We are back in Las Vegas, Nevada for the UFC 313, but it’s not the Apex that we are going to, but the T-Mobile Arena, as we prepare for a pretty fun numbered event filled with a lot of exciting matches.
We are getting a banger of a main event card, as we are going to be seeing another defense from Alex Pereira in the light-heavyweight division, as he faces a tough challenge in Magomed Ankalaev.
Alongside the main event, we get a rematch on the Co-Main when Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev face again for what we expect to be either a technical duel or a complete barnburner.
Besides that, we get 3 other incredible clashes in the rest of the main card, as each of those fights could have been a headliner on a fight night event with ease, especially the female strawweight clash between Amanda Lemos and Iasmin Lucindo.
Besides the main card, we also have 7 exciting prelim fights the get the night going and prepare the fans on the way to quite an exciting night for the most famous octagon in the world.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev Fight Card Odds and Info
| Alex Pereira 1.952 | Magomed Ankalaev 1.85 |
| Justin Gaethje 2.217 | Rafael Fiziev 1.68 |
| Jalin Turner 2.01 | Ignacio Bahamondes 1.8 |
| Amanda Lemos 2.1 | Iasmin Lucindo 1.73 |
| King Green 4.555 | Mauricio Ruffy 1.208 |
| Curtis Blaydes 1.295 | Rizvan Kuniev 3.485 |
| Rei Tsuruya 2.626 | Joshua Van 1.49 |
| Brunno Ferreira 2.244 | Armen Petrosyan 1.635 |
| Alex Morono 6.35 | Carlos Leal 1.106 |
| Mairon Santos 1.31 | Francis Marshall 3.43 |
| Chris Gutierrez 1.94 | John Castañeda 1.833 |
| Ozzy Diaz 2.609 | Djorden Santos 1.49 |
| When? | Saturday, March 8th, at 6:30 pm ET, 5:30 pm CST, 4:30 pm MT, and 3:30 pm PT |
| Where? | the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Where Can I Watch It? | UFC Fight Pass |
UFC 313: Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev
Why Bet on Alex Pereira?
Pereira will make this a challenging fight for Ankalaev on the feet simply from the leg kicks alone. Ankalaev’s entire setups from his striking come from that footwork and foot placement. If you disrupt his advancing footwork with a chopping leg kick, you take away his ability to throw something cleanly in that same sequence.
We expect Pereira to, first of all, be on the retreat for the first two rounds. He is often on the retreat to get his reads in, but this time Pereira’s facing a technician who wastes very little energy throwing missing shots, so whilst Pereira is waiting for something to come, expect Ankalaev to slowly march him down, throwing his punch combinations, a few head kick attempts, but not wrestle, as we don’t think there’ll be any wrestling early on unless Ankalaev has the urgency to wrestle (being hurt, losing on the scorecards, etc).
Why Bet on Magomed Ankalaev?
Ankalaev has a few narratives surrounding him, but the one thing that we can’t help but chuckle at is the fact that he’s a wrestler. Ankalaev’s takedown success rate is 39%, a number that is abysmally low if he was a wrestler so get that thought out of your head if you’re following it. He can wrestle, sure, but so can anyone in this organization.
The most important rounds for success for Ankalaev will be the first two. Those first two rounds will be rounds in which Pereira will be on the defensive, reacting to attacks coming his way, defending accordingly to the best of his ability, and maybe returning fire, but for the most part, it’s getting a read on shots and finding the best time to fire back.
Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalaev Final Betting Analysis:
During the first two rounds, don’t expect Pereira to give up those rounds. He’s going to attack the legs and slowly destroy the mobility of Ankalaev, and since leg kicks are an attritional attack, the earlier Ankalaev absorbs those leg kicks, the worse it will be for him in the latter rounds.
We expect Pereira to chop down those legs and then make the most of the Damage until he finds the finish.
UFC 313: Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev
Why Bet on Justin Gaethje?
Gaethje is coming off a horrific KO loss against Max Holloway in what may have been the greatest knockout of the year. Now, Gaethje has rarely changed his style. He still can swing like a madman and throw insane amounts of power into everything he has, but we are concerned about his brain a bit.
He may not have a whole heap of knockout losses, but his style makes him absorb a lot of strikes without a care in the world. He’s here to have fun, and whilst he did exceptionally well when he fought Fiziev, we just don’t know how good Gaethje’s chin is coming into the rematch, considering that Fiziev is one of the more technical kickboxers in the division.
