The stage is set for Super Bowl 59, where the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will clash in a highly anticipated rematch of their thrilling encounter in Super Bowl 57. Scheduled for Sunday, February 9, 2025, at 6:30pm Eastern at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, this year’s NFL championship game promises to be a spectacle for both football fans and sports bettors.
The Kansas City Chiefs enter the game as slight favorites, with the spread set at -1.5. Aiming for an unprecedented three-peat, the Chiefs have solidified their dynasty status under quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who has been nearly flawless in postseason play. On the moneyline, Kansas City is listed at 1.80 odds (-125), implying a 55.56% chance of victory. Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Eagles, fresh off a dominant NFC Championship win, are priced at 2.05 odds (+105), giving them a 48.78% implied probability to pull off the upset
For total points, the Over/Under is set at 48.5. This line reflects expectations for another high-scoring affair between two offensive powerhouses. Bettors favoring the Over will need both teams to combine for at least 49 points, while those leaning Under are banking on a tighter defensive battle.
Can the Chiefs cement their legacy as one of the greatest teams in NFL history? Or will the Eagles avenge their narrow loss from two years ago and claim their second Lombardi Trophy? With Mahomes’ playoff brilliance and Jalen Hurts’ dual-threat capabilities leading two elite squads, Super Bowl 59 is shaping up to be a betting bonanza and an unforgettable showdown.
This NFL post-season has also had it’s fair share of drama from allegation of league and referee favoritism for the Chiefs, where even head coach Andy Reid snapped back some comments of his own to Pat McAfee.
The Kansas City Chiefs’ quest for a historic third consecutive Super Bowl title in Super Bowl 59 will rely heavily on the performances of their top players. Here are four key players critical to a Chiefs victory over the Philadelphia Eagles:
1. Patrick Mahomes (QB)
The heart and soul of the Chiefs, Patrick Mahomes continues to build his case as one of the greatest quarterbacks in NFL history. With an 86.0 PFF grade this season, Mahomes has excelled under pressure and in high-stakes games, boasting an impressive track record in close matchups. His ability to extend plays, deliver accurate throws, and lead clutch drives will be vital against a formidable Eagles defense ranked first overall.
2. Chris Jones (DI)
Anchoring the Chiefs’ defense, Chris Jones is a game-wrecker on the interior defensive line with a stellar 90.6 PFF grade. His ability to disrupt opposing offenses through pass rush and run defense will be crucial in containing Philadelphia’s balanced attack led by Jalen Hurts. Jones’ presence can force hurried throws and limit the Eagles’ explosive plays.
3. Travis Kelce (TE)
A consistent postseason performer, Travis Kelce remains Mahomes’ most reliable target despite a slightly down year by his standards (72.7 PFF grade). His experience, route-running, and ability to exploit mismatches in coverage will be essential for Kansas City to sustain drives and convert critical third downs against a tough Eagles secondary.
4. Creed Humphrey (C)
The Chiefs’ offensive line starts with Creed Humphrey, who has been dominant all season with a team-high 92.3 PFF grade. His ability to neutralize interior pass rushers and create running lanes will be key to protecting Mahomes and establishing a balanced offensive approach. Humphrey’s leadership on the line ensures stability against Philadelphia’s elite defensive front.
These four players represent the backbone of Kansas City’s offense and defense, and their performances will likely determine whether the Chiefs can secure another Lombardi Trophy in their pursuit of NFL history.
The Philadelphia Eagles will rely on several key players to deliver a victory in Super Bowl 59 against the Kansas City Chiefs. With a roster rich in talent and depth, these four players stand out as critical to their success:
These four players represent the core of Philadelphia’s strategy on both sides of the ball. Their performances will likely dictate whether the Eagles can secure their second Lombardi Trophy in franchise history and avenge their previous Super Bowl loss to the Chiefs.
Here’s why betting on the Kansas City Chiefs to win Super Bowl 59 is a smart bet…
The Chiefs are aiming for their third consecutive Super Bowl title, a feat never accomplished in NFL history. This team has been dominant in recent years, with five Super Bowl appearances since 2019. Their experience in high-pressure games gives them a significant edge over the Philadelphia Eagles, who are making only their second Super Bowl appearance in three years.
Patrick Mahomes continues to be the most impactful player in the NFL. He finished the regular season with a 67.5% completion rate, 3,928 passing yards, 26 touchdowns, and an impressive playoff performance with no interceptions and a 105.2 passer rating. His ability to elevate his game in the postseason is unmatched, as evidenced by his 7-0 record against the spread in playoff games with tight lines (inside three points).
