UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba Fight Card Odds and Picks

After one interesting fight night last weekend, we are going to make the trip back to the UFC Apex in order to see what is going to be an excellent headliner for and a possible title eliminator in a card filled with a ton of international talent.

This event only had a few changes on the road to the actual card, but that was because both Dan Iger and Tracy Cortez were rebooked for some of the recent events. Still, their spots were filled quickly with no major loss in quality.

The main event places Amanda Lemos, trying to keep her momentum going after her failed title shot against the current champ Weili Zhang. Still, she will be facing Virna Jandiroba, who is going up in the ranks once more and is aiming for gold.

The co-main event will bring us a middleweight clash between Brad Tavares and Jun Yong Park in what should be an interesting contest, but maybe a weird one to have at the top of the card.

We also have another four good clashes on the main card, and 6 more on the prelims.

You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba Fight Card Odds and Info

UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Virna Jandiroba

Why Bet on Amanda Lemos?

Lemos is a powerhouse in this division, if it’s not her deadly striking that puts her opponents away, it’s the sheer physicality of her wrestling and grappling.

Unfortunately, in our opinion, her power is just that, it’s dangerous, sure, but it’s not exactly the cleanest technique to match that virtue. We believe that’s going to be a problem for her as she makes her way through to better strikers.

Lemos’s grappling could be a bit of an issue for Jandiroba if it’s all power and strength, as we don’t think we are going to see her be able to out-technique her.

Why Bet on Virna Jandiroba?

Jandiroba has faced some of the most dangerous up-and-comers in this division, and that’s a bit of a short list, so she’s reasonably experienced. At least, compared to Lemos who seemed to be pushed between contenders early in her UFC career.

Virna is not exactly a better striker, but she is at least a lot more clean and more sensible with her approach to striking. The jabs are there, the body kicks are very strong, and she is responsible with her output, making sure that it’s at a measured pace which allows her to fight for numerous rounds.

Grappling is going to be Jandiroba’s primary advantage here. She is excellent on the ground and we can see her looking for submissions relatively quickly as soon as the fight hits the ground.

Final Betting Analysis: Amanda Lemos vs. Virna Jandiroba

For as long as this fight remains on the feet, we firmly believe the strong body kicks and the very quick and dangerous boxing combinations from Lemos are going to be a danger for Jandiroba.

When it comes to pure grappling, though, we think Jandiroba is a lot more technical, and her body lock control and her wrestling could play a major role in mitigating damage on the feet. However, the footwork and movement of Lemos could make tracking her down for a takedown a bit difficult.

Jandiroba may not have the power advantage on the feet, but she is good at timing her attacks, and whilst that’s not at all enough to dissuade Lemos from throwing her power around, it could be enough to open her up for a much, much, needed level change, which is likely the way Virna will find the win.

UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Jun Yong Park

Why Bet on Brad Tavares?

Tavares is such an old-school fighter, well-rounded, and very experienced. His takedown defense is going to be pivotal in getting a win here. Park is very reliant on his takedowns to win, and we have seen Tavares defend them very easily, especially against Weidman, an elite-level wrestler.

Brad could very, very well pull off an upset here. However, we are a little bit worried about how he is going to deal with the multi-lane approach of Park.

Now, leg kicks are going to be massive for him, especially when timing them off a Park jab, so keep an eye on him utilizing those leg kicks because they worked exceptionally well against Weidman.

Why Bet on Jun Yong Park?

Park is a well-rounded fighter coming off a tough split decision loss against Andre Muniz, even though Park did some damage and was active off his back against Muniz.

Jun Yong has always been a very clean fighter; if he’s not using his wrestling and grappling to look for submissions or control his opponents, he’s using his very clean boxing to maintain range and open them up for takedowns.

The one thing he is going to be using early is his jabs. It is his builder of combinations, a comfort weapon that he relies on to open up his opponent at a safe distance, and if he keeps sticking the jab in Tavares’ face, it’s going to make him a bit sloppy with the retaliations.

Final Betting Analysis: Brad Tavares vs. Jun Yong Park

Park is very good at pressuring his opponent and it is going to be up to him to keep the Korean at bay with his powerful and clean boxing.

