Last Updated on November 26, 2021 10:17 am by Erwin Noguera
On Saturday, December 4rth, 2021, the UFC makes a trip back to the Apex, for a great fight night to take place once the UFC On Vegas 44 starts.
4 exciting match-ups in the main event with fighters are known by long-time fans and the good of up-and-coming talents for the new fans to enjoy the whole event.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in this fight.
UFC On Vegas 44 – Font vs. Aldo – Betting Odds & Free Pick – Info
When: Saturday, November 4rth, at 10:00 am ET
Moneyline odds:
Rob Font -140 / Jose Aldo +110
Rafael Fiziev -115 / Brad Riddell -145
Jimmy Crute -185 / Jamahal Hill +155
Clay Guida +155 / Leonardo Santos -190
Draw Offs: –
Where Can I Watch? ESPN +
Where Can I Stream? ESPN Go.
UFC On Vegas 44: Rob Font vs. Jose Aldo
Why Bet on Rob Font
Before his four-fight winning streak, Font had gone 3-3 over six bouts so he’s certainly hitting his stride.
His record stands at 19-4 with 12 stoppages, including eight knockouts, and he’s only been finished once, via submission.
He is a well-rounded fighter with a high output, averaging 5.58 significant strikes per minute and absorbing just 3.57, but also mixes in 1.20 takedowns per 15 minutes.
Why Bet on Jose Aldo
The start of Aldo’s bantamweight career didn’t go well with back-to-back losses but he appears to be finding his groove of late in his new weight class.
His record stands at 30-7 with 18 finishes, including 17 knockouts. Five of his losses have been stoppages, including four knockouts.
The former featherweight king is first and foremost a striker, averaging 0.55 takedowns per 15 minutes and not securing a takedown since 2014.
He also stuffs 91 percent of takedown attempts, forcing the fight to remain standing where he can work his terrific striking skills.
Final Betting Analysis: Font vs. Aldo
In case it wasn’t clear, this is a very serious fight, with serious implications for the title challenger spot.
Moreover, both fighters will be hungry to get back into the top spots, prove their worth, and once again emerge as big contenders.
With both fighters coming off impressive wins against difficult opponents, this was always going to be a close fight.
Form-wise, Font, and Aldo come in on a 4 fight and 2 fight win streak respectively.
However, with age (slightly) on his side and a bigger win streak under his belt, Font slightly edges it.
As much as we would love to see another big night for the King Of Rio, we are putting the betting token on Font for this match.
UFC On Vegas 44: Rafael Fiziev vs. Brad Riddell
Why Bet on Rafael Fiziev
Fiziev’s loss in his UFC debut is the only blemish on his record.
He is now 10-1 with seven stoppages, including six knockouts, while the one-loss came by knockout.
He is extremely light on his feet, constantly bouncing around and switching stances before exploding with powerful strikes.
Fiziev uses his kicks to gauge distance and make his reads, while his hands are usually left for counters to end the show.
Why Bet on Brad Riddell
Not only has Riddell won all four of his UFC fights but he picked up Fight of the Night bonuses in two of them.
He carries a 10-1 record with five knockout wins and his lone defeat coming by submission.
Coming from the famed City Kickboxing gym in New Zealand, the home of champions Israel Adesanya and Alexander Volkanovski, you would think Quake is a striker.
But it is his wrestling you must watch out for as he averages 2.00 takedowns per 15 minutes.
Final Betting Analysis: Fiziev vs. Riddell
Here we have two up-and-coming fighters in the Lightweight division.
With both sharing an identical 10-0 record and a four-fight win streak in the UFC, this is truly a hard one to call.
Both fighters looked impressive in their previous fights and both have shown the heart to go all the way.
Truly, this fight will be a joy to watch, and honestly, it could go either way.
Our betting token is going to Brad Riddell on this one, but it will likely end in a close decision.
UFC On Vegas 44: Jimmy Crute vs. Jamahal Hill
Why Bet on Jimmy Crute
Evident in his record, The Brute is a well-rounded fighter with power in his hands and a very strong grip when it comes to submissions.
He is a high-level submission artist, which was apparent when he submitted the dangerous Paul Craig in his UFC debut.
When it comes to striking, Crute stands his ground when his foes engage with him, firing back with big punches and kicks.
However, if he gets inside, he will take the fight to the floor with authority, averaging 4.97 takedowns per 15 minutes, and is a menace on top.
Why Bet on Jamahal Hill
Hill was being talked about as a potential champion heading into his last bout before he got stopped in the first round.
That loss was the first of his pro career and he’s now 8-1 with one no contest and four wins by knockout.
Sweet Dreams doesn’t have a single takedown in the UFC and stuffs only 57 percent of attempts against.
However, he’s a big long light heavyweight with a 79-inch reach.
The southpaw also has a high output of 7.50 significant strikes per minute and has good conditioning to carry that pace through the full fight.
Typically he chips away with kicks hoping for his foe to rush in on him when he will counter with his crisp accurate left hand.
Final Betting Analysis: Crute vs. Hill
We have Jimmy Crute and Jamahal Hill, both making their return from injuries.
Whilst Jimmy suffered a leg injury during his fight with Anthony Smith, Jamahal Hill suffered a dislocated elbow against Paul Craig.
Whilst both fighters have achieved some considerable feats, they are also relatively inexperienced against high-level opposition.
However, in terms of experience, Jimmy edges out and is likely the betting favorite and also our betting pick for that exact reason.
UFC On Vegas 44: Clay Guida vs. Leonardo Santos
Why Bet on Clay Guida
The Carpenter is a cardio king.
He’s willing to stand in the pocket and trade hands but his bread and butter are in the grappling department where he averages 3.24 takedowns per 15 minutes.
On the feet, he is constantly in motion with his long hair bouncing around.
He tends to throw big hooks from long range, as well as decent kicks, but ultimately he’s looking to close distance and bring the fight to the floor.
Why Bet on Leonardo Santos
Two years older than Guida, the 41-year-old made his pro debut in 2002 but didn’t fight in the UFC until 2013.
He is a long lightweight with a 75-inch reach and he fights at range with straight punches and kicks.
While he’s no joke on the feet, his submission skills are especially dangerous.
But he only goes to the mat on his terms, stuffing 89 percent of takedown attempts against and averaging 1.07 takedowns of his own per 15 minutes.
Final Betting Analysis: Guida vs. Santos
This fight is the one that will make long-time fans stand up as we get two veteran fighters going into the cage once more, and the fight is likely to have a finish.
With such talented and experienced fighters going at each other, it is going to be an excellent start to the main card.
We are sticking with Santos as our betting pick in this fight, as we expect that submission game to be the one that allows him to get his hand raised against a dangerous Guida.
Font vs. Aldo Betting Pick: Rob Font
Fiziev vs. Riddell Betting Pick: Brad Riddell
Crute vs. Hill Betting Pick: Jimmy Crute
Guida vs. Santos Betting Pick: Leonardo Santos
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