We just went through a numbered event which was pretty amazing, and now, the UFC makes a trip to the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky, to bring us what could be the right follow-up to any numbered event, and that is a fight night with excellent bouts.
The main event for the card sees Jared Cannonier and Nassourdine Imanov face each other in an exciting clash that could put any of them a big step closer to title contention if they can make the statement clear in their performance.
The Co-Main event may not be such a big fight for the division these two are fighting in, but judging by how things have been at the top right now, this clash between Dominick Reyes and Dustin Jacoby could quickly push any of them forward in the Lightheavyweight Division.
We also get Raul Rosas Jr. making it into another clash as he faces Ricky Turcios in the Bantamweight Division, for a fight that could be pretty fun for all fight fans.
This fight card has six main event bouts and brings up eight prelims to get progressively more hyped as we approach the exciting main event.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info
When:
Saturday, June 8th, at 5:00 pm ET
Moneyline odds
Jared Cannonier 2.02 / Nassourdine Imavov 1.827
Dominick Reyes 2.66 / Dustin Jacoby 1.477
Raul Rosas Jr. 1.404 / Ricky Turcios 2.922
Brunno Ferreira 1.353 / Dustin Stoltzfus 3.16
Julian Marquez 1.721 / Zach Reese 2.125
Punahele Soriano 2.612 / Miguel Baeza 1.505
Thiago Moisés 2.04 / Ľudovít Klein 1.776
Charles Radtke 2.761 / Carlos Prates 1.447
Brad Katona 1.151 / Jesse Butler 5.43
Andrea Lee 1.685 / Montana De La Rosa 2.189
Daniel Marcos 1.804 / John Castañeda 1.997
Eduarda Moura 1.531 / Denise Gomes 2.515
Cody Stamann 2.971 / Taylor Lapilus 1.398
Puja Tomar 3.16 / Rayanne Amanda 1.353
Where can I watch it?
UFC Fight Pass
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Nassourdine Imavov
Why Bet on Jared Cannonier?
Cannonier is coming off back-to-back wins against Vettori and Strickland, and it’s the Vettori fight that we want to focus on because we have never seen someone the size and age of Cannonier throw 428 strikes and land 257 at a 58% accuracy rate. That is monstrous.
“The Killa Gorilla” may not be at his athletic peak, but he is still an incredibly fit and ready fighter who looks ready for a five-round fight. Cannonier has very strong, powerful boxing and he can keep up a very high pace of activity even to the distance, as recently proven.
However, we do have some concerns about his cardio if wrestling is involved, and you know for a fact that, if Imavov is involved, wrestling is going to be in the mix.
Why Bet on Nassourdine Imavov?
Imavov is a bit of a multi-faceted fighter, he has excellent kickboxing which does surprise us since he trains out of MMAFactory, but he also has really good wrestling. It’s with that wrestling that Cannonier is most likely to struggle with because that’s typically the go-to for Imavov in most of his fights.
Nassourdine does like to throw sharp combinations on the feet but usually ends that sequence with a level change. The detail to consider here is if he has the tank to do so for five rounds in case he doesn’t manage to put Cannonier in a tough spot.
Final Betting Analysis: Jared Cannonier vs. Nassourdine Imavov
We think we are going to see an early strong defense by Cannonier by exploding to his feet, but as the fight goes on, we question whether or not Imavov is going to have the cardio to continuously level change.
The speed and variation of attack from Imavov could be a problem for Cannonier, as he does have very sneaky kicks as well as the light footedness to mask those kicks with very good movement and stance switches. So, Jared is going to have to either tie Nassourdine up in a clinch to slow him down or counter a lot of the kicks with punches, something to make the younger and “flashier” fighter slow down.
We believe that Cannonier will be the one to surprise the fans, getting the win in an exciting main event fight to show everyone that he wants to make his way to the top once more.
UFC Fight Night: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby
Why Bet on Dominick Reyes?