That pressure is non-stop, though, and it has been a major reason why Park has found so much success when he fights. He may not be as clean of a boxer as Tavares is, but any strike coming the latter’s way is going to result in Jun Yong gaining that much more space and pushing him toward the cage.

Park is going to have to be the aggressor and overwhelm Tavares to get a win here, and we believe his conditioning and cardio are going to allow him to do it.

UFC Fight Night: Steve Garcia vs. Seung Woo Choi

Why Bet on Steve Garcia?

Garcia is one of the most ridiculously difficult fighters to predict in our opinion, but he also has the worst chin we’ve seen. However, somehow, he also has the best recovery and comeback.

Shayilan knocked the sense out of Garcia’s head and he came back in the second round with a powerful KO. Yeah, sure, you could always say that toughness matters here. He’s a budget Dober who is an Ikea version of Gaethje, but none of that makes predicting him to win or lose easier.

Garcia is a dangerous fighter who, for as long as he is awake and conscious, is a KO machine. His reckless striking has often caught his opponents by surprise, and we think that’s going to be the same case here against Choi.

Why Bet on Seung Woo Choi?

Choi is coming off a strong Fight of the Night win against Errens, but even in that event, his chin got cracked. That does not bode well for his upcoming bout against Garcia.

Choi is very much a kill-or-be-killed fighter, which makes this fight a recipe for a finish either way, but he has a lot more weapons in his arsenal. He loves to chop the legs, his knees up the middle are pretty great, and he, overall, is a machine that can deal damage in a myriad of ways.

Final Betting Analysis: Steve Garcia vs. Seung Woo Choi

Garcia’s takedown defense is really good as well, so any moment that Choi might level change, we expect Garcia to drop the level also and stuff the takedown. Our only concern is his damn chin, he always gets clipped, and it’s just a nightmare to watch if you’re betting on Garcia.

We feel like Choi is going to struggle with the forward pressure and power of Garcia. It’s when the latter blitzes in that we can see Seung Woo getting caught by something powerful, most likely an overhand right.

UFC Fight Night: Kurt Holobaugh vs. Kaynan Kruschewsky

Why Bet on Kurt Holobaugh?

Holobaugh is doing relatively well in his second run in the UFC, and even if he lost his last fight against Ogden pretty terribly, we think he is still a fairly decent fighter.

We have stated a couple of times during his career that Holobaugh’s grappling ability is pretty high level. He is highly active off his back or on top, and whilst he may be a bit one-dimensional with his approach, we think that, on the ground, we are going to see him show us what he’s capable of.

However, that’s where Kurt’s greatness stops because, on the feet, he isn’t that much of a threat.

Why Bet on Kaynan Kruschewsky?

Kruschewsky is coming off a very tough KO loss by Brener 8 months ago. It was, honestly, a brutal KO, and it might make you wonder if he will come into this fight a little trigger-shy.

Kaynan is a well-trained Muay Thai fighter who has that traditional high guard tall stance that you see in his martial arts. He is very good at pressuring and walking down his opponent, and we think he is going to find a fair bit of success against Holobaugh on the feet.

However, that tall stance could be problematic for defending takedowns, and even if he has a black belt in BJJ, his takedown defense could be a bit of an issue if Holobaugh is the instigator.

Final Betting Analysis: Kurt Holobaugh vs. Kaynan Kruschewsky

As long as this fight remains on the feet, we believe Kruschewsky is going to fly ahead on the scorecards.

We don’t see Holobaugh cracking the chin of Kruschewsky and there is no way for his shorter reach to be too much of a threat for him. If he was to strike, it would likely be to set up takedowns or get into a clinch to the ground.

However, we don’t even think Holobaugh will initiate the wrestling sequences. He is more of a fighter who can react by wrestling but does not have the intent to wrestle, only grapple, which usually means he’s the type to accept takedowns as long as he can work his submissions off his back.

Kruschewsky is not likely to attempt the takedown if he knows he can break his opponent on the feet, so we believe he will get a clean and easy win here.

