We are getting ready for a trip to the UFC Apex, in Las Vegas Nevada, in which we expect to see a lot of new talent and fun names for a Fight Night.
The headliner of this card could turn into an explosive fight, as we get the former title contender Gilbert Burns, facing a definite contender rising, as Sean Brady comes to show if he can face the very top names in the Welterweight division.
We also get an exciting match in the co-main event. Jessica Andrade will test Natalia Silva, who has worked her way up in the flyweight division and will now have to deal with the best division gatekeeper in the female division.
Besides the event headliners, we have a ton of upcoming contenders trying to get their names known by the fans, so we are getting quite a fun event for all the casuals to get to know those who might be fighting the top names pretty soon.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady Fight Card Odds and Info
| Gilbert Burns 2.428 | Sean Brady 1.58 |
| Jessica Andrade 3.335 | Natália Silva 1.343 |
| Kyle Nelson 2.487 | Steve Garcia 1.55 |
| Matt Schnell 4.815 | Cody Durden 1.195 |
| Trevor Peek 1.87 | Yanal Ashmouz 1.93 |
| Rongzhu 1.44 | Chris Padilla 2.83 |
| Isaac Dulgarian 1.033 | Brendon Marotte 11 |
| André Lima 1.553 | Felipe dos Santos 2.411 |
| Gabriel Santos 1.373 | Yizha 3.01 |
| Jaqueline Amorim 1.3 | Vanessa Demopoulos 3.45 |
| Andre Petroski 1.34 | Dylan Budka 3.23 |
| Zygimantas Ramaska 2.103 | Nathan Fletcher 1.729 |
| When? | Saturday, September 7 at 7:00 pm ET, 6:00 pm CST, 5:00 pm MT, and 4:00 pm PT |
| Where? | UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Where can I watch it? | UFC Fight Pass |
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady
Why Bet on Gilbert Burns?
Burns has been on a rough downhill slope recently, with back-to-back losses against Belal and JDM, it’s hard to see if the trajectory of Burns’ career can course correct, he is nearly 40 years old, coming off an injury, and he is still a rather one-dimensional fighter, although he is outstanding and extremely high level in that field.
Burns has one clear advantage in this fight and that would be his relatively new boxing skills, and we say it’s new because he has had a long career, but it wasn’t until recently that we saw him become more comfortable with his boxing.
Why Bet on Sean Brady?
Brady may not have been an exciting fighter to watch, but there is absolutely no doubt that his wrestling is truly exceptional and it is going to be a primary key to victory for this bout.
His experience on the ground is also going to pay off big time since he is a black belt in BJJ and is highly knowledgeable on what kinds of setups someone is attempting off their back.
Still, we have a little concern about him coming into this fight unprepared. Either way, what we are most concerned about is if he can stand toe to toe against Burns.
Brady also has an advantage with his cardio, he seems to be the more capable of the two at longer, more grueling fights, and that’s going to be a major factor since this is a five-rounder.
Final Betting Analysis: Gilbert Burns vs. Sean Brady
We are aware that Brady is a very well-rounded fighter himself but he is more of a wrestler than anything else. He is great on the feet and he will, probably, be able to control Burns a fair bit on the ground.
Brady’s wrestling and masterful control on the ground will be more than enough to mitigate the submission attempts from Burns. The latter is a veteran but I think this is one of those fights in which we see the next generation athlete take the spot of an old warhorse, as has been the case so many times in these kinds of events.
UFC Fight Night: Jessica Andrade vs. Natália Silva
Why Bet on Jessica Andrade?
Andrade is a veteran of the sport and is so well known due to the violence that she brings to the cage. Her small stature carries a lot of power and ferociousness and she isn’t afraid to let those hands go early and often. The only concern for her is the height disadvantage versus a high-level kick-based striker in Silva.
We believe that Andrade is knowledgeable enough to catch a kick and either attack with an overhand or look for a trip to take Silva down. Even if Jessica does not have the best BJJ, she still has a variety of skills on her side.