Reyes’ career has been the definition of “thrill and the agony”. From defeating the GOAT Jon Jones to losing four times in a row, three of those times being by KO, we are genuinely sad to see how far he has fallen off, but it could also be a bit of a wake-up call for him to improve because he hasn’t looked the best in recent fights.
He is a very, very good boxer, his reach allows him to fire off a powerful jab at range, and after he builds off that jab, he adds together more attacks and combinations. Everything is generally built off that jab, and that’s going to be a tough puzzle for Jacoby to figure out.
Reyes is going to have to at least wrestle to win this fight. Any exchange on the feet could be absolutely career-ending for him, and we only say that because it’s never a good look to have four KO losses in a row.
Why Bet on Dustin Jacoby?
Jacoby may have lost his fight against Menifield, but he was somewhat winning the technical battle, it was only the big attacks from his rival that got him that loss because everywhere else he was better.
Dustin thrives in a slow fight, and since he is known to be a good counterstriker, we can only see him doing what Spann did, interrupt the punches and rhythm of Reyes with his counters.
Final Betting Analysis: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby
The main concern with Reyes is his chin. It seems too easy to crack, and it has been devastating to see him crumble so easily. He is coming up against a high-level kickboxer so the concern surrounding his durability is very much going to be a major talking point again, but we do think that he has the power in his hands to make it just as dangerous for Jacoby.
We think we are going to see Jacoby be the faster striker, as long as he reads the patterns of attack that Reyes uses, which is usually a jab followed by a cross. As long as a jab is coming, something else will usually follow, so Dustin must time something after that to stop Dominick in his tracks, but we believe he will.
UFC Fight Night: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios
Why Bet on Raul Rosas Jr.?
Raul Rosas Jr is young in the game yet shows a lot of promise. He is incredibly one-dimensional outside of the rare sight of him using his boxing to defeat a no-name fighter in Terrance Mitchell, so consider that a stepping stone to this fight, nothing more.
Rosas Jr’s best weapon is his wrestling. He relies on non-stop pressure and relentless takedowns to win his fights, is quite strong for his age, and has built his entire career around this particular style of takedowns and control.
Why Bet on Ricky Turcios?
Turcios is an odd one to figure out, he’s a fun fighter to watch and does funky stuff, but he isn’t exactly a well-versed one. We are a tiny bit concerned about his cardio in this one due to the high-pressure style of Rosas Jr, so if he can avoid a lot of wrestling attempts, we could see another upset here. However, we don’t have a lot of faith in this because he tends to be so unorthodox that it’s not exactly clean and thus the takedowns look to be easier.
Final Betting Analysis: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios
Rosas Jr. is going to wrestle in this fight, there is absolutely no way in hell that he is going to be successful against Turcios on the feet. Turcios is a bit too unorthodox and unpredictable to strike against, and as long as the fight remains on the feet, he has a solid chance to win.
However, if Kevin Natividad can take Turcios down 7 times, imagine what someone like Rosas Jr can do, and that is a big deal here, so we expect the latter to take the win.
UFC Fight Night: Brunno Ferreira vs. Dustin Stoltzfus
Why Bet on Brunno Ferreira?
Ferreira is an absolute freak of nature with his power, he is not only a hulking mass of muscle and power, but he is also very quick on the feet and uses quite a lot of feints and movement. He almost reminds us of Paulo Costa before he became such a lame fighter.
Now, Ferreira hasn’t fought past the first round yet in the UFC, so we are somewhat yet to see how his cardio is going to look after that first minutes of extreme explosiveness.
He is known for his striking. He is diverse with his attacks, often using strong body and head kicks alongside his brutish boxing, but he is also very good at wrestling and looked very good when he landed a lateral drop on Hawes.
Why Bet on Dustin Stoltzfus?
Stoltzfus is coming off a great submission win over Soriano, although it was not without some tough moments where he got hit by some big attacks.
