The UFC Schedule once again places a Fight Night on the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, but this time, we get a “shorter” event than what we have been used to.
The main event has been changed recently due to a reschedule, so now, the female featherweights take the spotlight as the new main fight of the night.
The main event sees Jessica “Bate Estaca” Andrade, who is facing the “Cold Blooded” Erin Blanchfield on the las Vegas Octagon.
As we mentioned, this event is just slightly shorter, as it has 11 fights, with 4 in the main event and 7 prelims as we keep the fights rolling.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in this fight.
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield Betting Odds and Fight Card Picks – Info
When: Saturday, February 18th, at 4:00 pm ET
Moneyline odds:
Jéssica Andrade -160 / Erin Blanchfield +130
Zac Pauga -300 / Jordan Wright +240
Josh Parisian +180 / Jamal Pogues -225
William Knight +100 / Marcin Prachnio -125
Jim Miller +160 / Alexander Hernandez -200
Nazim Sadykhov -175 / Evan Elder+145
Lina Länsberg +310 / Mayra Bueno Silva -400
Jamall Emmers +125 / Khusein Askhabov -150
Ovince St. Preux +190 / Philipe Lins -225
AJ Fletcher -240 / Themba Gorimbo +195
Juancamilo Ronderos +240 / Clayton Carpenter -300
Where can I watch it?
UFC Fight Night: Jéssica Andrade vs. Erin Blanchfield
Why Bet on Jéssica Andrade?
Taila Santos vs. Erin Blanchfield was promoted to main event status. Alas, Santos withdrew due to personal reasons and was replaced by Andrade.
Andrade, from Brazil, is the only woman in UFC history to win a fight in three weight classes.
She is a former strawweight champion, beating Rose Namajunas for that belt at UFC 237.
“Bate Estaca” lost her first title defense to Weili Zhang and also lost a flyweight title fight in a lopsided fashion to Shevchenko in April 2021.
Since that loss, Andrade is 3-0.
The first two of those were back at strawweight and last time out at flyweight she beat Lauren Murphy by unanimous decision on Jan. 21 in UFC 283 so it’s a quick turnaround.
Why Bet on Erin Blanchfield?
The 23-year-old Blanchfield, from New Jersey, is 10-1 in a career only dating to 2018.
She is a former Eddie Bravo Invitational champion ranked No. 10 in the UFC flyweight division and a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.
“Cold Blooded” suffered her lone loss in Feb. 2019 in Invicta FC by a split decision against Tracy Cortez and is 4-0 in the UFC.
She comes off a first-round submission (kimura) of Molly McCann last November.
The four fighters Blanchfield has beaten in the UFC — McCann, Sarah Alpar, J.J. Aldrich, and Miranda Maverick – have a combined record of 44-20
Jéssica Andrade vs. Erin Blanchfield Final Betting Analysis:
Erin Blanchfield is a tough fighter, but after her opponent was switched, she got more than she can handle on an active and dangerous Jessica Andrade.
The Brazilian has been a force of nature, but she has mentioned that she feels at her best fighting at 125 pounds, which means that Erin will be having one tough night dealing with one of the most aggressive fighters in the female roster.
We expect Andrade to finish this fight in the first half.
UFC Fight Night: Zac Pauga vs. Jordan Wright
Why Bet on Zac Pauga?
“The Ripper” looked pretty solid in his UFC debut and on The Ultimate Fighter.
However, he was also an undersized Heavyweight, so when he did finally get clipped clean in the second round of his debut against Mohammed Usman, that was the end of it.
At 34 years of age, it’s time to see whether or not Pauga can swim at the UFC level down at a more fitting weight class.
Why Bet on Jordan Wright?
Wright is an aggressive striker.
He pretty much goes balls-to-the-wall from the first bell in an offensive onslaught that only ends when one man is on the canvas.
Unfortunately for “The Beverly Hills Ninja,” that man has been him in five of his seven trips to the Octagon.
Zac Pauga vs. Jordan Wright Final Betting Analysis:
Wright always has a shot, as he hits hard and throws with absolutely zero regard for his well-being.
However, it’s not clear what he’s doing up at Light Heavyweight.
He never seemed like a huge Middleweight, and now he’s taking on a fighter experienced at taking lumps from Heavyweights.
Add in the simple fact that Pauga is the more refined technical striker, and it all seems like a recipe for another knockout loss.
UFC Fight Night: Josh Parisian vs. Jamal Pogues
Why Bet on Josh Parisian?
Parisian is the more powerful pure puncher, and last time out, he showed an ability to drag the fight to the canvas and drop hammers from the top position if need be.
On one hand, Parisian is the heavier hitter by a fair margin, having stopped 11 of his 15 wins via knockout.
Pogues stand rather tall in the pocket and his whole game relies on extended trades, so the chance of him getting creamed by a big hook is considerable.
Why Bet on Jamal Pogues?
Conversely, Pogues is more of a volume striker, able to pump out combinations of quick punches at distance to pepper his opponent.
Josh Parisian vs. Jamal Pogues Final Betting Analysis:
Pogues is tough, and his ability to stick opponents with jabs and counter combos does a whole lot to stall their aggression. If the fight escapes the first frame, he’s also a much more consistent source of offense across the entire 15 minutes.