Andy Reid’s innovative offensive schemes have consistently outsmarted opposing defenses. Kansas City’s use of motion and shifts has been particularly effective against the Eagles’ defense, as seen in their previous Super Bowl matchup two years ago. This tactical advantage could once again exploit Philadelphia’s defensive weaknesses.
The Chiefs’ defense, led by Chris Jones, has been exceptional this season. They rank among the best in key defensive metrics and are well-equipped to disrupt Philadelphia’s offense, particularly with injuries to key Eagles players like DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. The Chiefs’ ability to pressure Jalen Hurts and limit Saquon Barkley’s impact will be critical.
The Chiefs are slight favorites at -125 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the spread. Historically, Kansas City has covered in its last three Super Bowl appearances and is riding a nine-game postseason win streak. Additionally, Mahomes thrives as a favorite in close matchups.
Philadelphia enters the game with notable injuries to key players like DeVonta Smith (hamstring), Dallas Goedert (ankle), and Brandon Graham (triceps). These setbacks could hinder their offensive efficiency and defensive depth against a well-rounded Chiefs team.
The Chiefs’ combination of elite talent, playoff experience, strategic coaching, and favorable betting trends makes them an excellent choice to win Super Bowl 59. Betting on Kansas City not only aligns with historical success but also capitalizes on their current form and matchup advantages over the Eagles.
The Philadelphia Eagles are a strong bet to win Super Bowl 59, and here’s why:
The Eagles boast one of the most complete rosters in the NFL, with elite talent on both sides of the ball. Their offensive line, anchored by Jason Kelce and Lane Johnson, is widely regarded as the best in the league, providing Jalen Hurts with exceptional protection and creating dominant run-blocking opportunities. On defense, their pass rush leads the NFL in sacks, making them a nightmare for opposing quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts has emerged as one of the league’s top quarterbacks, combining his dual-threat ability with improved passing efficiency. He finished the regular season with 22 passing touchdowns, 13 rushing touchdowns, and over 4,000 total yards. His ability to extend plays and make critical decisions under pressure has been instrumental in Philadelphia’s success.
The Eagles’ offense is loaded with playmakers. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith form one of the best wide receiver duos in the NFL, while Dallas Goedert provides a reliable target at tight end. Their rushing attack, led by Hurts and a deep rotation of running backs, is second to none. This balanced offensive approach makes them difficult to defend.
Philadelphia’s defense ranks among the best in the league in multiple categories, including pass defense and total yards allowed per game. Their defensive line, featuring Haason Reddick and Josh Sweat, excels at pressuring quarterbacks, which could disrupt Patrick Mahomes’ rhythm. Additionally, their secondary, led by Darius Slay and James Bradberry, is adept at limiting big plays.
Head coach Nick Sirianni has proven himself as an innovative leader who maximizes his team’s strengths. His aggressive play-calling and ability to adapt during games have been key to Philadelphia’s success this season. The Eagles’ coaching staff has also excelled in preparing for high-stakes matchups.
The Eagles have been dominant throughout the season and playoffs, consistently beating opponents by wide margins. Their ability to control games with their run game and stifling defense makes them a formidable opponent for any team.
The Eagles are slight underdogs at +105 on the moneyline but have thrived in this role during big games. They’ve covered the spread in four of their last five playoff games and have shown resilience against top-tier opponents.
The Eagles’ combination of roster depth, elite talent on both sides of the ball, Jalen Hurts’ dynamic playmaking ability, and defensive dominance makes them an excellent bet to win Super Bowl 59. With their balanced attack and recent momentum, Philadelphia is well-positioned to overcome Kansas City and secure another championship victory.
There isn’t enough value here to make any real profit, not to mention the high risk nature of a straight up winner between the Chiefs and 49ers.
This thing could easily go into overtime and neither of these teams has a history of rolling over and getting destroyed.
The Moneylines has little profit value and a lot of risk. Stay away from the Moneyline.
What spread? Yeah, that’s right, we said it.
-2 point spread isn’t a spread at all. The simple rule to go with is, if the traditional sportsbooks don’t give a spread then it’s a clear sign the game is too close to call from their point of view.
If your sportsbook isn’t providing value, then don’t take this bet. Move on, we have a couple of ways you find a ton of value in Super Bowl 58.