During their first fight, Fiziev was a much cleaner and faster striker. He varied his attacks well, and the only problems Fiziev had were eating the leg kicks and staying too close in the pocket. He also had problems with Gaethje’s counters after a naked body kick.
Gaethje had great success with the leg kicks, as he always does, and he had no issue standing and banging against Fiziev, so expect to see those leg kicks, but the one thing we couldn’t help but notice was that Gaethje ducks his head a lot when he fights, so Gaethje is going to, once again, have to deal with counters from that duck under, because Gaethje’s best moments have come from his duck under followed by a heavy combination upon stance postural reset.
Why Bet on Rafael Fiziev?
Fiziev is coming into this fight off an ACL injury and nearly a year and a half of recovery. Now, during their first fight, Fiziev looked absolutely incredible in the first rounds. He was sharp and fast, and he matched Gaethje’s output. However, as Fiziev slowed down, Gaethje was still in there, firing away, landing his outstanding boxing combinations with gusto, obliterating Fiziev’s face. If we are to predict how Fiziev will look coming into this fight, we would think he looks about the same. We don’t expect Fiziev to fight any differently, but it’s really, really hard to tell what he’s improved on in these years and a half away.
The one thing that changed everything during that first fight was Gaethje’s jab, as it messed up the pattern of Fiziev, so we would hope that Fiziev has figured something out to mitigate that jab being as effective because it was the big game changer that led to the shift in momentum.
As for his technique, speed, power, whatever you wanna call it, he’s still going to be able to fight at an incredibly high level, and perhaps with Gaethje’s chin being obliterated by Holloway, maybe we’ll see Gaethje get stunned more often, but we don’t know yet.
Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev Final Betting Analysis:
Time has certainly not been a friend to Gaethje, but Fiziev’s inactivity from the ACL Timeout doesn’t help his case at all, and we believe that the fight will be looking out a lot like the first one.
Expect Gaethje to get back into the win column on this one, as we will be getting quite a technical fight between two absolute warriors.
UFC 313: Jalin Turner vs. Ignacio Bahamondes
Why Bet on Jalin Turner?
Turner has faced challenges in the last few years, losing three of his last five fights. His most recent defeat was a ground-and-pound TKO against Moicano, where his fight IQ was surprisingly poor. We’ve never seen him perform at such a subpar level before.
Anyway, Turner is finally facing someone who matches his height and length, so that will be a unique challenge for him. However, we think there is one thing he can do exceptionally well against Bahamondes, and that’s get in his face and let his hands go.
That is perhaps the only thing that Turner does well. Swarms his opponents with boxing combinations and never lets up the pressure, thanks to his height advantage over his last opponents, and whenever his opponents duck down or look for a level change, he snatches that neck up and attacks.
We don’t think Turner will attack through a guillotine, and if he were to grapple, we think his best submission against Bahamondes is going to be a traditional Rear Naked Choke.
Why Bet on Ignacio Bahamondes?
Bahamondes is a fantastic fighter to watch if you’re a fan of violence and striking. He has this presence of destruction whenever he walks into the cage. His kicks are lightning-quick, and he isn’t afraid to let his hands go, but his striking defense is highly concerning.
Bahamondes leaves his hands down low because his reach and height typically keeps him out of most danger, but he’s facing someone with an identical height and reach advantage and someone who isn’t afraid of making this a nasty fight.
Bahamondes, in the past, has come out of fights looking like a bloodied mess, and that’s never really a great thing to see. We think the best attack that will affect Bahamondes the most will be Turner’s uppercuts, specifically because Bahamondes likes to duck down to avoid attacks, and what better strike to answer to that movement than an uppercut?
Jalin Turner vs. Ignacio Bahamondes Final Betting Analysis:
Turner has been in more firefights than Bahamondes has been in, and in my opinion, Bahamondes is going to be on the receiving end of some horrific shots because his striking defense is near non-existent, so if Turner has any real chance to win this fight, he needs to make it gritty and out-box the kickboxer.
Either way, this fight will be a chaotic mess to watch and witness. As fans, we’re all going to love it. Our prediction for this fight is a Turner win, just because we do not trust Bahamondes’ horrific striking defense.
UFC 313: Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin Lucindo
Why Bet on Amanda Lemos?
