After an entertaining numbered event, the UFC is taking a trip to Tampa, Florida. We prepare to sit at the Amalie Arena to watch a nice Fight Night with 13 bouts.
Our main event for this Saturday night will feature Colby Covington, who picked up the fight on short notice and will be facing a rising talent in Joaquin Buckley for a welterweight clash.
The co-main brings the grizzled veteran Cub Swanson back into the cage against a tough fighter in Billy Quarantillo.
This fight night will be showcasing plenty of talented fighters working their way up on a card with seven prelims and six main card bouts for the enjoyment of fight fans all over the world.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley Fight Card Odds and Info
| Colby Covington 3.31 | Joaquin Buckley 1.343 |
| Cub Swanson 2.295 | Billy Quarantillo 1.635 |
| Manel Kape 1.29 | Bruno Silva 3.685 |
| Dustin Jacoby 345 | Vitor Petrino 1.303 |
| Daniel Marcos 1.5 | Adrian Yanez 2.623 |
| Navajo Stirling 1.124 | Tuco Tokkos 6.24 |
| Michael Johnson 1.454 | Ottman Azaitar 2.685 |
| Drakkar Klose 3.965 | Joel Alvarez 1.25 |
| Sean Woodson 1.57 | Fernando Padilla 2.372 |
| Miles Johns 3.165 | Felipe Lima 1.36 |
| Miranda Maverick 1.29 | Jamey-Lyn Horth 3.75 |
| Davey Grant 1.84 | Ramon Taveras 1.93 |
| Piera Rodriguez 2.881 | Josefine Knutsson 1.42 |
| When? | Sasturday, December 14, 7:00 pm ET, 6:00 pm CST, 5:00 pm MT, and 4:00 pm PT |
| Where? | Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida |
| Where can I watch it? | UFC Fight Pass |
UFC Fight Night: Colby Covington vs. Joaquin Buckley
Why Bet on Colby Covington?
Colby Covington is a cardio machine with elite wrestling and relentless pressure. However, he was exposed by Leon Edwards as someone who is a very good fighter but just not championship material.
His ability to dictate the pace and grind opponents down using his wrestling has been his hallmark, but his striking skills leave much to be desired.
Why Bet on Joaquin Buckley?
Joaquin Buckley has had a stellar year where he got three wins against decent opponents. He was originally supposed to fight Ian Garry, and we thought it was going to be a close fight between the two prospects.
Buckley has pretty good all-round skills, as shown by utilizing his grappling against the bigger Nursulton Ruziboev and Stephen Thompson before knocking out the latter.
Final Betting Analysis: Colby Covington vs. Joaquin Buckley
Buckley is on his way up, and his striking power should give him the edge over Colby Covington, who has been inactive and not fought in a year.
We are expecting Buckley to get it done halfway through the match and send Covington to the back of the line as he makes his way to the top of the division.
UFC Fight Night: Cub Swanson vs. Billy Quarantillo
Why Bet on Cub Swanson?
Cub Swanson is a crafty veteran with slick striking and experience against good competition. However, he is also 41 years old and there comes a time where no matter how good an athlete was in the past as we saw in UFC 310, sooner or later they became a shell of themselves.
We think Swanson has hit this point in his career. Yes, his striking still looks decent and he had a competitive loss to Andre Fili but he is way past his prime. Especially in the lighter-weight divisions, we are reluctant to put money on anyone above 40.
Why Bet on Billy Quarantillo?
Billy Quarantillo is a high-paced fighter with solid cardio and a relentless pressure style. He is no spring chicken either but he is only 35.
Even though we think that he is a mediocre fighter, he has alternated wins and losses in his last 8 fights with victories over even worse foes, and that might help him a lot.
Final Betting Analysis: Cub Swanson vs. Billy Quarantillo
Billy Quarantillo is our pick here to outlast Swanson in a sloppy striking battle. If Swanson can outstrike Quarantillo and get the victory, fair play to him for keeping father time at bay but we are definitely not placing our token on the 41-year-old featherweight.
Expect the younger fighter to get the win as the old guard finishes passing the torch.
UFC Fight Night: Manel Kape vs. Bruno Silva
Why Bet on Manel Kape?