If you’re considering a bet on the Super Bowl LVIII point spread – arguably the most popular bet to place for the big game – then there’s one major data point to think about.
The consensus across the industry is 47.5 points for the Over/Under, not too shabby. 2/3rds of bets are on the Over.
Backing a line in sports betting is when you select one side of the bet as the one which you think will be successful. This means taking the favorite in spread betting, or picking an over or under in totals betting. For player props, it means selecting whether to go over or under a certain statistic, and for live bets it means immediately placing a bet after a team scores or a player gets injured.
Laying a line in sports betting is the opposite of backing a line – it means selecting the side of the bet which you think will not be successful. This means taking the underdog in spread betting, or selecting an under rather than an over in totals betting. For player props, it means choosing to go under a certain statistic and for live bets, it means anticipating an event before it happens so you can place a bet on its outcome.
Spread betting is a popular way to get more out of the NFL season. It involves picking one side of the sportsbook point spread, such as taking the Cincinnati Bengals as a 6.5-point favorite (-6.5) in Week 1 against the Pittsburgh Steelers or “taking the points” and betting on the Steelers +6.5 as an underdog.
Totals betting gives bettors another option by allowing them to pick one side of an over/under bet, such as whether they think there will be more or less than 44 points scored when the Baltimore Ravens play the New York Jets in Week 1.
Player props are bets based on individual game performance statistics and usually become available from sportsbooks on Friday before each game starts. As an example, for the Rams vs Bills Week 1 game there may be bets available with over/under lines for Josh Allen’s passing yards or “anytime touchdown scorer” odds for any player. Live bets can also be placed during a game once it has started which provide updated odds that reflect what has happened up to that point in time. If you have a read on the momentum of the game before these live odds change, you could find some great value!
Super Bowl | Final Score | Spread | Totals | Spread/Total Betting Results | AFC/NFC SU/ATS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LVI (Feb 13, 2022) | LA Rams 23, Cincinnati 20 | LA -4 | 49.5 | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU ONLY |
LV (Feb 7, 2021) | Tampa Bay 31, Kansas City 9 | KC -3 | 56.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
LIV (Feb 2, 2020) | Kansas City 31, San Francisco 20 | KC -1.5 | 53.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
LIII (Feb 3, 2019) | New England 13, LA Rams 3 | NE -2.5 | 55.5 | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
LII (Feb 4, 2018) | Philadelphia 41, New England 33 | NE -4.5 | 49.0 | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
LI (Feb 5, 2017) | New England 34, Atlanta 28 | NE -3 | 57.5 | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
L (Feb 7, 2016) | Denver 24, Carolina 10 | CAR -4.5 | 43.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XLIX (Feb 1, 2015) | New England 28, Seattle 24 | SEA -1 | 47.5 | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XLVIII (Feb 2, 2014) | Seattle 43, Denver 8 | DEN -2 | 47.5 | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XLVII (Feb 3, 2013) | Baltimore 34, San Francisco 31 | SF -4.5 | 48.0 | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XLVI (Feb 5, 2012) | N.Y. Giants 21, New England 17 | NE -2.5 | 53.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XLV (Feb 6, 2011) | Green Bay 31, Pittsburgh 25 | GB -3 | 45.0 | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XLIV (Feb 7, 2010) | New Orleans 31, Indianapolis 17 | IND -5 | 57.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XLIII (Feb 1, 2009) | Pittsburgh 27, Arizona 23 | PIT -7 | 46.0 | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU ONLY |
XLII (Feb 3, 2008) | N.Y. Giants 17, New England 14 | NE -12 | 55.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XLI (Feb 4, 2007) | Indianapolis 29, Chicago 17 | IND -7 | 47.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XL (Feb 5, 2006) | Pittsburgh 21, Seattle 10 | PIT -4 | 47.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XXIX (Feb 6, 2005) | New England 24, Philadelphia 21 | NE -7 | 46.5 | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU ONLY |
XXXVIII (Feb 1, 2004) | New England 32, Carolina 29 | NE -7 | 37.5 | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU ONLY |