UFC Fight Night: Cody Durden vs. Bruno Silva

Why Bet on Cody Durden?

Durden is a relatively accomplished wrestler who is coming off a fairly tough submission loss against Ulanbekov. It was one of those matchups where we kind of see where he fits into the rankings.

Now, outside of that loss, Durden has been a machine when it comes to using his pressure and his wrestling to overwhelm his opponents. It is his main weapon in his arsenal and we believe it’d be the path of least resistance when it comes to defeating Silva.

Outside of his excellent wrestling, he has fairly decent boxing.

Why Bet on Bruno Silva?

Silva is on a good streak at the moment, but he hasn’t exactly won against anyone worth mentioning. However, we will mention them anyway because we have the info available.

His win against JP Buys was strong, but it was JP Buys so he might as well have fought a heavy bag that inconveniently got knocked out. Later, he got a win over Victor Rodriguez in the first minute of the first round, a potent showing of power and speed. Finally, most recently, he got a face crank submission over Tyson Nam, a fairly decent veteran who joined the UFC a few years too late.

This fight against Durden is a bit of a step up for Silva in terms of competition and style, as he is facing a very versatile wrestler who is not afraid to throw hands.

Now, Silva has pretty good footwork, he doesn’t stay on the center line and is constantly moving, which makes him a very hard target to track down.

Final Betting Analysis: Cody Durden vs. Bruno Silva

The only times that Durden has struggled on the ground is when his opponent is a far better grappler and submission specialist. That could be where Silva’s danger lies.

Durden will be able to get the fight to the ground without that much resistance. However, whatever transpires on the ground is going to be fairly interesting because we know that Silva has decent BJJ.

The good news here for Durden is that pressure is going to be a major issue for Silva. He succumbs to it a bit too quickly, and with the Octagon being as small as it is at the Apex, it won’t take long for that pressure to play a significant role in tracking and cornering the light-footed Brazilian and get the win.

UFC Fight Night: Doo Ho Choi vs. Bill Algeo

Why Bet on Doo Ho Choi?

Choi has had a very unique time in the UFC. He was mostly known for one of the most incredible fights in UFC history, with a war against Cub Swanson. From then onwards, most likely due to his military service taking place and overtaking MMA training, there was a bit of a downward trend.

However, every single duel has been Fight of the Night, crowd pleasers, wars, and absolute entertainment.

Choi is now focusing full-time, training out of TKZ’s (The Korean Zombie) gym and that’s a library of information that he can download. Now, Choi is a very iffy fighter, he does not have the chin that made him famous, gets clipped easily, and got rocked by Nelson a couple of times.

He is the epitome of being a kill-or-be-killed fighter. We hope the full-time training has improved his defense a little bit, or at least made him more aware of threats coming his way.

Why Bet on Bill Algeo?

Algeo is such a tricky fighter to figure out. He enters such a “flow state” very quickly, we mean when he fought Hernandez he was instantly grooving and feeling himself, and when Algeo is confident, it seemingly is bad news for his opponent because it’s so hard to stop someone when they’re confident enough to throw fun things like spinning back kicks.

Bill is not only a striker, though. He is a very good wrestler, he doesn’t use it a lot, but it is certainly available.

He is a very solid fighter but has a bit of an issue with fighters who put on the pressure. His bladed stance allows him to dart in and of range, but when backed up against the cage, it’s either a more square stance or a forced action to get away from the fence to retain that stance.

Final Betting Analysis: Doo Ho Choi vs. Bill Algeo

In terms of offense, Choi has been masterful with his striking. He is a force to be reckoned with and at any moment on the feet, he could put his opponent away. Recently he has added some very good leg kicks which absolutely thud, and we think that’s going to be key to defeating Algeo and slowing down his movement.

Algeo’s stance switching could be hampered by leg kicks of Choi, and it could force him to fight in one stance and thus damage his offensive output.

If Choi can penetrate that defensive shield that his rival has when he’s in that long stance, we firmly believe he can get the KO.

UFC Fight Night: Hyder Amil vs. Jeong Yeong Lee

Why Bet on Hyder Amil?