Dustin is a very well-rounded fighter who has a bit of a cleaner style of striking compared to Ferreira. He likes to use his reach and range to land quick one-two’s down the line, and maybe land some body and leg kicks along the way. So, it’s somewhat safe to say that, if Stoltzfus makes this fight a clean one, he could pull away with an upset here, especially after that first round where we could see Ferreira potentially slow down and fatigue.
Final Betting Analysis: Brunno Ferreira vs. Dustin Stoltzfus
After the first round, you could put something on Stoltzfus because those next two rounds should be where he is most likely to turn this fight around. However, the beginning is going to be dangerous for him.
It does not take much for Stoltzfus to absorb damage because he often does not move out of the pocket in time to avoid it, and it’s during that pocket range that we see Ferreira landing his strongest attacks.
We also think Dustin is going to have to contend with the wrestling of Brunno, and whilst the latter is not exactly a high-level wrestler, his explosive throws could be enough to take the fight to the ground and make it a nightmare for the former to defend.
This clash is not likely to get past the first round, as Ferreira should get the early finish.
UFC Fight Night: Julian Marquez vs. Zach Reese
Why Bet on Julian Marquez?
Marquez is coming off back-to-back KO losses against “Robocop” Rodrigues and Barriault, two fairly hard-hitting fighters. It makes sense that he lost to them, as he barely has any defense. He is a stand-and-bang kind of fighter who ultimately is here for mostly entertainment value.
He has no prospect of being a champion or even a ranked fighter at that rate, being simply a stepping stone for more talented athletes to advance through the ranks.
With that said, Marquez is a reckless individual who throws ridiculously heavy and can be a danger to practically anyone he faces. Minimal technique, maximum damage. He is a heavyweight in a Middleweight’s body.
Why Bet on Zach Reese?
Reese is relatively new to the UFC, and he is unfortunately coming off a brutal loss against Brundage, and man, losing to Brundage adds a little bit of a sting to the record.
Reese has never fought past the first round in his professional career. He is an exceptionally quick finisher, and whilst the quality of his opponents has been somewhat questionable, we do think that he uses his reach fairly well. However, since he finishes fights tremendously quickly, we also think he can be a bit wild with his punches, marching his opponents down and throwing heavy attacks with a tonne of volume, which usually results in a ref stepping in to call the fight.
Final Betting Analysis: Julian Marquez vs. Zach Reese
If Marquez’s massive punches don’t phase his opponents, he usually goes for a takedown and grapples where he is surprisingly decent. So, that’s an alternative way to win a fight, but we honestly don’t think he’s going to do that against a much taller and longer fighter in Reese, who has quite good BJJ himself.
Our concern is that we don’t think Marquez is that easy to put away. We mean, sure, he absorbs a lot of damage, but he isn’t one to go down without swinging back.
We believe Reese will make it to the second round here, but Marquez will be the one to find the finish.
UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Miguel Baeza
Why Bet on Punahele Soriano?
Soriano is in a bit of a tough position. His last four losses have occurred in his last five fights, and each time he has lost he has been on the receiving end of some savage knockouts or brutal beatdowns. However, that is his entire style and it is something he is typically known for, walking through fire to deal significant damage back.
This is also the first time Soriano is moving to 170, so be aware of how he looks on the scale because he’s already a very large and thick fighter. That cut could be concerning.
He is a heavy-hitting fighter, everything he throws is powerful, and it is generally a bad idea to stand in front of him unless you are a technical striker, and we don’t think Baeza is at that level.
Soriano’s best weapons are his power side punches. He is so good at setting those up with standard jabs because he knows the knockout power he possesses. It is often more than enough to put away his opponents.
Why Bet on Miguel Baeza?
Baeza is an interesting case, he was a highlight fighter for us when he won against Matt Brown, and then he had that remarkable performance against Takashi Sato. However, since that fight three years ago, he has hit roadblock after roadblock named Ponzinibbio, Williams, and Fialho.
He keeps being a very well-rounded fighter who, despite not being much of a submission artist, could very well submit Soriano as he is a black belt in BJJ, and it has been shown that takedowns are a bit of a problem for the latter.
