The first numbered event of the year, and the UFC has decided to make it a big one, as we are going to get the Vacant fight for the Light Heavyweight Championship and we are also going to have a fourth meeting in a huge rivalry for the Flyweight Belt.
On top of it all, one fighter in each of the main event bouts is fighting in front of their home crowd, as the event is taking place in the Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
This card is going to be a huge event, as it will have 15 fights, this includes 5 in the main card and another 10 prelims filled with talent.
The Main Event has the now Vacant Light Heavyweight Title on the line, as Glover Texeira tries to crown himself once more, as he faces Jamahal Hill.
The Co-main event is the 4th fight between the Brazilian Deiveson Figueiredo, who meets an eager Brandon Moreno, who comes to unify the interim and undisputed belt as he tries to become the UFC World Champ once again.
We are going to see all the fighters in this event to give you a good heads-up on what to expect when the lights focus on the World’s most famous Octagon.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in this fight.
UFC 283 – Teixeira vs. Hill Betting Odds and Fight Card Picks – Info
When: Saturday, January 21st, at 6:00 pm ET
Moneyline odds:
Glover Teixeira +108 / Jamahal Hill -138
Deiveson Figueiredo -105 / Brandon Moreno -120
Gilbert Burns -476 / Neil Magny +329
Jéssica Andrade -526 / Lauren Murphy +358
Paul Craig +146 / -188 Johnny Walker
Maurício Rua +167 / Ihor Potieria -217
Gregory Rodrigues -333 / Brunno Ferreira +244
Thiago Moisés -400 / Melquizael Costa +283
Gabriel Bonfim -185 / Mounir Lazzez +143
Jailton Almeida -1111 / Shamil Abdurakhimov +592
Terrance McKinney -131 / Ismael Bonfim +104
Warlley Alves -126 / Nicolas Dalby +100
Josiane Nunes -555 / Zarah Fairn +370
Luan Lacerda +273 / Cody Stamann -384
Daniel Marcos +130 / Saimon Oliveira -166
Where Can I Watch?
UFC 283: Glover Teixeira vs. Jamahal Hill
Why Bet on Glover Teixeira
Based on their resume, Teixeira should make easy work of Hill at UFC 283.
However, the age and athleticism gap between the two has seemingly wiped away the experience advantage of the Brazilian in the minds of oddsmakers, as they have installed him as the underdog for this matchup.
At 43, Teixeira has slowed down considerably in recent years and it is why he often gets caught with power shots and put on the brink of defeat in his bouts. However, his cage savvy often allows him to survive those moments.
Why Bet on Jamahal Hill
Hill, is a member of the new guard, with seven knockouts among his victories.
He’s already beaten Thiago Santos, Johnny Walker, Jimmy Crute, and Ovince Saint Preux, and his only loss came when he suffered an arm injury in a fight with Paul Craig.
This fight is his chance to add another huge name and now, UFC Gold as he does so.
Glover Teixeira vs. Jamahal Hill Final Betting Analysis:
The grappling department is where Teixeira excels because Hill has zero takedown average per 15 minutes.
Stylistically, it will be a battle between a striker and a grappler as Hill will be utilizing his kickboxing background, and Teixeira is going to rely on his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu expertise to neutralize the power that Hill has on his punches.
Although the former champion could opt to stand and trade with his younger foe, Teixeira has proved in his last two fights against Blachowicz and Prochazka that he isn’t afraid of trading blows on the feet despite his enormous experience and advantage on the mat.
On the other hand, Hill has a bad history of fighting grapplers, mainly when he lost to Craig, where his arm was snapped due to an armbar submission attempt.
Expect the Brazilian to explore this route in this match, especially since Hill’s last three fights ended with a TKO/KO result.
Teixeira’s superior grappling could be the principal factor in this title showdown, although Hill can land his signature power punches during the start of the bout as it begins on the feet.
UFC 283: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno
Why Bet on Deiveson Figueiredo
Deiveson Figueiredo is 21-2-1 in his professional career as a mixed martial artist.