Amil is coming off a very strong TKO win over Fernie Garcia, and he did exceptionally well during that fight. His striking accuracy was astounding, the way he flowed and found his combinations was pretty awesome. Overall, he looks like a very promising addition to the UFC.

Amil is a very, very well-rounded fighter who has really strong kickboxing foundations as well as the ability to time some beautiful takedowns. The stance switches are going to be one of the key factors to his overall success, as he is very good at masking attacks behind stance switches. Due to those stance switches, he is ridiculously hard to read.

Why Bet on Jeong Yeong Lee?

Lee is coming off a strong win against Blake Bilder in a relatively slow but highly tactical back-and-forth. The slower this fight is going to go, the better it is for him because he is very calculated with his attacks. He knows what to target and when sees a lot of the attacks coming his way, hasa very good defensive shell, and his length will give him a solid advantage.

He is going to have to survive that first round to thrive in the later ones. Jeong Yeong has good enough cardio to outlast that storm and even thrive in the second and third rounds.

Final Betting Analysis: Hyder Amil vs. Jeong Yeong Lee

If Lee survives the storm that Amil brings in the first round, the tides could quickly shift. He is such a well-trained fighter, and whilst we think the latter is a danger, we believe that the height and reach advantage is going to mirror the success that Amil had against a much smaller Garcia.

The diversity of Lee’s attacks is about as much trouble for Amil, as Amil’s stance switches and hard-to-read attacks are for Lee. Both are highly dangerous opponents and we expect there are some wild clashes.

We believe Lee will be able totake a clean win in this clash.

UFC Fight Night: Brian Kelleher vs. Cody Gibson

Why Bet on Brian Kelleher?

Kelleher is unfortunately on a terrible losing skid, and with his age slowly hitting retirement, we are not sure if he still has what it takes. He is coming off a KO loss against Garbrandt, which was probably to be expected since his rival was the better striker.

Brian is a well-rounded fighter, or at least back when he was winning, but now it’s hard to tell how good he is. He has pretty impressive power in his hands and pretty awesome grappling, but we have yet to see any major success in either since he has been losing in the first round.

He has an awkward defensive style, he kind of leans away and has the punches roll off his shoulder. He also tends to dip and just be a hard-to-track target, but despite that, the hits find him.

Why Bet on Cody Gibson?

Gibson has had a fairly rough time in his return to the UFC, although we assume he is still here only to fight out his contract since there is no way that he’s becoming a contender.

Cody has a bit of a wonky striking style. He isn’t exactly clean or fluid with his attacks, they are often wide and chaotic, and whilst that could be an issue for Kelleher due to his problematic chin, we think we are most likely going to see a lot of wild shots landing not so cleanly.

Gibson also has a rough grappling defense, with 4 of his 10 losses being by submission.

Final Betting Analysis: Brian Kelleher vs. Cody Gibson

Kelleher has the advantage on the feet because we struggle to see Gibson evade or defend effectively against his strong punches.

Gibson does not have the KO power to rattle Brian’s chin, or at least we don’t think he does. Kelleher has a very solid chance if the fight goes to the ground too, he has awesome BJJ and is highly capable of holding Gibson down on the ground. We would argue that it would be his safest path to victory.

Pace and Pressure will be Gibson’s two best friends in this fight. If he can utilize a high pace throughout all three rounds and not let Kelleher settle in properly, we could see him win.

Even though things should be quite tight, we believe Gibson will win this clash.

UFC Fight Night: Miranda Maverick vs. Dione Barbosa

Why Bet on Miranda Maverick?

Maverick has had her trips and falls throughout her UFC run, but we think she is a talented fighter with a strong wrestling game. We are going to see that side of her skillset throughout this bout.

Miranda Maverick is awesome at getting the fight to the ground. Her strongest moments come there, and the sheer volume of takedowns she utilizes is aided by the fact that she trains out at Denver, at elevation.

She has the cardio to keep up a high wrestling pace for all three rounds, and considering that she has only lost to Jasudavicius, Barber, and Blanchfield, those are not bad losses.

Why Bet on Dione Barbosa?