Lemos has been quite an inconsistent fighter, although she’s always very dangerous anywhere the fight goes. Now, her striking is strong, and she packs one dangerous punch, although her power isn’t too surprising considering how much she loads up and throws. While that could certainly be exciting to watch and make us tense, we think Lucindo’s fantastic speed and volume are a great equalizer for the incredible power that Lemos uses with her strikes.
Lemos uses her feints to draw out an attack in which she can effectively outgun her opponents through sheer power and force. She wants a stationary target so she can throw her bricks-for-hands and make her opponent feel the pain.
Leg kicks are also a main attack from Lemos. She’s great at mixing it up on the feet and gives her opponent a whole set of things to worry about because if Lucindo stops and thinks too much during this fight against Lemos, she will be leg-kicked to oblivion.
Lemos will have to be aware that her speed and timing could be off just because Lucindo is so quick on the feet, so light-footed, and utilizes a lot of blitzes to throw off her opponent’s balance.
Why Bet on Iasmin Lucindo?
Lucindo is not only going to be a bit faster than Lemos on the feet, but she also can certainly threaten with the takedowns.
Our concern for Lucindo stems from the power difference because it is obvious that if Lemos lands her shots, Lucindo is certainly going to feel it. If Lucindo plays the defensive game for too long, absorbing shots and waiting for the perfect moment to go for a takedown or a striking sequence, she’s going to fall behind on the scorecards due to inactivity, whereas Lemos is more than comfortable walking down her opponent and landing singular shots for each minute of the round.
We believe we are going to see a bit of a slow start from Lucindo, with her takedowns being more and more aggressive as the minutes of the first round go by. Lucindo can time the level change off of an attack from Lemos, so expect the first two minutes to be Lucindo throwing strikes and moving away to see what the response will be like from Lemos. Once Lemos throws that same rhythmic sequence in response a well-timed level change may occur.
Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin Lucindo Final Betting Analysis:
Either way, if you cut this cake, you will likely see a lot of incentive from Lucindo in the later rounds as Lemos’ cardio fades due to early grappling attempts and moments.
There is no doubt that this is an interesting match-up. However, Lemos being 14 years older, with a bit of an obvious “weakness” and with her takedown defense being quite rough. We think we’re going to see Lucindo utilize a typical wrestler approach to this fight, get the fight to the ground after a few minutes of standing and striking, then just control Lemos on the ground whilst hopefully avoiding the submissions.
UFC 313: King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy
Why Bet on King Green?
Green has always been a fighter who excelled when previously doubted by many. He’s typically been the one to make some fights incredibly competitive, and that’s due to his incredible boxing and his difficulty in tracking and landing shots.
We don’t think Ruffy is going to have a lot of difficulty in landing shots. However, we can expect Greens to be flowing with his defense early, rolling his shoulders and absorbing strikes for the most part. But that’s when he moves forward and throws his boxing combinations.
Why Bet on Mauricio Ruffy?
Ruffy only has two fights in the UFC, and so far, he has looked good. His stance is that of a counterpuncher, tall with a slight lean back, he’s precise and technical with his footwork, moving just out of the way to counter without a chance for a collision of strikes between the two fighters, he’s impeccable for the most part.
The only danger Ruffy deals with is inside the pocket and it is within that range that we expect to see Green land his best shots because, at range, it gives Ruffy even more time to counter and/or defend accordingly.
With Ruffy having a 4-inch reach advantage, we expect Ruffy to use his long hooks and straights intermittently to stop Green from settling into a rhythm because as soon as Green settles into a rhythm, we’ll see a dangerous Green.
Green probably knows he’s outgunned on the feet, and that reach disadvantage may force him to level change and grapple. We honestly hope we see more of that because his chin isn’t exactly as strong as it used to be, and that’s not great when coming up against an absolute killer like Ruffy.
King Green vs. Mauricio Ruffy Final Betting Analysis:
Ruffy is an absolute technician who picks his targets and barely misses, so we think that if Green goes on the offensive, he will get hit by leaving his chin out there to be countered.
Outside of Green being an aggressor, we are a bit worried about his inability to change pace and keep Ruffy guessing because frankly, Green is quite a linear and basic fighter, but what he does well, he does exceedingly well, the lack of variation and weapon is made up by excellent pacing and accuracy, and we just don’t know if that’s really enough to dissuade Ruffy.
UFC 313: Curtis Blaydes vs. Rizvan Kuniev
Why Bet on Curtis Blaydes?