The Brazilian started in local promotions in South America before signing with the UFC in 2017. Since then, he’s been 10-1-1 in the world’s most elite fighting organization.
Four of his 10 wins happened in title bouts.
Figueiredo hasn’t fought a single fight since their 3rd meeting, but you can be 100% sure that he’s been working hard to prepare for the quadrilogy fight this coming Saturday.
Why Bet on Brandon Moreno
Unlike Figueiredo who hasn’t fought in almost exactly one year to date, Moreno (20-6-2) did pay a visit to the octagon last summer.
He fought Kai Kara-France at UFC 277, which turned out to be a spectacular fight. The two fought for nearly four rounds before Moreno finally beat his opponent by TKO.
It was only his fourth win with this method; his preferred way of finishing his opponents is submission, as Moreno is one of the best submission artists in the history of the flyweight division.
Grappling/wrestling might be his strongest weapon, but this guy also knows how to strike. On top of that, his stamina is fantastic, which could play a key role in Saturday’s fight.
Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno Final Betting Analysis:
It’s pretty unusual for two fighters to meet in the cage four times. It’s only happened a handful of times in MMA.
Moreno and Figueiredo should bring their legendary series of fights to a close at UFC 283.
Just like the three previous bouts, the matchup is a pick ’em because the duo is so evenly matched.
The key this time around, like the third fight, will be the intangible, and how much they have improved since last year.
The Mexican seemingly has and that could be the difference.
As talented as the Brazilian is, he does seem to be stubborn and unwilling to develop in all aspects, and it is simply hard to doubt the guts and determination of Moreno in this series finale.
UFC 283: Gilbert Burns vs. Neil Magny
Why Bet on Gilbert Burns
Burns is a former welterweight title challenger, having come up short in a fight with Kamaru Usman in February 2021.
He has shown some amazing knockout power in the cage, but his best weapon is his Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
It has placed him pretty close to being a champion, and he is a hard fight for anybody.
Why Bet on Neil Magny
This fight finally came together after Magny set the record for most victories in UFC welterweight history with a submission defeat of Daniel Rodriguez in November.
That feat put him in a position to pretty much call his shot for his next fight, and he was quick to set his sights on Burns.
The welterweight has been in the division’s Top 15 for what feels like forever.
Gilbert Burns vs. Neil Magny Final Betting Analysis:
Burns’s submissions are going to make him a very tough test for Magny, who has struggled against similar fighters like Rafael dos Anjos in the past.
If Magny can use his reach and cardio to somehow pull off a win, it will send him crashing into the welterweight Top Five, where the title shot that has so far eluded him will not be far off.
This, however, is a pretty difficult task, as Gilbert Burns is not only dangerous on the ground but versatile and aggressive on the feet, which makes us believe that Magny will not be able to make it to the judges’ scorecards.
UFC 283: Jéssica Andrade vs. Lauren Murphy
Why Bet on Jéssica Andrade
Jessica Andrade has proved she is one of the best fighters alive at both strawweight and flyweight.
While she has suffered lopsided stoppage losses to both divisions’ champions—Zhang Weili and Valentina Shevchenko—she has the chops to beat just about everyone else and seems to be content to stay busy fighting whomever until circumstances allow her to challenge for a belt again.
Why Bet on Lauren Murphy
Lauren Murphy is an American UFC Veteran. currently 39 years old, with a record of 16 victories and five defeats.
There are eight knockouts, so 50% of her wins are by this method.
She comes from a triumph before Miesha Tate, in July, but before that, she was knocked out by Valentina Shevchenko.
In addition, before that came from a sequence of five straight wins.
Jéssica Andrade vs. Lauren Murphy Final Betting Analysis:
Andrade has been quite a nightmare for any opponent, including the very top fighters, and that proves why she has held UFC gold in the past.
She is quite a strong fighter who can handle and even ragdoll anybody in the 3 weight classes she competes at.
With an aggressive style that pushes forward and feeling comfortable in the female Flyweight division, this matchup is quite a problem for a striking focused Murphy.