Ultimately, I trust “The Stormtrooper” to avoid the early knockout and win the latter half of this fight clearly for his first UFC win.
UFC Fight Night: William Knight vs. Marcin Prachnio
Why Bet on William Knight?
William Knight is wildly powerful, but he bounces between Light Heavyweight and Heavyweight confusingly.
His wrestling is his best tool, but if he relies on it too much, he gets very tired and loses to men like Devin Clark.
Still, if able to gain top position, he can end fights very quickly.
Why Bet on Marcin Prachnio
Marcin Prachnio is hard to understand.
How can the same man rush face-first into losing to Sam Alvey way too late in his career and then beat the piss out of Khalil Rountree Jr?
It doesn’t make the least bit of sense. At a minimum, we know that Prachnio has some solid power and a diverse offense, though he remains too hittable.
William Knight vs. Marcin Prachnio Final Betting Analysis:
This could be a fight between two contrasting styles, and it seems like we are once more facing the ages-old tale of the grappler vs. the striker.
Prachnio has much better striking numbers when compared to Knight.
However, Knight is better on the ground, therefore, making for an interesting contest, but we are expecting the Striker to take the victory via KO.
UFC Fight Night: Jim Miller vs. Alexander Hernandez
Why Bet on Jim Miller?
Already the Ultimate Fighting Championship’s all-time leader in appearances (40) and victories (24), Miller steps into the octagon once again.
Miller has 35 wins by submission, accounting for 54% of his career total, and his methods of choice are rear-naked chokes, which rack up 7 submissions, and he also owns six other wins by knockout or technical knockout.
Why Bet on Alexander Hernandez?
Hernandez has racked up plenty of victories by knockout or technical knockout, accounting for 46% of his career total (13).
His list of UFC victims: Dariush, Mike Breeden, and Chris Gruetzemacher.
The 30 years old fighter has 10 appearances in the UFC, and he has been awarded “Performance of the Night” twice and “Fight of the Night” once.
Jim Miller vs. Alexander Hernandez Final Betting Analysis:
It seems like this fight could be one of the most interesting, as the fighters are pretty much alike in their strengths and weaknesses.
The thing, however, is that Miller has been gifting us historic fights all over his UFC career, and even at this point, we believe that he will be able to take a decision victory in this contest.
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Evan Elder
Why Bet on Nazim Sadykhov?
Unfazed by an unsuccessful professional debut, Nazim Sadykhov (7-1) smashed his way through CFFC and Fury FC to secure a spot in Contender Series.
There, he knocked out Ahmad Suhail Hassanzada in the third round of a contract-winning performance.
His six professional finishes include five via (technical) knockout.
Why Bet on Evan Elder?
When Preston Parsons needed a new opponent on short notice in April 2022, Evan Elder (7-1) moved up in weight to answer the call.
His abilities didn’t quite match his ambition, resulting in his first-ever defeat.
Nazim Sadykhov vs. Evan Elder Final Betting Analysis:
Between the short notice and the fact that he was fighting a powerful wrestler 15 pounds above his normal weight class, we are willing to cut Elder a lot of slack for losing to Parsons.
However, it is difficult to see this going much better for him.
Though Sadykhov lacks that sort of takedown onslaught, he’s a devastating counter-puncher, and Elder’s shown off a tendency to linger in the pocket.
Sadykhov’s poor lateral movement and tendency to get hit coming in do give Elder a shot, but Sadykhov’s got a clear edge in firepower.
In the end, he batters Elder into submission inside the first five minutes.
UFC Fight Night: Lina Länsberg vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
Why Bet on Lina Länsberg?
Undeterred by a 1-2 UFC start, Lina Lansberg (10-7) put together a 3-1 run, capped off by an upset decision over Macy Chiasson.
She’s winless since, dropping three straight to Sara McMann, Pannie Kianzad, and Karol Rosa.
Why Bet on Mayra Bueno Silva?
Mayra Bueno Silva (9-2-1) initially struggled to capitalize on the momentum from her UFC debut submission of Gillian Robertson, winning just one of her next four bouts.
She returned to the win column with a Fight of the Night decision over Wu Yanan, then tapped Stephanie Egger in 77 seconds to secure her first multi-fight win streak since 2018.
Six of her seven stoppage wins have come by submission.
Lina Länsberg vs. Mayra Bueno Silva Final Betting Analysis:
It’s beyond frustrating to see someone with Bueno Silva’s power and submission skills fail to develop cage-cutting or wrestling.
She’s someone who relies on opponents giving her the fight she wants, which allowed Maryna Moroz and Manon Fiorot to run circles around her.
Even if she can’t take the next steps she needs, what she’s got should be enough to carry her past Lansberg.
She’s by far the heavier-handed on the feet, which should let her offset any difference in volume, and Lansberg’s preference for the clinch plays into “Sheetara’s” hands.
Plus, Bueno Silva’s jiu-jitsu should serve as a deterrent if Lansberg considers taking it to the mat.
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Khusein Askhabov
Why Bet on Jamall Emmers?