She has more ways to win this fight than Silva does, in our opinion. Andrade also can close the distance well and, since Silva utilizes distance management as part of her kicking game, if you take away the kicks from her you effectively neutralize a large part of her arsenal. If Andrade can get into the pocket and land those strong punches or tie her up in a bodylock takedown, she could surprise us.
Why Bet on Natália Silva?
Silva has looked phenomenal on the feet during her UFC journey to this moment, and most importantly, she’s a lot bigger than Andrade and has shown excellent instincts in fighting the hands when someone has a grip on her. She is very well-rounded, and any time she throws her kicks at range she is winning the round.
Distance is a catalyst to her success and if she can glide around the octagon and maintain that kicking range distance, she should have no real problem with Andrade.
Final Betting Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs. Natália Silva
We are highly worried about Andrades’ ability to mix in the styles, but it doesn’t take a genius to catch a leg and look for a sweep. It’s Muay Thai 101, any fighter in the UFC knows how to do that, and that would be a primary path to building success for her.
If Andrade can close the distance, she has the power and potential to make this a horrible night for Silva, but she needs to do that early because if Natália can maintain that distance, land a few kicks, and fight at her range for that first round, the likelihood of her winning the fight increases.
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Steve Garcia
Why Bet on Kyle Nelson?
Nelson is coming off a fantastic win over Bill Algeo, and we were impressed with how clean he was striking. It’s hard to match the pace of Bill and it was good to see Kyle get his spotlight moment.
Nelson has always been a rather tough striker to deal with. The power in his punches is something special, but they look sloppy at times like he hesitates and scrambles to land combinations. When that occurs, they’re not clean but often wide and swinging.
Why Bet on Steve Garcia?
Garcia has been someone who has destroyed predictions in the past, and we often praise fighters who are technical, so watching this guy win fights despite a terrible defense is baffling.
We think that his ability to make a fight violent and filthy is going to pay off a bit in this duel since Nelson is a lot more uniform in his approach.
It’s ridiculous how much power Garcia has in his hands, and just how easy it is to test his chin. He is so hittable but his opponents rarely get a chance to land on him, it’s outrageous.
Final Betting Analysis: Kyle Nelson vs. Steve Garcia
Nelson’s stance is fairly solid but doesn’t use much footwork to get out of the way. He’s a bit of a clashing fighter who likes to throw a swinging counter left hook and stand his ground, so he could catch Garcia as the latter walks him down. However, if he doesn’t, he’s going to end up dealing with swarms of powerful and relentless punches.
Garcia can disrupt any sort of pattern and rhythm that Nelson sets. He has disgusting power and
neglects any semblance of defense, being very much a car crash of a fighter and we have seen that Nelson tends to bloom at a slower pace.
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Cody Durden
Why Bet on Matt Schnell?
Schnell has had a bit of a tumultuous week so far, his original opponent had a shoulder injury and now someone who has a relatively dangerous style for his skillset is stepping in on short notice. It’s a bit of a nightmare scenario for him as he had a decent chance against Costa, but now he’s facing a fairly strong wrestler.
Schnell already hasn’t had too smooth of a time in the last three or so years, with his only win being against Sumudaerji in what was a savage back-and-forth bout. He was getting obliterated on the feet before a quick triangle was locked in, but that damage on the feet and his inability to properly deal with strikes concerns us the most, but not for this bout, just in general.
Why Bet on Cody Durden?
Durden has a clear-cut way to win this fight, and that’s to overwhelm Schnell with strikes on the feet and maybe add a few takedowns here and there. The volume will be key for him, and we’re not just talking about strikes, but activity.
Schnell spent a lot of time preparing for an opponent that is no longer fighting, so anything that Durden tries is going to be against an unprepared fighter, which gives him a bit of an edge in terms of surprise.