Final Betting Analysis: Punahele Soriano vs. Miguel Baeza
One major advantage that Soriano has compared to Baeza is his activity. He has always been a somewhat active fighter, participating in three fights while Baeza has been inactive. Even if it is true that his chin has been rocked and shocked, he has always hung in there until the end and has never really been put away cleanly.
Baeza has a bit of an opening for Soriano and that’s the right side of his body, the liver side. We can see the latter smashing that vulnerability with powerful hooks over and over, and whilst you might argue that the former switches his stance a lot, he primarily favors the orthodox stance where he can launch that beautiful jab which could be problematic.
The other weapon that Baeza uses very well is his outside leg kick. It’s not necessarily a thudding kick, but it’s incredibly effective due to its speed, making it hard for Soriano to read it.
We believe that Soriano will be the one taking the victory here, nevertheless.
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moisés vs. Ľudovít Klein
Why Bet on Thiago Moisés?
Moises is coming off a strong win over Mitch Ramirez, but it’s one of those fights that seems like a setup for future ones. It seemed like a comeback win set-up deal because Ramirez isn’t a high-level opponent, and the competitive step up from him to Klein is astronomical.
Thiago Moises is a fairly calculated striker as well. He does not throw volume or combinations, as a lot of his attacks are safe, single shots that have quite a bit of power. However, they are by no means anything too special, it’s just the timing and shot selection that impress us the most.
Why Bet on Ľudovít Klein?
Klein is coming off back-to-back wins against Bahamondes and AJ Cunningham (late replacement), and he has never looked so good.
He is an exceptionally well-rounded fighter who has extremely slick striking as well as outstanding kicks. We could say his kicks are his best form of striking. They come from all angles and there are almost no reads for them, he flings them out there without any major setup, and it’s such an effective attack.
Klein’s southpaw stance allows him to target the liver side of the body effectively. That’s most likely going to be key in this fight to slow down and lower the hands of Moises, and once that happens, then you will see him attack the head.
Final Betting Analysis: Thiago Moisés vs. Ľudovít Klein
Thiago has a grappling advantage in this fight, and we think that this is the first time Klein has faced a proper BJJ specialist. So, it would be interesting to see if his very impressive takedown defense of the latter is going to hold up.
Now, if Moises cannot get the fight to the ground, he is going to lose. Klein is fast with his strikes, his kickboxing is far better, and he has a lot more power and tenacity, all things that could freeze Moises a little bit.
There is a possibility of Klein slowing down after the first or second round. The power and volume he throws at is brilliant and such a dangerous force to deal with, that it comes at a cost to cardio. In this sense, if Moises can hang in there for two rounds and survive the storm, he should be able to turn things around, but that’s all speculative.
Klein typically takes a fight to the distance, and to do as such and fight like he does, that’s some excellent cardio. We are considering that he will be taking a win on a unanimous decision.
UFC Fight Night: Charles Radtke vs. Carlos Prates
Why Bet on Charles Radtke?
Radtke is coming off an upset win over Gilbert Urbina. Even facing someone who had a taller frame and a reach advantage, he was very good at slowly walking him down with some slight pressure, and measuring that left hook over and over until he had it clean.
He does have a very tight guard, his hands are somewhat high, and he is very good at adjusting defensively to his opponents’ attacks. All of that, while also being quite diverse with his weapons, often using leg kicks to soften up his target and making his opponent drop the guard.
Why Bet on Carlos Prates?
Prates are coming off a very competitive back-and-forth KO win against Trevin Giles, a very tough opponent to debut against. For the most part, before the KO win, Giles was very effective with his boxing, landing his punches fairly cleanly. However, it does not take much for the Muay Thai fighter in Prates to find his shots and land that phenomenal one-two.
He has a significant reach advantage coming into this fight, but suffers from the same defensive problems a lot of longer fighters have: their defense is their offense.