Blaydes has consistently been an underdog in the division; his wrestling pressure and pace are formidable, which is a significant reason for his success in the UFC.
Now, if Blaydes can’t get the takedown right away, there’s a huge chance that his chin, which is quite horrific for a Heavyweight, will get rattled and smashed by the knockout artist.
Blaydes is one-dimensional but monstrous with what he does well. There’s no doubt in our mind that as soon as the fight starts, within 30 seconds, he’s going to go for the takedown because if he doesn’t, Kuniev’s going to bring some heat.
Why Bet on Rizvan Kuniev?
Kuniev is coming into this fight with a major asterisk on his record, that being the fact that he popped for steroids back when he fought Renan Ferreira in 2023.
Since then, he managed a win over Hugo Cunha on DWCS and thus has an opportunity to show mainstream fans what he can do on the grand stage. Kuniev diversifies his strikes a bit, targeting the body quite often, and perhaps that propensity to mix up the target may lead to Blaydes being a bit hesitant to level change. Eventually, that chin of his will be in the firing lane for a body attack or an uppercut if a level change is timed by a counter.
Curtis Blaydes vs. Rizvan Kuniev Final Betting Analysis:
We don’t have a lot to say about Kuniev. He’s making his debut and looks to be the striker in this fight, and that’s enough for us to say that he could be a dangerous opponent for Blaydes.
Kuniev has a couple of submissions under his belt, and it does make us wonder if Blaydes will get trapped in a guillotine upon takedown.
We think we’ll see a stoppage here. However, we expect that will be through ground-and-pound from Blaydes soon after his wrestling proves successful.
UFC 313: Rei Tsuruya vs. Joshua Van
Why Bet on Rei Tsuruya?
Tsuruya’s only goal when he fights is getting the fight to the ground It is pretty simple, and for the most part, he has been quite successful in achieving it.
Joshua Van is the perfect match-up, the perfect challenge for any up-and-comer, and that comes from the stand-up part of this fight, something that Tsuruya doesn’t feel too comfortable engaging with.
Tsuruya’s wrestling and grappling skills are exceptional and will pose a significant challenge for Van if he becomes complacent with his footwork and distance management. If Van allows Tsuruya to secure even one takedown, he could find himself on the ground for the remainder of the round, as Tsuruya’s grappling is extremely tenacious.
Why Bet on Joshua Van?
Van has always been someone we have backed. He is an absolute killer when it comes to his boxing, and when his opponent is feeling it in the later rounds, he turns it up and goes crazy.
Van’s takedown defence will be a major talking point by all pundits and people with the ability to yap, and it’s going to be evident from the get go that his takedown defence is not impenetrable, he is going to get taken down, but not without some decent strikes and great footwork disabling the success rate of those takedown attempts a tiny bit.
Either way, Van’s going to want to sprawl and brawl, he is going to have to disengage from the clinch or from the fence, and just stick to his guns with his striking.
Rei Tsuruya vs. Joshua Van Final Betting Analysis:
As much as we like Van, we are concerned for him in this fight because we don’t know if he can withstand the grappling pressure from Tsuruya.
This is not his first opponent who can wrestle, but it is his first opponent that can wrestle who is still relatively new to the UFC and thus doesn’t have a lot of meaningful tape on him, so there will be a whole heap of unknowns that Van will have to adapt to at the time.
UFC 313: Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyan
Why Bet on Brunno Ferreira?
Ferreira is known for his first-round knockouts. He is mostly known for not even leaving the first round apart from his last fight in which he lost against Abus Magomedov in the third round mostly due to Abus playing the smart game and getting those takedowns in, taking away the entirety of what made Ferreira a threat.
Ferreira is a disgustingly powerful puncher. It is hard to describe how hard he hits because those that he has knocked out don’t quite have a chin, so we question whether or not his chin is ready for one of the power punches from Ferreira.
Now, on the flip side, Ferreira’s volume is pretty low. He loads up a lot and only lets maybe 20 or so strikes go per round because that’s all that’s needed. However, if Petrosyan can lure out an attack from Ferreira and counter accordingly, we think Ferreira will be in trouble, especially after the first round, in which we are likely to see the most danger from the Brazilian.
Why Bet on Armen Petrosyan?
Petrosyan is coming off a KO loss, but that shouldn’t discount him from his fantastic ability to fight a clean kickboxing bout on the feet. That clean style will pay off massively against the powerhouse opposite him.