Wrestling is going to be the primary way that he fights. He loves to take fights to the ground, but against someone who is comfortable on the ground and has nine submissions under his belt, we don’t know if Durden will rely only on his wrestling. However, it would be highly uncharacteristic of him to only strike since he is an outstanding volume wrestler.
Final Betting Analysis: Matt Schnell vs. Cody Durden
Schnell is a tricky grappler to deal with, and he is probably going to be in favorable positions on the ground since Durden is a wrestler, so any moment on the ground is going to be a bit risky for the latter.
Our best prediction for this fight is that Durden’s takedowns will come aplenty, but as soon as he feels a submission setup coming, he’s going to stand back up and “lose” that position. However, those points will be scored from the takedown and the control time on the ground.
UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Yanal Ashmouz
Why Bet on Trevor Peek?
Peek is the epitome of action. He doesn’t care what his opponent throws, he is highly capable of ignoring any rules of technique and tactics and just breaking his opponent with powerful shots.
That is why we believe that he is a bettors nightmare, as we think his style is awesome and fearsome, but that whole “no technique” thing is something that will always bite him in the ass because, as you see here, he is taking on tougher and tougher challenges. Still, we think Ashmouz is being “fed” to the wolves here.
Peeks’ utilization of volume and power may seem inefficient in the long run, but even if he is a strong starter, his shots become more spread out as the rounds go by. Instead of a string of heavy combinations with nothing but power shots, it’s shorter combinations less frequently. They’re still powerful and potentially fight-ending, but there are spaces between the action that Ashmouz could capitalize on if he is not too wobbled and rocked in the first round.
Why Bet on Yanal Ashmouz?
Ashmouz has had some success in the UFC, with a massive KO win over Sam Patterson before losing to Chris Duncan a little over a year ago. The one thing we’re a bit concerned about with him is his hands-down style, which is not going to be too effective when you’re facing a heavy hitter like Peek. He leaves too many spaces, and even if Peek isn’t heavy head hunter, he digs into the body effectively and that’s going to alter Ashmouz’s ability to adjust his shell.
In terms of his ability to deal damage, he likes to blitz forward and rush into a quick combination, but he also leads with his head a lot so we do expect an accidental head clash sometime in this bout.
Final Betting Analysis: Trevor Peek vs. Yanal Ashmouz
If anyone can survive the first round against Peek, their chances of an upset kind of skyrocket in the second and third rounds. Even if Ashmouz is relatively new to the UFC and someone who we are still getting reads on, we think that his well-roundedness could cause problems for Peek in the second or third round.
We believe that, for Ashmouz to win this one, he needs to slow down Peek. However, we don’t see how he can do that, as he does not seem to be the kind to counter or fight tactically. He is an offensive heavy fighter who deals damage in short bursts, but that is not going to be enough to slow down this rival.
We can just see Peek switching up his target in a combination, digging to the body, going up top, and just looking like the bully in the cage, taking the win.
UFC Fight Night: Rongzhu vs. Chris Padilla
Why Bet on Rongzhu?
Rongzhu is a fantastic striker who has a ton of power in his hands, but he is facing someone who has upset the odds before. Now, Rongzhu is primarily a striker, he loves to throw power around and be a very violent finisher, and that alone could throw a wrench in Padilla’s ability to succeed.
Rongzhu has been through the gauntlet on RTU, he has faced his fair share of wrestlers and scrappy fighters and, for the most part, his takedown defense has held up.
Why Bet on Chris Padilla?
Padilla has upset the odds in a major fashion recently with his submission win over Llontop. He is a rather experienced fighter and utilized his takedowns well to slow down tricky strikers.
However, that’s perhaps where our “hype” for him dies down because we are not too sure that he is ready for the type of opponent that Rongzhu is. We cannot see Padilla having an easy time.
Now, Padilla could just as easily match the tenacity on the feet, he could make this a gritty fight, but we are not sure if the power will be on his side. He could flash him with jabs and disrupt any aggressive motion that Rongzhu utilizes, but knowing the latter, he is just as likely to still swing with reckless abandon.