Final Betting Analysis: Charles Radtke vs. Carlos Prates
Prates not only have to be worried about that dangerous left hook that Radtke throws so effortlessly, but he also has to be concerned about the wrestling offense that he has in his back pocket too. Even if we haven’t seen a lot of his wrestling in the UFC or DWCS, you would think that he is well-rounded enough to know how to work on the mat.
It’s going to take very little for Radtke’s left hook to land and deal significant damage. It destroyed Urbina when it landed, so we can only imagine what it’s going to do against Prates.
UFC Fight Night: Brad Katona vs. Jesse Butler
Why Bet on Brad Katona?
Katona may be coming off a loss against Armfield, but boy was the fight a great back and forth, fought at a very high pace. Brad thrives in chaos, the faster the pace, the better it is for him, as he often overwhelms his opponent as the rounds go by.
He may not be the cleanest fighter defensively or offensively, but the overwhelming activity he uses is often his best asset. Katona uses a lot of striking volume when he fights, often in exchanges, but initially at a distance and in bursts.
He is very durable and whilst he absorbs a lot of damage, his chin is pretty damn tough as he hasn’t been cracked or dropped too many times. He also has very good wrestling, often being able to just blast the double leg and get the fight to the ground relatively quickly.
Why Bet on Jesse Butler?
Butler is someone who we were hoping to see a bit more of when he fought Miller a year ago, but the fight didn’t even last a minute before he got knocked out.
Butler’s history has mostly been getting his opponents to the ground and using his long frame to lock them down and look for submissions. That long frame is going to be incredibly advantageous in this fight if he can lock in a body triangle because, the longer the legs, the stronger the hold is.
Anyway, Butler’s main chance to win is to take things to the ground and find that submission. The longer he remains on his feet, the more comfortable Katona becomes, and thus the more confident he is as the fight goes on, and a confident Brad is a dangerous one.
Final Betting Analysis: Brad Katona vs. Jesse Butler
We don’t exactly see Katona looking for takedowns in this fight due to the submission threat from Butler. However, we think that any takedown and any control time on top of Butler is good, especially if he reads the submission setups fairly well.
Since the main threat coming from Butler is his submissions, we suspect that Katona is going to keep this fight standing, where he will have a substantial speed advantage. Either way, it is hard to be sure if the possibility of a finish is there.
One way or the other, we are backing Katona for the win.
UFC Fight Night: Andrea Lee vs. Montana De La Rosa
Why Bet on Andrea Lee?
Lee is on a pretty horrendous losing streak right now. One might imagine that, at the age of 35, we are only going to see a steady decline from now on. However, despite her losing streak, she is still a rather fierce competitor on the feet.
She is typically known for her Muay Thai and is very, very good at dealing damage through the traditional means of clinch striking. So, a lot of elbows and knees are incorporated into her striking.
Lee is also generally good at moving and circling away from danger. She’s a very light-footed fighter and this often helps set up her leg kicks and long punches, but most of her effective damage comes from the clinch. So as long as DLR is engaging in the clinch with her, she will hold most of the advantage.
Why Bet on Montana De La Rosa?
DLR is coming off three tough losses against the likes of Aldrich, Suarez, and Barber, three names who we all recognize by now. However, we suppose the most relevant fight to look back on would be her most recent one against Aldrich, also because Aldrich generally is a fairly good striker and that’s the kind of fighter DLR needs to prepare for.
DLR’s striking is a bit rudimentary. She can throw all the attacks any other MMA fighter learns to throw, although it’s clear that her main style is wrestling. She has made a lot of improvements to her striking and her shot selection is a lot better, but she is not a boxer. She uses all of her kicks and punches to set up takedowns and such.
Final Betting Analysis: Andrea Lee vs. Montana De La Rosa
De La Rosa, straight off the bat, has a very obvious wrestling and BJJ advantage over Lee. There is very little doubt in our mind that a lot of the planning for this camp and preparation surrounds level changing and keeping Lee on the ground. However, we do not expect a threat of a finish here. It is simply going to be a control-based game plan with some ground and pound or positional changes.
We can see Lee winning this fight, as we think her takedown defense and urgency to the feet is an upgrade that DLR has not caught up to (with her striking).