It’scrazy how much can change in a year. A year ago, Manel Kape was potentially in line for a title shot after beating Felipe dos Santos and having that X-rated post-fight interview.
More than a year, a loss, and a few pullouts later this guy is back on the prelims again. It’s like the UFC is punishing him for his recent behavior outside of the Octagon. Still, this guy beat Kai Asakura at RIZIN who got a title shot at UFC 310.
Why Bet on Bruno Silva?
Bruno Gustavo da Silva is a dangerous striker with knockout power but who lacks Kape’s versatility. He had three knockouts in his last four fights which is very impressive for a Flyweight but we think that, as a striker, Kape is a level above Silva and experienced enough to deal with his power shots.
Given that Silva returned to the cage after over a year on the sidelines, we think the 34-year-old might unfortunately have his best days behind him.
Final Betting Analysis: Manel Kape vs. Bruno Silva
Kape’s ability to mix up his attack and control the pace should give him the upper hand. If da Silva cannot find an early finish, Kape’s experience and well-rounded game will take over.
Kape has his flaws, namely in his lack of output and the amount he freezes in fights, but we think he should quickly learn that he doesn’t need to respect Bruno that much. From there, he can start to get more aggressive against the Brazilian and eventually find a way to hurt him or win rounds with a more damaging output.
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Vitor Petrino
Why Bet on Dustin Jacoby?
Even though he is a veteran with experience and decent striking, it seems like Jacoby’s chin cannot withstand more punishment anymore.He was knocked out easily by Dominick Reyes in the first round and Alonzo Menified could have finished him as well despite Jacoby probably outstriking him for the majority of the fight.
Why Bet on Vitor Petrino?
Vitor Petrino’s defeat to Anthony Smith at UFC 301 was unexpected, to say the least. It was unbelievable that he would make such a silly mistake which led to him being submitted by the guillotine which ended his undefeated streak as well.
But he is still a powerful striker with knockout potential, and it has to be in his opponent’s mind at all times.
Final Betting Analysis: Dustin Jacoby vs. Vitor Petrino
Vitor Petrino is our pick to win this fight by knockout to get his career back on track. This fight was basically cherry-picked by the matchmakers to give Petrino a shot at getting things back together.
This is his match to lose, so we expect him to find a finish.
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Marcos vs. Adrian Yanez
Why Bet on Daniel Marcos?
Marcos has won all his four fights in the UFC but this will be his biggest test yet as Yanez is a very good boxer who will truly test his striking. The undefeated fighter is trying to make his name well known and he has a pretty good chance here if he manages to outstrike another fierce fighter.
Why Bet on Adrian Yanez?
Adrian Yañez is a sharp boxer with excellent timing and finishing ability along with the technical striking polish needed to pierce through his opponents’ defenses.
He is an up-and-coming prospect who will be looking well in the stand-up fight.
Final Betting Analysis: Daniel Marcos vs. Adrian Yanez
We are expecting a close string battle between these two prospects. This could get very difficult to predict but we are going with Marcos, as we believe that it will take a fighter that is on a higher level of ability than Yanez to deliver Marcos his first loss in the octagon.
However, this does not mean that this fight will be anything less of a barn-burner.
UFC Fight Night: Navajo Stirling vs. Tuco Tokkos
Why Bet on Navajo Stirling?
We have almost no idea who Navajo Stirling is. A quick glimpse at his record indicates he’s 5-0, most recently winning on DWCS against a then 6-1 who had mostly beaten nobodies.
Stirling himself competed against opponents with a combined record of 32-29-2, as well as one debutant. Sounds like someone thatisn’t ready for the UFC.
Why Bet on Tuco Tokkos?
Tuco Tokkos isn’t UFC caliber, and he’s currently fighting out his jobbing contract. The UFC doesn’t want him around, he’s there to add some green Ws to the records of guys they prefer.
We also watched his fight against Zhang when we were doing the UFC Macau tape. And poor Tokkos didn’t deserve to be in that cage.
Final Betting Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs. Tuco Tokkos
It is hard to give an accurate prediction because there is little tape on one side, but from what we do know, Tokkos simplydoesn’t put the bar high enough for anyone to be worried at the UFC level.
We expect Stirling to getthe win, mostly because he lucked out on his opponent.
UFC Fight Night: Michael Johnson vs. Ottman Azaitar
Why Bet on Michael Johnson?