Final Betting Analysis: Rongzhu vs. Chris Padilla
Rongzhu has the right defensive acumen to make this a difficult fight for Padilla because, in our opinion, the latter needs to grapple to win this one. We don’t see him out striking Rongzhu and we don’t see him being the more powerful striker, so we are going to see a bit of a gap in terms of capabilities and threat on the feet in this fight.
Still, we believe things will be kept on the feet.
UFC Fight Night: Isaac Dulgarian vs. Brendon Marotte
Why Bet on Isaac Dulgarian?
Dulgarian is a monster when it comes to wrestling, he is a fantastic and ferocious wrestler who is excellent at chain wrestling and overwhelming his opponent.
This is going to work perfectly for him as he faces an easy match-up.
Why Bet on Brendon Marotte?
Marotte is coming off a first-round KO loss against McKinney, and he is also moving down in weight to 145 from 155. This is his second stint at 145 since his last 145 fight was in 2019, so, perhaps the weight cut won’t be that bad. Either way, that does not change the fact that he is going against a high-level wrestler whose entire game is dragging his opponent down.
We don’t see Marotte swimming out of this as well, and we think we are going to see Dulgarian maintain top control and either ground and pound for a win, or look for a submission once he flattens out Brendon.
Either way, there is a very, very slim chance that Marotte will survive the fight.
Final Betting Analysis: Isaac Dulgarian vs. Brendon Marotte
Dulgarian is going to win this one, his wrestling is key to victory here and there’s no doubt in our mind that he will execute everything to perfection.
Now, to add some extra insult to this fight, Dulgarian is facing an absolute can crusher in Marotte, as we can assure you they only gave him a shot in the UFC because they wanted to feed Terrance McKinney an easy fight.
UFC Fight Night: André Lima vs. Felipe dos Santos
Why Bet on André Lima?
This is first and foremost a fantastic fight. Lima is a ridiculously good striker who has only one clean win in the UFC. His victory against Raposo was pretty clean, he took no major damage and landed some genuinely nasty leg kicks, and those are going to be a major key to victory here to take the pop off of dos Santos’s shots.
Why Bet on Felipe dos Santos?
Dos Santos is coming off a fantastic fight against Victor Altamirano, and he lived up to the hype because he was riding some serious momentum after the last fight against Kape.
Even though he got taken down numerous times, he was highly active off his back, dealing damage and not making any wrestling position comfortable for Altamirano.
We firmly believe that the ferocious aggression and sheer volume of dos Santos is going to cause a whole lot of problems for Lima.
Final Betting Analysis: André Lima vs. Felipe dos Santos
We don’t like to compare the competition that both fighters have faced, but honestly, it is clear at a glance that Felipe dos Santos has taken a rougher path in the UFC compared to Lima. Even if history and path to a fight are no real metrics to success, it makes me wonder if Felipe dos Santos preparing and fighting two ridiculously good strikers is going to pay off big times when facing another excellent striker in André, whereas the latter has not faced high-level strikers.
Lima has succumbed to pressure before when he fought the cannibal Igor Severino, and we think he is going to struggle with the volume and the tenacity that Felipe dos Santos boasts. As such, we believe that leg kicks will be mandatory in this fight to slow down the young and vicious fighter.
We think Lima is a bit of a tactician with his striking, he is calculated, slick, and a very dangerous striker, but the perfect counter for any of that would be the wild variability of attacks in a large volume. That’s something we know dos Santos does well, because the moment the fight starts, he is very quick to try and string together combinations and get the fight out of there.
UFC Fight Night: Gabriel Santos vs. Yizha
Why Bet on Gabriel Santos?
Santos may not have won a fight in the UFC yet, but debuting and going to a split decision against Lerone Murphy, then taking on a heavy-hitting fighter like Onama is a tall task for anyone.