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Marcos vs. John Castañeda
Why Bet on Daniel Marcos?
Marcos is coming off an unfortunate NC over Aoriqileng in which he may have accidentally neutered him with a perfectly timed nutshot. However, before that happened, he was systematically breaking down the 35-fight veteran.
Daniel has always been a patient but vicious fighter, capable of dealing damage from all ranges, and most important, all angles. We bring the angles part up because the one thing we see Marcos doing consistently well is his leg kicks. He is pretty good at dealing damage from both the inside and outside angles, making it hard to check due to not knowing which way to turn the leg.
Why Bet on John Castañeda?
Castañedais is coming off a fantastic win against Kang in which he effectively outpaced him on the feet, and it was a rather challenging fight for the latter due to Castañeda’s constant movement and stance switches. It was difficult to get a read on what was coming his way.
John Castañeda’s kicks were pretty fun to watch. He has a very strong right leg kick which buckled the stance of Kang a little bit, but it didn’t come without a heavy read on the defensive “flaws” of that kick.
The fact is that Castañeda is fairly easy to counter when he lands that outside right kick, his hands are low and it’s not exactly a quick kick. It comes fully loaded, so, from the time he launches that attack to when he can return to a rear post position, he is very exposed to counters. Traditionally, the best way to counter a kick is with a straight punch down the line.
Final Betting Analysis: Daniel Marcos vs. John Castañeda
Marcos’ takedown defense is also, whilst not properly tested, sitting pretty at 89% and that is a huge factor coming into this fight for Castañeda. If the latter is eating too many leg kicks and goes for a sloppy takedown, the former is capable enough to shrug it off and keep the punishment going.
The biggest danger to Marcos here will be Castañeda’s movement and speed. John is very good at switching stances and throwing some very, very hard-to-read attacks. He uses these stance switches to mask kicks and entries to a blitz, and he can keep up this style and attack for a long time.
However, we think that Castañeda is susceptible to well-timed counters, especially if his kicks are well-read by Marcos, Even if the latter is most definitely going to struggle to find his offensive rhythm, those counters are going to be key in winning this very interesting fight.
UFC Fight Night: Eduarda Moura vs. Denise Gomes
Why Bet on Eduarda Moura?
Moura is coming off a strong debut win over Montserrat Ruiz, and honestly, it probably is a good opponent to debut against. However, it doesn’t show a lot of what she is capable of since we don’t exactly rate Ruiz highly.
Eduarda Moura has shown to have great wrestling and grappling. She utilized her wrestling very well against Ruiz, utilizing a slick sweep to get into top control in the first round, basically keeping the fight on the ground for the remainder of the round.
Moura’s striking is a bit wonky though, as she isn’t a standard kickboxer or anything like that. It’s all basic strikes to set up a takedown, and the longer she stays on the feet to trade with Gomes, the worse it is going to be for her.
Why Bet on Denise Gomes?
Gomes is coming off a tough loss against the veteran Angela Hill, and it was Hills wrestling that ultimately got her the win. It was the path of least resistance for her and she took it.
That same advantage on the ground falls within Moura’s style and so we do hope for the sake of Gomes and her team, that she has improved in the takedown defense. The reason is, if her rival can stuff that first takedown, we think we are going to see the live odds switch throughout the fight.
Gomes has a massive advantage on the feet. She is so quick with her punches and can just be a ferocious, aggressive fighter from the get-go. It didn’t take her long to take out Jauregui at all, and it all started from that very powerful right hand.
Final Betting Analysis: Eduarda Moura vs. Denise Gomes
Moura is awesome on the ground, and since she has a huge physical advantage in this fight against Gomes, as soon as she ends up in the top position here, we suspect Gomes is not going to have a very easy time getting out of it.
The biggest threat for Moura is Gomes’ right hand. If she can land that, we think we are going to see another big upset because she hits HARD.