Michael Johnson is a veteran with lightning-fast hands and solid takedown defense.
In his prime, we think he could have been a top-ten guy. He had the slick and fast striking, he had the wrestling background. However, he also has insanely bad fight IQ and the ability to capitulate at any moment.
Why Bet on Ottman Azaitar?
Ottman Azaitar seems to have a very suspect chin as shown by his last two losses by knockout. He is a knockout or bust fighter but we are not sure if he is UFC level or if he will get cut with another loss.
He only seems to know one way to fight, and that’s to close the distance and swing for the fences.He is kind of awful, but he can crack.
Final Betting Analysis: Michael Johnson vs. Ottman Azaitar
Ottman is clearly a high-variance fighter who knows how to drag fights into the human embodiment of a coin flip. As if there wasn’t enough variance on Johnson’s side.
If Johnson can avoid Azaitar’s early blitz and control the fight with his movement and striking, he should edge out a win.
UFC Fight Night: Drakkar Klose vs. Joel Alvarez
Why Bet on Drakkar Klose?
Drakkar Klose is a pressure fighter with solid wrestling and striking himself. However, he is almost completely the opposite of ‘dangerous.’
Seven of his nine UFC wins have come by Decision, and the exceptions were a very random slam KO of Joe Solecki and an early whomping in a squash match against the very underqualified Brandon Jenkins.
Why Bet on Joel Alvarez?
Joel Álvarez is a submission specialist with a long reach and dangerous grappling. He is the only other good Spanish fighter besides Topuria, or so we believe.
It will be kind of hard for the UFC to put a PPV in Madrid if they don’t find enough Spanish talent, but Alvarez will be one on the list.
Final Betting Analysis: Drakkar Klose vs. Joel Alvarez
As much as we like Klose, we just think that Alvarez is in a different class when it comes to grappling and striking power. We expect a hard-fought fight but the better fighter should prevail.
We believe that this one might end early, and that means Alvarez should find the finish during the encounter.
UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Fernando Padilla
Why Bet on Sean Woodson?
Sean Woodson is a rangy striker with excellent boxing and reach control. He is very good at controlling the distance to pick apart his opponent which we saw in his previous wins versus Alex Caceres and Charles Jourdain.
Woodson’s a weird one, he’s just got some flakey tendencies that have halted his progress. Getting submitted by Julian Erosa after gassing out as a huge favorite was a big yikes. Drawing with Luis Saldana as a big favorite was another moment of serious concern.
And even amongst his wins, there are a couple of split-decision wins.
Why Bet on Fernando Padilla?
Fernando Padilla is a dynamic fighter with decent striking but, unlike Woodsoon, he does not seem to know how to use his range to his advantage, even if he is a tough one as seen by his loss to Kyle Nelson.
Padilla is a quintessential Mexican fighter – Lanky frame, decent striker, has some sneaky submissions up his sleeve, SUPER durable, loves a brawl…not the most technical. That usually translates to a guy who is dangerous for 15 minutes but pretty bad in the eyes of the judges.
Final Betting Analysis: Sean Woodson vs. Fernando Padilla
We are expecting this to be a striking battle and Woodson is our pick. He seems to be better at managing the distance while carefully delivering his strikes and minimizing the damage taken. His jabs will be key to outstriking Padilla in this fight.
Padilla’s pressure could trouble Woodson, but the latter’s striking accuracy and range management should secure the victory.
UFC Fight Night: Miles Johns vs. Felipe Lima
Why Bet on Miles Johns?
Miles Johns is a guy we don’t have a whole lot of confidence in because we feel his ceiling can’t be too high, nor can his floor be too low.
He’s a competent striker who seems to do a good job handling an opponent defensively, and he’s also got good wrestling that can change the dynamic of a fight, whenever he wants it to. He also has power.
With those skills, it’s hard to look good against a guy like Johns, unless you’re dangerous and well-rounded in all areas of MMA.
But Johns is also no world-beater himself. He’s fought a very generous level of competition in the UFC, and his style seems to lean more towards striking than wrestling these days, which we don’t like. His striking is also defense-first, which is hard to trust and feel good about.
Why Bet on Felipe Lima?