She needs to keep things standing to have a good chance of making it to the end of the fight, but Jessica Andrade may be just too much of a challenge.
UFC 283: Paul Craig vs. Johnny Walker
Why Bet on Paul Craig
The Scotsman’s journey through MMA has gifted more rewards than hurdles. A 16-5-1 record has helped him rise in the ranks to ninth in his weight category.
Representing Higher Level Martial Arts out of Coatbridge, the black belt wielder saw a good run of victories come to an end in his last tilt, UFC Fight Night 208 on July 23, 2022, against Volkan Oezdemir.
True to his style, Craig made it a test of grappling abilities, yet unlike with past challenges, his opponent proved nimble enough to weave his way out of Craig’s grasp.
Why Bet on Johnny Walker
Walker should feel right at home in Brazil on Saturday evening. Fighting in his backyard, the 12th-ranked Light Heavyweight brawler comes into this contest on the wings of a victory at UFC 279 back in September.
He was pitted against Ion Cutelaba, whom he pressed into a formidable choke submission in the initial round. The effort earned him a Performance of the Night honor.
That said, the previous two challenges did not go so swimmingly. UFC Fight Night 193 in October 2021 saw him go toe-to-toe with Thiago Santos, who claimed the night via unanimous decision.
Then, in February 2022 at UFC Fight Night 201, he faced Jamahal Hill, who knocked him out in the first round.
Paul Craig vs. Johnny Walker Final Betting Analysis:
The good news is that they are both fighters and are very good at pulling off ridiculous wins too—stoppages that are so improbable that they border on flukey.
Whether it’s the BJJ specialist Paul pulling off another last-second submission like the one he used to beat Magomed Ankalaev, or Walker finishing with a sequence like the ones he used to beat Khalil Rountree and Misha Cirkunov, it seems unlikely this one goes the distance.
Our betting token is placed on Paul being able to handle Walker’s pace and then going for the kill on the ground.
UFC 283: Maurício Rua vs. Ihor Potieria
Why Bet on Maurício Rua
A 2-0-1 run marked just the second time since 2007 that Mauricio “Shogun” Rua (27-13-1) put together a three-fight unbeaten streak.
It wasn’t to last, and he enters the cage this Saturday on the heels of consecutive losses to Paul Craig and Ovince Saint Preux.
Why Bet on Ihor Potieria
Potieria extended his win streak to 15 with a first-round Contender Series knockout of Lukasz Sudolski, which also earned him a UFC contract.
His Octagon tenure began 10 months later when he suffered a technical knockout loss to Nicolae Negumereanu.
He’s knocked out and submitted seven professional foes apiece.
Maurício Rua vs. Ihor Potieria Final Betting Analysis:
“Shogun” has been shot to bits for years and most fans have no desire to watch him absorb even more punishment.
While Potieiria is decidedly mediocre, he’s 15 years younger than Rua and possesses two functional knees, which is enough to carry him past what’s left of the Brazilian legend.
All that’s left of Rua is a semi-functional grinder, and even with Potieria’s awful ground game, I can’t see Rua manhandling someone who isn’t as physically wrecked as himself.
The heart goes for “Shogun”, but (sadly) Potieria should blow him away in the opening minutes.
UFC 283: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira
Why Bet on Gregory Rodrigues
An unsuccessful Contender Series bid failed to drag down Gregory Rodriguez (13-4), as he swiftly claimed LFA’s Middleweight belt with a knockout of Josh Fremd.
“Robocop” now sits at 4-1 in the Octagon, the lone loss a controversial one to fellow Contender Series alum, Armen Petrosyan.
Eleven of his wins have come inside the distance, seven of them by knockout.
Why Bet on Brunno Ferreira
Brunno Ferreira (9-0) spent the first three years of his career rampaging through the Brazilian scene, ultimately winning the Big Shot MMA title with a vicious ground-and-pound finish.
His fourth fight of 2022 took place in Contender Series, where he knocked out Leon Aliu to secure a contract.
“The Hulk” replaces Brad Tavares on less than two weeks’ notice.
Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira Final Betting Analysis:
As with most of Rodrigues’ fights, this comes down to how easy he wants to make it for himself.
If he leans on his Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Ferreira doesn’t have many answers. And while “The Hulk” has some powerful slams and can do damage from the top, he’s demonstrated some deficiencies in positioning that a grappler of Rodrigues’ caliber can feast on.
Knowing Rodrigues, though, he’ll probably meet Ferreira head-on. He’ll still win that kind of fight thanks to his size, power, and technique, but it’ll be a much hairier proposition because of Ferreira’s explosiveness.
Seeing as Rodrigues’ durability has held up since the Williams debacle, we are willing to put out faith in him anyway.
Whether it’s the easy way or the hard way, he stops Ferreira inside two rounds.
UFC 283: Thiago Moisés vs. Melquizael Costa
Why Bet on Thiago Moisés
Thiago Moises (16-6) put his early UFC struggles behind him to win three straight, only to suffer consecutive stoppage losses to Islam Makhachev and Joel Alvarez.
Undaunted, he returned to the win column with a bonus-winning first-round submission of Christos Giagos in June 2022.
Why Bet on Melquizael Costa
Melquizael Costa (19-5) sits at 7-1 since hitting a 1-3 skid, five of those wins coming inside the distance.
He last saw action in Nov. 2022, when he knocked out Junior Melo for his 13th career finish.
“Melk” replaces Guram Kutateladze on around two weeks’ notice.
Thiago Moisés vs. Melquizael Costa Final Betting Analysis:
When looking at Moises’ spotty Octagon record, it’s worth remembering that his competition has been ridiculous.
Losing to the likes of Makhachev, Alvarez, and Beneil Dariush does not make a bad fighter, and though he likely would have come up short against Kutateladze, we like his chances.
Costa is a very capable striker with an impressive ability to get back to his feet, but he surrenders takedowns too easily against a jiu-jitsu artist of this caliber.
While Costa has a good shot at scoring the upset if he can keep Moises on the back foot, his kick-heavy approach leaves too many opportunities for the ultra-durable Moises to bring it into his world, and getting out from underneath Moises is a tall task.
In the end, Moises wins the all-Brazilian battle with long stretches of top control.
UFC 283: Gabriel Bonfim vs. Mounir Lazzez
Why Bet on Gabriel Bonfim
Gabriel Bonfim (13-0) needed just 79 seconds to choke out Eduardo Garvon and claim LFA’s Welterweight title.
The win sent “Marretinha” to Contender Series six months later, resulting in a Von Flue finish of Trey Waters and a UFC contract.
Ten of his 13 finishes have come by submission.
Why Bet on Mounir Lazzez
Mounir Lazzez (11-2) defied considerable odds to defeat Abdul Razak Alhassan in his UFC debut, which resulted in a “Fight of the Night” bonus.
Though he succumbed to a Warlley Alves body kick his next time out, he returned to the win column by out-dueling Ange Loosa.
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Mounir Lazzez Final Betting Analysis:
Bonfim’s boxing offense is genuinely monstrous. He’s got power, speed and he’s got a great jab.
What he doesn’t have is great defense — Brenner Alberth nearly knocked him out three fights back, concussing Bonfim enough that he had to withdraw from the tournament despite emerging victorious.
On top of that, he had a lot of issues with Waters’ height and reach, which forced him to resort to wrestling.
Lazzez has the edge in reach and the knowledge to use it, meaning Bonfim’s jab won’t be enough to save him.
Plus, while Bonfim’s wrestling could be a deciding factor, Lazzez has the gas tank to power through adversity and keep pouring it on late in the fight.
UFC 283: Jailton Almeida vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov
Why Bet on Jailton Almeida
Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-7) bounced back from an unsuccessful UFC debut by winning five of his next six, among them an impressive knockout of Marcin Tybura.
He’s winless since, dropping three straight and suffering through eight fight cancelations in the process.
Why Bet on Shamil Abdurakhimov
Almeida followed his upset submission of Nasrudin Nasrudinov with an even more dominant finish to Danilo Marquez in his UFC debut.