Barbosa is only one fight into her UFC career, but so far she has been an interesting addition. Her striking is pretty snappy, utilizing some very quick kickboxing, but by far her best asset as a fighter is her Judo and BJJ capabilities.

Dione is excellent at getting the fight to the ground. Even if we don’t think she is going to find too much success against Maverick in the takedowns or trips/throws, she can still be a great adversary on the ground, throwing up a lot of attacks off her back.

The main concern is her cardio, and whilst she has proven to go three rounds well, we think that Maverick’s pace is going to test her resistance more.

Final Betting Analysis: Miranda Maverick vs. Dione Barbosa

Maverick is going to have to be careful of the striking speed of Barbosa, and of the submission threat because she is fairly good on the ground. However, we think we are going to see Dione end up at the bottom for the most part.

The real threat for Maverick is the hand speed. On the plus side, we believe the Apex’s Octagon size is going to play into her hands a little bit. There is less movement required to get your opponents back against the cage, as it’s a lot easier for wrestlers to do their thing in a smaller cage because there is less backward retreat.

Maverick is going to have to contend with a lot of punches coming her way as she reaches into range and a position where she can execute a takedown. If Barbosa keeps the jab going and keeps moving around the Octagon, that’s going to create a bit of an issue for her, but we believe that Miranda will power through.

UFC Fight Night: Loik Radzhabov vs. Trey Ogden

Why Bet on Loik Radzhabov?

Radzhabov only has three fights in the UFC, but in those three he has looked like a fairly remarkable fighter. Thereis a whole suite of styles he utilizes well, and his primary threat whenever he fights is his pace and wrestling.

Radzhabov is by no means a technical kickboxer or boxer, but he often throws heavy attacks to start. The reason he can throw these heavy single attacks so often is due to his outstanding cardio.

Our primary concern is his chin. He has been hurt a couple of times when he fights, and that’s because his stance and the way he carries his hands emanate offensive output and focus instead of a well-rounded defense.

Why Bet on Trey Ogden?

Ogden is a well-rounded fighter. He might not be technically outstanding on the feet, with a wide guard and a bit of static movement, but he is fast.

He has shown massive improvements in his striking, especially when he utilizes his lead left hand. He’s so damn quick and snappy, and quite diverse with what he can do with it, whether it’s a hook or a jab.

Ogden’s wrestling and grappling are excellent. He punished Holobaugh on the ground, which was surprising to us because we rated him highly for grappling but Trey overwhelmed him.

Now, the question here is whether or not he is going to replicate that kind of performance against Radzhabov.

Final Betting Analysis: Loik Radzhabov vs. Trey Ogden

We can see Ogden having some success if he continuously defends takedowns from Radzhabov. He can land his quick combinations on the feet and make it a dangerous fight.

Radzhabov is going to be Ogden’s toughest challenge in terms of sheer pace and pressure, and the first opponent that he has faced who will wrestle. We believe that, after a couple of level changes or tries, that is going to be enough to lower the already wide guard Trey has and open him for some strong punches.

Since we have seen Ogden on the back pedal when he fought Holobaugh, we cannot help but think that Radzhabov will be in that position as well. We mean, on the pressure and throwing heavy attacks. However, this time they are going to be a lot more meaningful and impactful strikes with the backup of unrelenting takedown attempts.

We expect Radzhabov to win this one.

UFC Fight Night: Luana Carolina vs. Lucie Pudilová

Why Bet on Luana Carolina?

Carolina is on a fairly solid winning streak, with wins over Stoliarenko and Petrovic. However, even though she won, we did not like her style.

Luana is disgustingly unreliable as a fighter. We cannot trust her to win against anyone because her style shows glaring problems with her defense. There is no real flow with anything, her output is fine, andher kicks are good but we don’t like she defends only by moving.

The main thing Carolina must use to freeze up the entries and aggression of Pudilova is her knees. She has very long legs and has been shown to use her knees often, especially against Stoliarenko when they were fighting.

Why Bet on Lucie Pudilová?

Pudilova is coming off back-to-back losses which again threatens her career as a UFC fighter, as she was not very successful in her first attempt.