Santos has one clear advantage in our opinion and that’s wrestling and grappling. We think that Santos is going to shine if he utilizes his wrestling early, not letting Yizha settle in and expose the holes in his takedown defense.
That is, perhaps, where Santos’s skillset comes into play as he is a lot more BJJ-focused, thus he can catch his opponent in a variety of submissions.
Why Bet on Yizha?
Yizha’s second rise to a UFC opportunity has been something special. There is nothing we love more than seeing someone achieve their dreams after failing that first time.
Determination is a beautiful thing. Yizha is a fantastic wrestler who is extremely scrappy on the ground. He has the cardio to make this fight incredibly difficult for Santos, but we don’t know if he will be able to keep up with the well-rounded output that his rival utilizes. He has to contend with many different looks and attacks from various angles.
The biggest weapon that Yizha can utilize is his wrestling and his cardio. He is a machine on the ground and we can almost guarantee that Santos’s comfortability off his back is going to lead to Yizha keeping top control if Gabriel does not have any urgency to either get back to his feet or trap him into submission.
Final Betting Analysis: Gabriel Santos vs. Yizha
Santos needs to be on top of the near-relentless wrestling offense of Yizha as well since the latter is so determined to get a takedown. It is going to be an early battle on both cardio and skill.
We can almost guarantee that Yizha is going to be amped up and look for at least four or five takedowns in that very first round, but his accuracy leaves a bit to the imagination which makes us think that he is mostly looking to overwhelm and not control.
Now, Santos is extremely comfortable off his back, but if he is unable to get a submission off his back. He is going to lose any round as Yizha has excellent control on the ground.
Yizha is just too hittable, and Santos is a fantastic striker who has quite a few weapons in his arsenal that could effectively chip at his ability to stay in the fight
UFC Fight Night: Jaqueline Amorim vs. Vanessa Demopoulos
Why Bet on Jaqueline Amorim?
Amorim is coming off back-to-back wins against Ruiz and McKenna, not exactly the greatest challenges to face, but still she has worked effortlessly to get wins over them. It was probably the easiest win in her career because Ruiz barely landed much damage on her before losing in the third round, and McKenna is the absolute worst, but now she is facing off against a fairly strong competitor in Demopoulos.
Due to Amorim’s striking, we will likely see her reach be used in a grappling offense situation in which she will either clinch up a choke or use her long arms to manipulate and guide Demopoulos into a limb submission.
Either way, as much as we want to see Amorim strike, we are concerned that it may not occur in this fight despite the massive reach advantage.
Why Bet on Vanessa Demopoulos?
Demopoulos has been a bit of a controversial one recently, only because of the way scorecards have magically ended up going her way. However, she is quite a diverse fighter, capable on the ground, and a fairly good athlete for her age. Still, we don’t exactly see her as being a high-level fighter.
She is strong but reminds us of the way that Hannah Goldy used to fight. Big actions and big attacks, nothing looks clean, and while she leads with her head a lot and has a lot of power, the repetitious actions look highly predictable.
Demopoulos might look strong in the first round, but we don’t think her utilization of attack is efficient for a three-rounder. She looks tired after the first round due to her unrealistic output.
Demopoulos is a nightmare when it comes to scorecards though. That’s the most nail-biting moment when watching her fight, which is odd because one would think that any fighter would have their nail-biting moment in the cage and not after the fight has dreadfully gone to a decision.
Final Betting Analysis:Jaqueline Amorim vs. Vanessa Demopoulos
Now, we used the word competitor earlier in the literal sense because Demopoulos isn’t a high-level striker, nor a grappler. She’s got a plethora of ways to get the fight to the ground, but boy can she be sloppy.
One thing that stood out to us when looking at this fight is the sheer reach disadvantage that Demopoulos has. Since her striking is rather rudimentary, we don’t think she is going to be too successful if Amorim employs a simple jab/cross strategy during this bout.
The more realistic situation will be that Jaqueline Amorim finds the victory with her strong BJJ Capabilities.
UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Dylan Budka
Why Bet on Andre Petroski?