Now, we have previously noted that Petrosyan leaves his chin in the air a lot, and for him to land his attacks, he needs to be a stationary target. During those moments of stillness, we expect Ferreira to launch himself into an attack, aiming to crack Petrosyan.
In terms of volume, we think Petrosyan can disrupt Ferreira’s patterns. Teeps to the body, leg kicks, and jabs will play a major role in Petrosyan’s success.We think that if he can keep on the back foot or at least keep his lateral movement going, he should have no trouble dodging attacks from Ferreira and thus outstrike the knockout artist.
Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyan Final Betting Analysis:
It is clear to us that any moment in which Ferreira is throwing something, is a moment which may very quickly end the fight, and we think that might cause a bit of timidity by Petrosyan, because whilst Petrosyan didn’t get knocked out, more like a fight ending knock down, it still shows a bit of vulnerability in his chin against high kinetic impacts, and that’s exactly how Ferreira throws.
We think the 4 or 5 inch height advantage will allow Petrosyan to land teeps to the head, or even just head kicks, more effectively, but if Ferreira throws a powerful overhand, it’s not gonna be pretty for Petrosyan.
UFC 313: Alex Morono vs. Carlos Leal
Why Bet on Alex Morono?
Morono is someone we used to rate as a bit of a dark horse in the division, but during his last few fights, he has slowly become a bit of a terrible fighter to back.
Morono’s boxing skills in both offense and defense are quite solid. However, one frustrating aspect is how long he takes between his offensive moves. At times, he just stands still, waiting for the perfect moment to counterattack, all while absorbing numerous punches.
It doesn’t help that his footwork needs some improvement. However, the good news for Morono is that he always has his grappling to rely on. He’s a fantastic submission specialist who is highly capable of getting into strong positions relatively fast, and we think that’s going to be key to slowing down the aggression of Leal.
Why Bet on Carlos Leal?
Leal joined the UFC last year, and we are slightly impressed by how he performed against Fakhretdinov. His striking, whilst nothing too special from a technique point of view, was highly effective. He knew that landing effectively and working diligently to get those same strikes to land over again was key to success.
The main thing that we like about Leal in this fight is his takedown defense and his incredible punching power, things that could be disastrous for Morono if he does the same thing over and over again, expecting different results, that is, the same combinations, the same movements, the same takedown entries.
Alex Morono vs. Carlos Leal Final Betting Analysis:
We can’t say with absolute certainty that Leal will win this fight, but we’re concerned about Morono’s recent stagnation in his career. It seems like Morono might continue to decline, while Leal appears to be coming into this matchup more prepared, having had a full training camp.
For Leal to even perform like he did against Fakhretdinov unprepared, we consider him an intriguing addition to the roster, and we might see him get a great performance going here.
UFC 313: Mairon Santos vs. Francis Marshall
Why Bet on Mairon Santos?
Santos is coming off a fantastic debut win against Kaan Ofli in which he just obliterated Ofli throughout the fight. We are absolute fans of Santos, and we have wanted to see him fight since that TUF finale. His kickboxing looked fantastic, his instincts to stuff the takedown and defend the takedown are impeccable and he looks so well-trained.
Now, this is his first fight after that fantastically devastating KO over Ofli. The one thing we’re looking for is a repeat of what he did last fight by timing the strikes well, mixing up the angles and variation of attack, and most of all, going in for the finish because Marshall, whilst perhaps not the most entertaining fighter, is someone who isn’t going to give up so easily, he doesn’t crumble and Santos is going to have to land some clean shots to rattle his chin.
Why Bet on Francis Marshall?
Marshall recently secured a decent win over Dennis Buzukja; however, his performance raised some concerns. While he showcased solid wrestling offense, his reactions to Buzukja’s striking were excessive. Marshall moved around frequently and frequently bit on feints, which raised several alarm bells for us.
We also think that Marshall will be at a substantial speed and weaponry disadvantage here as we have only seen Marshall target the head with punches, while Santos diversifies his attacks with such speed and precision.
The only danger from Marshall is his ability to crash forward after landing or throwing a few shots. He then falls into a level change in which he secures a position for a takedown. The only way for Marshall to gain an advantage against Santos on his feet is through explosive movements and level-change threats. However, we don’t think it’s a sustainable way to fight, especially if Santos circles away from the linear explosivity of Marshall’s attacks.