He then elected to move up to Heavyweight, where he dispatched Parker Porter and Anton Turkalj with similar efficiency.
All of his wins have come inside the distance, 11 by submission.
Jailton Almeida vs. Shamil Abdurakhimov Final Betting Analysis:
This is the third time these two have been booked to fight and Abdurakhimov’s chances aren’t any better than the first time around.
Even when he wasn’t 41 years old and coming off of three consecutive beatdowns, “Abrek” repeatedly struggled off of his back against far lesser jiu-jitsu artists than Almeida.
There’s not a lot he can do to stop Almeida from dragging him to the mat and even less he can do to keep from getting dominated on the ground.
At his very, very best, Abdurakhimov would have an outside chance of clipping Almeida as he rushed into the pocket.
It’s been years since that Abdurakhimov stepped into the cage, though, and the outlook looks grim.
In short, Almeida takes him down in the first 30 seconds and either taps him or pounds him out.
UFC 283: Terrance McKinney vs. Ismael Bonfim
Why Bet on Terrance McKinney
McKinney followed his Contender Series defeat to Sean Woodson with a 57-second submission loss to Darrick Minner.
He’s since roared back with six first-round finishes in his last seven bouts, which include a 3-1 Octagon run.
All of his wins are by stoppage, all but one in the first round.
Why Bet on Ismael Bonfim
Ismael Bonfim (18-3) enters the cage amid a 12-fight win streak, which dates back to a 2014 submission loss to Renato Moicano.
His last three bouts have seen him defeat Rangel de Sa and Andrey Augusto in LFA before out-classing Nariman Abbasov on Contender Series.
He gives up two inches of height and 2.5 inches of reach to Terrance McKinney (13-4).
Terrance McKinney vs. Ismael Bonfim Final Betting Analysis:
This just boils down to whether Bonfim can either stop McKinney with a counter or at the very least scare him off.
“Marreta” tends to back himself to the fence, as we saw against Abbasov, and that’s not a good tendency to have against a murderous puncher with excellent wrestling.
That Abbasov fight also showed off how much damage Bonfim can do off the back foot, though.
Regard for his well-being has never been among McKinney’s strong suits, so the opportunities will be there to take advantage of his eagerness and punish him appropriately.
Still, with how many tools McKinney brings to the table, we see him overwhelming Bonfim before the Brazilian’s technical edge can show itself.
UFC 283: Warlley Alves vs. Nicolas Dalby
Why Bet on Warlley Alves
Warlley Alves (15-5) — The Ultimate Fighter (TUF): Brazil 3 winner — kicked off his UFC tenure with a 6-2 run.
He’s since alternated losses and wins, most recently suffering a knockout defeat to Jeremiah Wells.
This marks his first fight in nearly 19 months.
Why Bet on Nicolas Dalby
Nicolas Dalby (20-4-1) fought his way back to UFC with an impressive run under the Cage Warriors banner, then claimed his first Octagon win since 2015 by upsetting Alex Oliveira.
He’s now 2-1 (1 “No Contest”) in his last four, as a failed drug test overturned his 2020 defeat to Jesse Ronson.
He boasts a 2.5-inch reach advantage.
Warlley Alves vs. Nicolas Dalby Final Betting Analysis:
On one side, we’ve got a guy in Alves who seemingly has all the tools to succeed, but implodes with worrying regularity.
On the other, we’ve got Dalby, a man as likely to win a gutsy comeback decision as he is to get blasted in the first round.
Whoever ends up winning will not do so prettily.
Our gut says Alves, largely on the strength of his wrestling.
Dalby isn’t super adept at defending takedowns, as we saw against the one-dimensional Claudio Silva.
And even if Alves can’t “club-and-sub” him in the first few minutes, he’s got the means to cruise to victory.
It’s equally likely that Dalby weathers the storm and takes over late as he did against Oliveira, but something tells me Alves’ signature guillotine will end things before Dalby can get out of first gear.