However, it looked too easy to take Gomes down when Hill fought her. It was a relentless pace and we think Hill’s volume of takedowns assisted her greatly in controlling the heavy hitter. So, the way is paved for Moura to take in this fight.
UFC Fight Night: Cody Stamann vs. Taylor Lapilus
Why Bet on Cody Stamann?
Stamann is coming off a fairly competitive fight against Douglas Silva de Andrade. It was clear that his game plan throughout the fight was to wrestle and get the fight to the ground, but he still did show his ability to mix it up on the feet and even drop Silva in the third round.
Stamann might be a great wrestler but we think his boxing is pretty damn good as well, often using a very slick and quick jab to soften up his target before shooting for a takedown. As a result, he is quite well-versed wherever the fight is, but we think he is going to have a tough time tracking down Lapilus here.
Defensively, Stamann is great at level changing and being a moving target, sometimes switching stance or moving his head off the center line. He is quite good at being a hard-to-hit target, and what makes him even more dangerous is his ability to move off that line, andthen spring back into an aggressive attack, often throwing a three-to-four-strike combination with heavy variance in the attack.
Why Bet on Taylor Lapilus?
Lapilus is coming off a tough loss against Farid Basharat, someone who is rapidly becoming a force of a somewhat gentle nature who is highly technical and very well-rounded. So for, him to experience three rounds against someone like Basharat is pretty damn great for one’s career.
He is a very well-rounded fighter who has pretty sharp boxing, favoring straights over hooks and uppercuts. This plays in the favour of his significant reach advantage, but we see him being victim to a left hook by Stamann, one that he uses fairly well.
Final Betting Analysis: Cody Stamann vs. Taylor Lapilus
Stamann favors the double-leg entry a lot. So, since Lapilus is relatively good at reading level changes and fighting off takedown attempts, we just think that, after the first or second round, the chance of success of a takedown diminishes greatly.
The possibility of an upset here is pretty high since Stamann is very well-rounded and has a lot of speed and explosive forward movement. However, the reach advantage of Lapilus is going to help him in fighting at a distance and dealing significant damage from his brilliant counterpunching.
We don’t think the wrestling threat is going to be too high for Lapilus because he has already boosted his wrestling capabilities in preparation for his fight with Basharat, and that’s a skill that is carried very much onto future fights.
UFC Fight Night: Puja Tomar vs. Rayanne Amanda
Why Bet on Puja Tomar?
Tomar is coming off a rather strong string of victories in the regional promotions of South Asia. She is a very ferocious fighter who has a relatively strong Muay Thai and Kickboxing base.
She is not afraid to let her hands go early. That first-round burst is almost always her prime, as she is seemingly able to overwhelm her opponents on the feet.
Nevertheless, as much as her striking is rather aggressive and damaging, her ground game and wrestling are not quite up to that level. It’s precisely in the wrestling and grappling of Amanda where we see Tomar struggling.
Why Bet on Rayanne Amanda?
Amanda is coming off a tough loss against Talita Alencar but did well against her, stuffing almost all of her takedown attempts and dealing some damage on the feet.
The problem with Amanda’s last opponent compared to Tomar is that the latter’s striking is going to come with a lot more frequency. There will be quite a few combinations thrown her way, and to counter that, Amanda’s style is to meet her in the middle and be the harder hitter.
We don’t think Amanda is going to want to keep this fight standing a whole lot, though. She is going to actively look for the takedowns and ensure that she controls Tomar throughout the fight, perhaps even looking for a submission.
Final Betting Analysis: Puja Tomar vs. Rayanne Amanda
Tomar uses her left body kick quite a lot in between her punch combinations. Even if that’s going to be effective against Amanda, we think the repetitious kicks are going to be well-read by her, leading her to catch and perhaps trip Tomar. Still, as long as this fight remains on the feet, we could see Puja take this fight to the distance and get a win.
However, In terms of her submission ability, Amanda is very, very aggressive on the ground, not wasting a lot of time in setting up. She typically favors an armbar which is going to be a most likely submission in this fight.
We expect Amanda to get the finish and walk away with the win here.
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