Petroski is a bit predictable in the way that he wins fights. He is almost exclusively a wrestler, and thanks to his good cardio, he is capable of overwhelming his opponent with a heavy volume of takedowns and grappling sequences. If Budka is unable to keep up with that kind of attack then we see Andre maintaining control and scoring points on the ground.
Petroski’s success stems entirely from the efficacy of the takedowns, less is more in his case, and his length and strength allow him to pin down his opponents for an extended period.
Now, he has been tested against some great wrestlers and it’s fair to say that when he’s up against someone who has a high ceiling when it comes to wrestling, he does struggle a little bit, and that’s where Budka kind of fits.
Why Bet on Dylan Budka?
Budka looked good on his DWCS fight, but there have been things that we’ve noticed that Petroski may exploit. One of them is his inability to deal with pressure well, as every time Hanekom moved forward, Budka ended up with his back against the cage. There was no real urgency to get cage control back.
Budka is very new to the MMA game, having made his pro debut back in 2022, so the rate at which he learns and improves could be monstrous and he could show some new tricks this weekend. But with that said, we can only base our opinions on what we have seen, and honestly, outside of his strong offensive wrestling and some decent strikes, he isn’t too exceptional.
He nearly got guillotined on his DWCS fight because he chased the takedown rather than fight the hands. He also got outstruck by Cesar Almeida (not hard to do as Almeida is a fantastic kickboxer), and now he’s taking on someone who has effectively run the unranked gauntlet in the Middleweight division, and who has incredible wrestling.
Final Betting Analysis: Andre Petroski vs. Dylan Budka
Outside of Petroski’s outstanding wrestling pressure and utilization of cardio inmaintaining that pressure, he is a bit of a rough striker. He is nothing too exceptional on the feet and we suspect that Budka will end up finding success as long as the fight remains standing.
We think that last could be because Budka throws with menacing power, whereas Petroski looks to mix it well on the feet only to find an opportunity for a level change.
We are highly intrigued to see how both do in the wrestling department this weekend, but we still believe that the volume that Petroski wrestles at will overwhelm Budka’s wrestling defense.
UFC Fight Night: Zygimantas Ramaska vs. Nathan Fletcher
Why Bet on Zygimantas Ramaska?
Ramaska is a fantastic finisher who is very reliant on his explosive punching power and the extreme reach that he has had over his opponents during his career. He is a knockout artist who is great at moving laterally to avoid incoming shots but is also quick to turn into an aggressor and pull off a strong, although sometimes wild, boxing combination.
One thing that is going to be a slight problem is Fletcher’s grappling. Ramaska is okay on the ground, his length allows him to easily grab a guillotine or look for sweeps from the bottom position, but Fletchers’ grappling is excellent.
The transitions from standing to ground fighting for Ramaska are a bit wonky as well, as defensively he tends to look for the guillotine almost instinctively.
Why Bet on Nathan Fletcher?
Fletcher has made strides during his career in Cage Warriors, and honestly, from what we have seen his best chance to win against Ramaska is to get the fight to the ground and look for the choke before Ramaska feels too comfortable in the cage.
Fletcher has quite a few submissions under his belt and it is quite clear to us that he is very comfortable in the grappling department. If he can time a takedown and not fall into the guillotine trap that Ramaska is so good at countering a takedown with, he could very well pull off a victory here.
Final Betting Analysis: Zygimantas Ramaska vs. Nathan Fletcher
We think that Ramaska will win a lot of the striking exchanges on the feet, he has the hand speed and the power to make any striking that Fletcher attempts a bit risky due to Fletcher having to reach into the pocket and risk eating a counter hook.
Simply put, Fletcher is the grappler in this classic clash of styles, and he will need to wrestle to win. Ramaska’s striking could present quite a few problems for him, especially since he must enter the check hook range of his rival before he would be able to successfully wrap his arms around the waist and get that level change, so our pick is on Ramaska.
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