just as effectively, as Timmy Cuamba has displayed in the second round onwards.

One other thing that’s somewhat impressive is Almeida’s takedown defense. His hips are impressively quick, and he’s so good at sprawling and stuffing the head, which is absolutely pivotal for any striker in an MMA setting.

Por que apostar em Danny Silva?

Silva is coming off a fantastic win against Culibao, and honestly, it was one of those wins in which Silva had to adapt, or he would have lost the fight, and his wrestling changed the story completely.

Silva’s wrestling offense will be key in eliminating much of the striking threat. Considering that the majority of Almeida’s boxing strikes target the head, we think that Silva will try to lure Almeida into an extended combination.

Final Betting Analysis: Lucas Almeida vs. Danny Silva

Lucas’ one-two that knocked down Cuamba in that first round was set up from feints and a lot of leg kicks, and ideally, that’s what he’s going to have to accomplish in this fight against Silva. Take away the mobility and just hunt down Silva through constant pressure and well-timed, short combinations.

We think Silva is capable of matching the amount of offensive output that Almeida has, Although we are cautious to say that he will look like the better fighter during the exchanges because it’s hard to look like a better striker against a powerful puncher like Almeida.

However, we think Almeida will only look like the best fighter in the first round, but after that, Silva will find a way to dominate the rest of the fight.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Andrea Lee vs. JJ Aldrich

Por que apostar em Andrea Lee?

Lee is a somewhat solid kickboxer who has a strong clinch style of fighting.Her knees up the middle are no doubt going to be in the spotlight here if Aldrich does choose to engage in close-ranged striking.

Lee’s striking success will be determined by her ability to control the posture and position of Aldrich because if Lee does choose to tie her up in the clinch whilst giving the room to fight the hands and escape, we’re going to see Aldrich do just that.

If Aldrich had her back against the fence and Lee was positioning for the clinch, it would be much easier for Lee to land her knees and restrict Aldrich’s movement.

Either way, the clinch is where Lee is likely to win, but she needs to utilize a high amount of pressure in order to back Aldrich up against the cage, something that isn’t that easy to do.

Por que apostar em JJ Aldrich?

Aldrich has always been one of those fighters,who unless she can push a serious pace for all three rounds, just falls behind more varied strikers.

Aldrich may not be a great wrestler, which is something that is somewhat required to win cleanly against Lee, but what she does exceedingly well is strike intermittently with high, fast volume shots, then move away and reset. Her ability to strike and move has been a major aspect of her improvements over the past few years, and each time we see her, she adds a little bit more sting to her performances, she’s more hungry for a victory, and she’s a bit sharper.

Final Betting Analysis: Andrea Lee vs. JJ Aldrich

Aldrich will likely need her stick-and-move strategy throughout the three rounds to wear down Lee. If she doesn’t, Lee will probably pressure her, walking her down until she reaches the cage wall and gets trapped in a clinch.

We believe that Aldrich will be able to find the blitz and take the victory here.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Charles Johnson vs. Ramazan Temirov

Por que apostar em Charles Johnson?

Johnson thrives on two things: his excellent cardio and his incredibly fluid movements. Pair that movement with his 7-inch reach advantage, and you have a rather interesting match-up.

We have some expectation that Johnson is going to primarily use the most basic of boxing techniques to win this fight, mostly the jab due to his reach. However, we think that he is quite capable and comfortable at landing attacks up the middle, such as his teep kick to his opponents’ abdomen and the uppercut in which he has shown to be able to measure and fire at the right time numerous times in his career.

If Johnson does charge forward and plays an aggressive role in this fight, expect his chin to be tested. For Johnson to win, he needs to play the long game, point fight, stay safe, and stay ahead on the scorecards.

Por que apostar em Ramazan Temirov?

Temirov is a wrecking ball. That is the only way we can describe him in any sense. He is so quick to throw his hook combinations, so explosive, and due to his short stature and T-rex arms, he needs to basically launch himself into range to land his hooks.

If Johnson does fight with a raised guard in preparation for this kind of style that Temirov utilizes, we would expect heavy body attacks to lower that guard before Temirov attacks up top.

Outside of that, we don’t know what else Temirov can utilize to be effective against a rather scrappy and well-rounded fighter like Johnson.

Final Betting Analysis: Charles Johnson vs. Ramazan Temirov

Speed and explosiveness are the primary traits that will likely be the largest challenge for Johnson, and Temirov sure as hell has that.

However, that’s all he’s got, and we expect Johnson to break him during the 1st round.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Montana De La Rosa vs. Luana Carolina

Por que apostar em Montana De La Rosa?

De La Rosa is 1-3 in her last four, and her previous win could have gone either way. De La Rosa’s striking defense leaves a lot to be desired, so this fight, which will be the card opener, looks like it won’t be such a tough call to make.

Por que apostar em Luana Carolina?

Carolina, meanwhile, is on a three-fight winning streak and has been fighting much better as of late. We expect Carolina to use her range to keep her distance and land the better shots.

Final Betting Analysis: Montana De La Rosa vs. Luana Carolina

This first clash is simply going towards Luana’s side, and we believe that this will make itself shown during the very first part of the first round in this clash.

Kape vs. Almabayev Escolha de apostas: Manel Kapé

Brundage vs. Marquez Escolha de apostas: Cody Brundage

Haqparast vs. Ribovics Escolha de apostas: Esteban Ribovics

Gomis vs. Amil Escolha de apostas: William Gomis

Barlow vs. Patterson Escolha de apostas: Danny Barlow

Lane vs. Pinto Escolha de apostas: Mario Pinto

Ramos vs. Mariscal Escolha de apostas: Chepe Mariscal

Silva de Andrade vs. Castañeda Escolha de apostas: John Castañeda

Almeida vs. Silva Escolha de apostas: Danny Silva

Lee vs. Aldrich Escolha de apostas: JJ Aldrich

Johnson vs. Temirov Escolha de apostas: Carlos Johnson

De La Rosa vs. Carolina Escolha de apostas: Luana Carolina