Mairon Santos vs. Francis Marshall Final Betting Analysis:
Santos’ takedown defense is likely to be tested here as Marshall does have some solid BJJ skills under his belt.Considering that Santos managed to stuff many, many takedown attempts from Ofli during that TUF finale, we don’t see Santos succumbing to many meaningful takedown attempts.
We are expecting Santos to put the damage on Marshall over time and get the decision here.
UFC 313: Chris Gutierrez vs. John Castañeda
Why Bet on Chris Gutierrez?
Gutierrez has always been a fantastic fighter to watch, highly underrated compared to the rest of the Bantamweight division, but phenomenal on the feet.
If there is one thing Gutierrez does exceedingly, it’s boxing with high accuracy. He doesn’t do anything fantastic, which leads to his high accuracy. It’s just your standard boxing combinations and timing, but he does it very well.
Now, the thing that raises concerns is perhaps quite obvious to anyone who watched his fight against Quang Le. His guard and boxing defense is entirely reliant on footwork and head movement, as his shell is quite loose and is primarily utilized as a parry and counter kind of attack,
A quick boxer who has a solid straight down the middle would likely achieve some success against Gutierrez, especially if volume is added to it. The good news for Gutierrez is that Castaneda had back-to-back weight cuts, and that could seriously mess with someone’s cardio and ability to fight for long durations.
Why Bet on John Castañeda?
Castaneda could utilize his leg kicks in a pretty good way for this fight against Gutierrez. Castaneda likes to utilize his leg kicks to destroy the mobility system of his opponents, and from there, He can string together some boxing combinations. If you are unable to slow down the movement and footwork Gutierrez, you get quite an elusive target who is quick at landing that counter left hook on the retreat.
Now, Castaneda can make this a gritty fight,because Gutierrez is very receptive to his corner, especially during his fight against Le in which there was nothing but silence, and Le barely threw out anything of major threat on the feet. Therefore, we think the more textbook that Castaneda fights, the more opportunities to adapt to Castaneda’s style and approach will present itself.
Pressure, pace, and activity are the three keys to victory for Castaneda, and all of that is dependent on how he looks on the scale from this second weight cut in a row.
Chris Gutierrez vs. John Castañeda Final Betting Analysis:
This match is a fascinating last-minute addition to the event, and we will give the edge to Gutierrez due to his veteran experience in the UFC and his coachability, but if Castaneda does employ his leg kicks early to take away the mobility of Gutierrez, he could squeak by a decision win.
UFC 313: Ozzy Diaz vs. Djorden Santos
Why Bet on Ozzy Diaz?
Diaz got obliterated when he fought Zhang Mingyang, and we didn’t exactly learn much from the LA fighter other than he can get knocked out.
There isn’t much to know about Diaz except that he possesses significant power and is neither afraid nor timid in the cage. He prefers to make fights quick and chaotic, and he has achieved this in nine of his victories.
However, on the flip side of his success, all three of his losses have been via KO, all of them by heavy, heavy hitters and so we cannot imagine that his chin is up to par with what you would see a newcomer in the UFC’s chin to be like.
Let’s not forget to mention that he’s also joining the UFC late into his peak athletic lifespan at 34 years, so we don’t think he’s going to be here for a long time. If Diaz is to win this fight, he needs to stick to his guns and stick said guns in the face of Santos and just let those hands go. He has tremendous power, and he still has the muscle mass from moving up to Light Heavyweight, so once he cuts down to 185, we think he’s likely to have a slight edge in power.
Why Bet on Djorden Santos?
Santos is likely to wrestle and take the fight to the ground. We would be surprised if a takedown by Santos won’t happen here because, in our opinion, it is the path of least resistance.
On the feet, Santos isn’t too impressive. He is very good at feinting and landing his straight shots. Diaz’s last fight ended in a knockout, so we can’t help but think that he will bite on those feints early because what’s worse than losing to a knockout in front of a sold-out crowd? Losing to a knockout in front of a sold-out crowd again.
It would be interesting to see just how much of Santos’s feints take effect and how early he’s going to make use of those feints and land those really solid straight one-two’s.
Ozzy Diaz vs. Djorden Santos Final Betting Analysis:
Ozzy can still land his thunderous punches. He can still make this a disgusting fight, so keep an eye on those odds, but frankly, we think Santos will make this a grueling grappling fight with some intermittent boxing whenever a separation happens.
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