XXXVII (Jan 26, 2003) | Tampa Bay 48, Oakland 21 | OAK -4 | 44.0 | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XXXVI (Feb 3, 2002) | New England 20, St. Louis 17 | STL -14 | 53.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XXXV (Jan 28, 2001) | Baltimore 34, N.Y. Giants 7 | BAL -3 | 33.0 | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XXXIV (Jan 30, 2000) | St. Louis 23, Tennessee 16 | STL -7 | 45.0 | Push (UNDER) | NFC SU ONLY (P) |
XXXIII (Jan 31, 1999) | Denver 34, Atlanta 19 | DEN -7.5 | 52.5 | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XXXII (Jan 25, 1998) | Denver 31, Green Bay 24 | GB -11 | 49.0 | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XXXI (Jan 26, 1997) | Green Bay 35, New England 21 | GB -14 | 49.0 | Push (OVER) | NFC SU ONLY (P) |
XXX (Jan 28, 1996) | Dallas 27, Pittsburgh 17 | DAL -13.5 | 51.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU ONLY |
XXIX (Jan 29, 1995) | San Francisco 49, San Diego 26 | SF -18.5 | 53.5 | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XXVIII (Jan 30, 1994) | Dallas 30, Buffalo 13 | DAL -10.5 | 50.5 | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XXVII (Jan 31, 1993) | Dallas 52, Buffalo 17 | DAL -6.5 | 44.5 | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XXVI (Jan 26, 1992) | Washington 37, Buffalo 24 | WAS -7 | 49.0 | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XXV (Jan 27, 1991) | N.Y. Giants 20, Buffalo 19 | BUF -7 | 40.5 | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XXIV (Jan 28, 1990) | San Francisco 55, Denver 10 | SF -12 | 48.0 | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XXIII (Jan 22, 1989) | San Francisco 20, Cincinnati 16 | SF -7 | 48.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | NFC SU ONLY |
XXII (Jan 31, 1988) | Washington 42, Denver 10 | DEN -3 | 47.0 | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XXI (Jan 25, 1987) | N.Y. Giants 39, Denver 20 | NYG -9.5 | 40.0 | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XX (Jan 26, 1986) | Chicago 46, New England 10 | CHI -10 | 37.5 | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XIX (Jan 20, 1985) | San Francisco 38, Miami 16 | SF -3.5 | 53.5 | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XVIII (Jan 22, 1984) | L.A. Raiders 38, Washington 9 | WAS -3 | 48.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XVII (Jan 30, 1983) | Washington 27, Miami 17 | MIA -3 | 36.5 | Underdog (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XVI (Jan 24, 1982) | San Francisco 26, Cincinnati 21 | SF -1 | 48.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XV (Jan 25, 1981) | Oakland 27, Philadelphia 10 | PHI -3 | 37.5 | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XIV (Jan 20, 1980) | Pittsburgh 31, L.A. Rams 19 | PIT -10.5 | 36.0 | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XIII (Jan 21, 1979) | Pittsburgh 35, Dallas 31 | PIT -3.5 | 37.0 | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
XII (Jan 15, 1978) | Dallas 27, Denver 10 | DAL -6 | 39.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
XI (Jan 9, 1977) | Oakland 34, Minnesota 14 | OAK -4 | 38.0 | Favorite (OVER) | AFC SU & ATS |
X (Jan 18, 1976) | Pittsburgh 21, Dallas 17 | PIT -7 | 36.0 | Underdog (OVER) | AFC SU ONLY |
IX (Jan 12, 1975) | Pittsburgh 16, Minnesota 6 | PIT -3 | 33.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
VIII (Jan 13, 1974) | Miami 24, Minnesota 7 | MIA -6.5 | 33.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
VII (Jan 14, 1973) | Miami 14, Washington 7 | MIA -1 | 33.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
VI (Jan 16, 1972) | Dallas 24, Miami 3 | DAL -6 | 34.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | NFC SU & ATS |
V (Jan 17, 1971) | Baltimore 16, Dallas 13 | BAL -2.5 | 36.0 | Favorite (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
IV (Jan 11, 1970) | Kansas City 23, Minnesota 7 | MIN -12 | 39.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
III (Jan 12, 1969) | N.Y. Jets 16, Baltimore 7 | BAL-18 | 40.0 | Underdog (UNDER) | AFC SU & ATS |
II (Jan 14, 1968) | Green Bay 33, Oakland 14 | GB -13.5 | 43.0 | Favorite (OVER) | NFC SU & ATS |
I (Jan 15, 1967) | Green Bay 35, Kansas City 10 | GB -14 | Favorite | NFC SU & ATS | |
Avg = 45.0 |
Super Bowl 59 is going to be an epic battle between two of the best teams in the NFL this season. Get your free Super Bowl betting picks plus an in depth analysis of both teams, public consensus picks, Eagles and Chiefs season long odds.
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