Lucie is a well-rounded fighter, utilizes her striking efficiently, and is a lot more standard with her striking than Carolina is. She mixes in her combinations while her next rival tends to look awkward and sloppy when she strikes.

Pudilova typically prefers to strike. She likes working off her jab, often utilizing a high body kick to accentuate the combination, and looks to be the more aggressive fighter on the feet. However, we wonder if Carolina will be able to find that counter to freeze up the forward momentum of Pudilova.

Pudilova does not take down her opponents often, so that could be a slight surprise for Carolina. The main advantage that we can see Lucie having would be the cleanliness of her striking. The visuals are probably going to help her if she initiates the combinations and looks to be the busier fighter, but again, Luana is awkward.

The Brazilian is effective in her way and her knees up the middle would perfectly collide with the straight-forward motion of Pudilova’s one-two-three kick combination.

Final Betting Analysis: Luana Carolina vs. Lucie Pudilová

The lack of a layered defense from Carolina means that, if Pudilova turns up the firepower during this bout, she could certainly find her shots successfully.

As for the grappling and wrestling, Pudilova may be going to utilize that this weekend, but we think it’s going to be her multifaceted approach that is going to be key to winning this fight.

We believe this is going to be a tight result, but Pudilova should be edging the victory here.

UFC Fight Night: Mohammed Usman vs. Thomas Petersen

Why Bet on Mohammed Usman?

Usman is coming off a bit of a tit-for-tat fight against Mick Parkin in which the latter was the far more effective striker. We were disappointed by Parkin for not wrestling more because we have yet to see how good Usman’s takedown defense is.

Mohammed is a very large and, sometimes, powerful striker, but a lot of the time when he fights there’s a lot of footwork and movement involved. He seems tense when he goes on strike, and he stumbled and bit on feints when he fought Parkin.

Now, as much as Usman is a threat on the feet, he is very hittable. He does not move his head a lotand mostly uses his offensive capabilities to ensure that there is no real need for defense if his opponent is out of range. If the fight hits the pocket, we believe he could be in trouble.

Why Bet on Thomas Petersen?

Petersen is coming off a loss to Jamal Pogues, someone who isn’t exactly a high-level fighter. One thing we know for certain is that his style could present quite a few problems for Usman, and it could also help answer some questions regarding the latter.

That style is wrestling. Petersen is very quick to find a takedown or a position to get the fight to the ground, and considering that we have only seen Usman wrestle offensively, it would be interesting to see if he can defend takedowns against a younger and more diverse fighter.

Final Betting Analysis: Mohammed Usman vs. Thomas Petersen

Usman is someone who can still shut the lights off any opponent, and due to his significant reach and height advantage over Petersen this weekend, he could make Thomas second-guess entering his striking range.

Now, if Petersen and his corner have done their homework, they will notice that Usman has two tells when he’s about to strike. First, he dips a lot, those little head dips before moving forward or throwing an overhand right are such a massive read, thathe might as well tell his opponents what he’s going to do.

The other thing is the fact that Usman is a very linear striker. He rushes forward a lot and all it is going to take is for Petersen (or any future opponent) to step to the side and let him exhaust his firepower.

Petersen should have the way paved for him as long as he has done his homework, and we think he did.

Lemos vs. Jandiroba Betting Pick: Virna Jandiroba

Tavares vs. Park Betting Pick: Jun Yong Park

Garcia vs. Choi Betting Pick: Steve Garcia

Holobaugh vs. Kruschewsky Betting Pick: Kaynan Kruschewsky

Durden vs. Silva Betting Pick: Cody Durden

Choi vs. Algeo Betting Pick: Doo Ho Choi

Amil vs. Lee Betting Pick: Jeong Yeong Lee

Kelleher vs. Gibson Betting Pick: Cody Gibson

Maverick vs. Barbosa Betting Pick: Miranda Maverick

Radzhabov vs. Ogden Betting Pick: Loik Radzhabov

Carolina vs. Pudilová Betting Pick: Lucie Pudilova

Usman vs. Petersen Betting Pick: Mohammad Usman