Jamall Emmers (18-6) bounced back from his controversial UFC debut loss to Giga Chikadze by cruising past Vince Cachero five months later.
“Pretty Boy” looked poised to make it two straight after dropping Pat Sabatini in the opening seconds of their August 2021 bout but quickly fell victim to a comeback heel hook.
Why Bet on Khusein Askhabov?
A professional since 2012, “Lion” racked up 16 finishes during his run through the European circuit.
His accolades include an 11-0 record under the WWFC promotion and a reign as its Bantamweight champion.
This marks his third attempt at a UFC debut and his first bout in nearly three years.
Jamall Emmers vs. Khusein Askhabov Final Betting Analysis:
Askhabov’s been out since 2020 and Emmers can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory like few others.
From refusing to wrestle Giga Chikadze until midway through the second round to trying to play leglocks with Sabatini, Emmers’ skills are matched only by his penchant for self-destruction.
Though talented, Askhabov built his record on very limited opposition, and the version of him that last entered the cage lacked any one dominant area that Emmers could blunder into.
It wouldn’t be far-fetched if Askhabov flying kneed him within 30 seconds, but Emmers’ size and wrestling should let him eke out a decision.
UFC Fight Night: Ovince St. Preux vs. Philipe Lins
Why Bet on Ovince St. Preux?
Once a consistent contender and one-time title challenger, Ovince Saint Preux (26-16) now sits at 3-5 in his last eight bouts.
He last saw action in May 2022 when he edged out “Shogun” Mauricio Rua by a split decision in their rematch.
“OSP” will enjoy one inch of height and two inches of reach on Philipe Lins (15-5).
Why Bet on Philipe Lins?
Lins struggled out of the UFC gate with consecutive losses to Andrei Arlovski and Tanner Boser.
He’s had one fight since, a unanimous decision over Marcin Prachnio in his UFC Light Heavyweight debut, and eight different cancellations.
He has knocked out eight professional foes and submitted another four.
Ovince St. Preux vs. Philipe Lins Final Betting Analysis:
Honestly, the biggest question here is whether Lins will make it to the cage.
For all the out-of-cage shenanigans, he’s a pretty solid striker, definitely good enough to box up what’s left of Saint Preux.
“OSP” still has enough power to end things in one shot, but it can’t make up for his waning speed and stagnant technique.
Lins just needs to stay busy and stay mindful to win a comfortable decision.
And we think he’s up for it; expect him to out-work and out-maneuver Saint Preux to a decision victory.
UFC Fight Night: AJ Fletcher vs. Themba Gorimbo
Why Bet on AJ Fletcher?
Fletcher earned a UFC berth by flattening Leonardo Damiani with a flying knee on Contender Series.
He’s still chasing his first Octagon victory, having lost decisions to Matthew Semelsberger and Ange Loosa in UFC.
His eight professional finishes are split evenly between knockouts and submissions.
Why Bet on Themba Gorimbo?
Themba Gorimbo (10-3) — EFC’s former Welterweight champion — saw a three-fight win streak snapped at the hands of Professional Fighters League (PFL) veteran, Handesson Ferreira.
His next bout took him to Fury FC, where he scored a unanimous decision over Julio Rodrigues.
AJ Fletcher vs. Themba Gorimbo Final Betting Analysis:
Gorimbo’s inability to deal with Ferreira’s wrestling gives “The Ghost” a clear path to victory, and while Fletcher is facing a comical reach disadvantage, he’s sharp enough to deal with Gorimbo’s wild bursts of offense.
The question, of course, is Fletcher’s cardio. It has now failed him twice in a row, and while you could attribute the first time to Semelsberger’s pace and the second time to fighting at altitude, it’s hard to see him bouncing back if it gives out again.
We imagine that Las Vegas’ air will treat him much better than Salt Lake City’s. In short, Fletcher dominates Gorimbo from the top to secure his first UFC victory.
UFC Fight Night: Juancamilo Ronderos vs. Clayton Carpenter
Why Bet on Juancamilo Ronderos?
Juan Camilo Ronderos (4-1) — a former undefeated (9-0) amateur — scored his first marquee victory as a professional by upsetting TUF and UFC veteran, Eric Shelton.
He then stepped up on short notice to fight David Dvorak, who choked him out midway through the second round.
He fights for the first time in almost 21 months.
Why Bet on Clayton Carpenter?
Clayton Carpenter (6-0) went from 6-1 amateur to 5-0 pro on his way to Contender Series. Though “Concrete” failed to put Edgar Chairez away after 15 minutes, his unanimous decision victory was enough to earn him a contract.
Three of his four finishes have come in the first round.
Juan Camilo Ronderos vs. Clayton Carpenter Final Betting Analysis:
I honestly believe Ronderos is better than that Dvorak debacle would suggest and that Carpenter has some serious flaws in his game.
This isn’t the complete wipeout the odds suggest. Still, it’s hard to pick against Carpenter after Ronderos’ grappling completely failed to make a dent in Dvorak.
If nothing else, “Concrete” is durable and persistent, so we expect Carpenter’s aggression, wrestling, and ground-and-pound to carry him to a debut victory.
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