Lima is just very inexperienced at this level, and that stops us from feeling passionate about any of the opinions that we may form about him.
With that said, he definitely got our attention in that UFC debut, and it seems that a lot of hardcore have been waiting for his sophomore appearance. The fact that the UFC has paired him with a respectable fighter with a 6-2 UFC record like Johns… means they think highly of him too.
This is the kind of opportunity a prospect would get after their 4th or so UFC bout when they’re on the verge of challenging for a spot on the rankings.
Final Betting Analysis: Miles Johns vs. Felipe Lima
Johns should have everything he requires in his skillset to walk over Felipe Lima thanks to his experience, and there is little to add about it.
We expect Miles to get the win because it looks like another case of the UFC pushing a fighter way too far way too fast once again.
UFC Fight Night: Miranda Maverick vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth
Why Bet on Miranda Maverick?
Miranda Maverick is a strong grappler with improving striking and we would say she is a pretty decent fighter.
She’s a specialist, and those are quite rare in WMMA. She has a skill set that only the best fighters can negate and defeat.
Why Bet on Jamey-Lyn Horth?
Jamey-Lyn Horth has decent grappling herself but she was gifted a robbery decision win just last month against Ivana Petrovic.
We have seen her in the cage for 45 minutes now, and we still don’treally know what she’sactually trying to do. She’s faced a very low level of competition in her three UFC bouts. And barely outstruck them. She also got out grappled by Petrovic and Cowan, giving up two takedowns to both.
Final Betting Analysis: Miranda Maverick vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth
We think it’s clear Maverick is the better fighter here and she should be able to beat Jamey-Lyn based on the quality of opponents that she has beaten so far.
We are expectingMaverick’s ability to control the fight on the ground and outmuscle Horth on her way to a clear victory.
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Ramon Taveras
Why Bet on Davey Grant?
Davey Grant is a durable fighter who has a decent striking and solid ground game. He is quite a decent veteran, and if you analyze his losses to good fighters like Daniel Marcos and Adrian Yanez, they were close competitive bouts that ended in a split decision.
Grant is the kind of guy you should most likely back as an underdog, because he fights to the level of his opponent.
Why Bet on Ramon Taveras?
Ramon Taveras seems to be a raw prospect who is a scrappy brawler and lacks the experience of Grant. He won in his UFC debut by avenging his loss against Serhiy Sidey by split decision, but he is kind of unproven yet.
He’s a fun striker who has power and tenacity, but sometimes he lets the fun of the brawl detract him from his game plan and actual attempt to win.
Final Betting Analysis: Davey Grant vs. Ramon Taveras
Sure, Grant isn’t an elite fighter by any metrics but he is a tough, gritty veteran with lots of experience that can make fights difficult for prospects.
However, we think he still has enough juice in the tank to beat mid-prospects like Taveras, who we have yet to see if he is UFC material.
UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Josefine Knutsson
Why Bet on Piera Rodriguez?
Piera Rodriguez isn’t actually a bad fighter herself. However, she isn’t a very impressive grappler. Carnelossi is one of the one-dimensional type strikers out there, so having top control time over her isn’t all that impressive.
By the same token, getting submitted by Gillian Robertson isn’t anything to be ashamed of either. Before that, she landed five takedowns against Sam Hughes…but managed an average of 23 seconds of control time per takedown – which says a lot about her ability to hold an opponent in place.
Why Bet on Josefine Knutsson?
We think Josefine Knutsson has real potential to get herself in the rankings next year. She’s not fought a whole lot at this level yet, but it really interests us that she’s seemingly leaning more on her grappling than her striking so far.
Knutsson is an experienced kickboxer so that part of her game is already expected to be impressive and mostly superior to this level of competition.
The fact that she’s sharpening her grappling tools means that, by the time she makes it to the rankings, she should be well-rounded enough to deal with it.
Final Betting Analysis: Piera Rodriguez vs. Josefine Knutsson
What we’ve seen from Piera isn’t enough to trust she will capitalize on Knutsson’s inexperience.
Without a grappling advantage, We’re not sure how she is supposed to win this fight. She’s okay everywhere, but Knutsson should have advantages over her on the feet, as well as when she can land a takedown of her own.
Piera’s takedown defense isn’t great either, so think there are multiple paths to win for Knutsson.
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