UFC 283: Josiane Nunes vs. Zarah Fairn
Why Bet on Josiane Nunes
Josiane Nunes (9-1) announced her arrival in UFC by viciously knocking out Bea Malecki in her Octagon debut. She had to go to the judges in her sophomore effort against Ramona Pascual but kept her win streak intact with a unanimous decision.
She’s ended seven professional fights via knockout.
Why Bet on Zarah Fairn
The UFC debut of Zarah Fairn (6-4) pitted her against Megan Anderson, who put her away with a triangle choke late in the first frame.
She wasn’t much more successful against Felicia Spencer, succumbing to ground-and-pound less than four minutes in.
She fights for the first time in nearly three years, having withdrawn from three separate bouts in the interim.
Josiane Nunes vs. Zarah Fairn Final Betting Analysis:
If she does somehow make it to the cage, Fairn should give Nunes some issues.
She’s got a half-foot of height and reach on the Brazilian, and she displayed some functional boxing in the brief time she spent on her feet in the Octagon.
It’s not like Nunes is a technical marvel — there’s not a lot to her game outside of the overhand left.
That said, Fairn has a 747’s worth of baggage behind her to go along with the cage rust.
Once Nunes builds up a head of steam, it seems inevitable that Fairn will succumb.
UFC 283: Luan Lacerda vs. Cody Stamann
Why Bet on Luan Lacerda
After falling to Ary Farias in his third professional fight, Luan Lacerda (12-1) tore through Shooto Brasil, ultimately claiming the promotion’s Bantamweight title with the submission of Wellington Lopes.
He then took his talents to LFA, where he picked up a pair of second-round tap outs.
Ten of his wins have come via submission.
Why Bet on Cody Stamann
Cody Stamann (20-5-1) quietly worked his way into Bantamweight contention with a 5-1-1 UFC start, only to lose his next three.
Nearly two years to the day after his previous victory, he successfully broke out of the slump by knocking out Eddie Wineland in 59 seconds.
Luan Lacerda vs. Cody Stamann Final Betting Analysis:
Stamann is a very good fighter with the misfortune of being in a division that demands genuine greatness.
Luckily for him, Lacerda’s a step or two below the likes of Merab Dvalishvili and Said Nurmagomedov.
The Nova Uniao product boasts a terrific ground game that’s undercut by middling wrestling and poor striking; that huge reach advantage won’t protect him from Stamann’s underrated standup and he’ll have to pull guard if he wants to bring his jiu-jitsu to bear.
All signs point to an ugly affair as Lacerda gets increasingly desperate to bring it to the mat and Stamann maintains a light touch on the gas to avoid giving Lacerda opportunities. Stamann sprawls and brawls to a wide decision.
UFC 283: Daniel Marcos vs. Saimon Oliveira
Why Bet on Daniel Marcos
Daniel Marcos (13-0) established himself as king of the hill in his native Peru before spending 33 months on the sidelines.
He returned to action in September 2022, outclassing Brandon Lewis on the Contender Series to punch his ticket to the Octagon.
Seven of his professional wins have come via (technical) knockout.
Why Bet on Saimon Oliveira
Though he failed to find the finish on Contender Series, Saimon Oliveira (18-4) impressed the brass enough to earn a UFC contract.
Then came Tony Gravely, who avoided Oliveira’s constant guillotine attempts to snap his five-fight win streak.
He fights for the first time in exactly 364 days.
Daniel Marcos vs. Saimon Oliveira Final Betting Analysis:
Always fun to see a mirror match. This time, it’s two upright, powerful Muay Thai artists who need to figure out how to beat the snot out of each other.
Oliveira’s the likelier of the two to emerge victorious. He’s faced significantly stronger competition than Marcos, so we know he can deal with adversity and keep coming, and Marcos showed some potential cardio issues in his Contender Series victory over Brandon Lewis.
Once things get into deep waters, Oliveira’s ability to stay afloat will drown Marcos’, especially since Marcos lacks the powerful wrestling needed to keep Oliveira from unleashing his full arsenal.
Oliveira out-slugs him for a fun 15 minutes.
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