This Saturday, May 21st, we analize a full 11 fight card headlined by the female bantamweights, as we get Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira facing off in a possible title eliminator.
We also get Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Michel Pereira, who will give us an excellent welterweight fight to watch in the Co-Main event.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in this fight.
UFC Fight Night – Holm vs. Vieira – Betting Odds and Free Picks – Info
When: Saturday, May 21st, at 4:00 pm ET
Moneyline odds:
Holly Holm -250 / Ketlen Vieira +195
Michel Pereira -125 / Santiago Ponzinibbio +100
Dusko Todorovic +185 / Chidi Njokuani -225
Polyana Viana +100 / Tabatha Ricci -130
Jun Yong Park -210 / Eryk Anders +170
Alen Amedovski +160 / Joseph Holmes -195
Parker Porter +400 / Jailton Almeida -600
Uros Medic +110 / Omar Morales -140
Vince Morales +185 / Jonathan Martinez -225
Felipe Colares -185 / Chase Hooper +155
Sam Hughes +130 / Elise Reed -160
Draw Offs: –
Where Can I Watch? ESPN +
Where Can I Stream? ESPN Go
UFC Fight Night: Holly Holm vs. Ketlen Vieira
Why Bet on Holly Holm
Although she is 40 years old, Holm is still in phenomenal shape for her age and she has proven she can still beat younger opponents.
In her last two outings, Holm defeated Irene Aldana and Raquel Pennington, and she beat both of those fighters rather easily.
Given both those women haven’t lost since they fought Holm, those wins have aged nicely.
Why Bet on Ketlen Vieira
Vieira has looked pretty good in the UFC overall and she’s coming off of a nice win over former champ Miesha Tate in her last fight.
That being said, it was a standup fight, and Tate is not a good striker.
Holly Holm vs. Ketlen Vieira Final Betting Analysis:
If Vieira wants to stand and trade with Holm, it won’t go well for her.
Vieira’s best path to victory in this fight is to shoot for takedowns, but she might have trouble taking down Holm to the floor.
On the feet, there is no question that Holm is better, and she might control the fight to get a desicion win.
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio
Why Bet on Michel Pereira
‘Demolidor’ is a highly-dangerous fighter on his feet, but the idea that he’s more flash than substance still remains, even if he looked much improved in his more recent wins over Niko Price and Andre Fialho.
He does seem to have calmed his wildman act a little.
Why Bet on Santiago Ponzinibbio
Of the two, Ponzinibbio is definitely the more proven. ‘Gente Boa’ shot up the rankings from his octagon debut in 2013 through to his win over Neil Magny in 2018.
That win, along with his victories over Gunnar Nelson and Mike Perry, put him firmly in the top 10 at 170 pounds.
Michel Pereira vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio Final Betting Analysis:
At his best, Ponzinibbio is an excellent striker with heavy hands, nasty leg kicks and a strong chin.
However, his willingness to brawl is always a bit of an issue for him, as it tends to mean he risks more than he honestly needs to.
Against Pereira, though, he might be inclined to do just that – wade in with punches and not give his Brazilian opponent a chance to settle and throw something big. If Pereira can remain calm under fire, then there’s definitely the chance he capitalises on Ponzinibbio’s seemingly waning durability.
UFC Fight Night: Dusko Todorovic vs. Chidi Njokuani
Why Bet on Dusko Todorovic
Todorovic is 2-2 overall in the UFC. In his two wins, he showed off an excellent ground game as he took down both Maki Pitolo and Dequan Townsend and beat them up on the floor.
However, in his two UFC losses to Gregory Rodrigues and Puna Soriano, he was not able to take his opponents down to the ground. Instead, he was forced to fight in the standup, and we saw holes in his striking defense.
Why Bet on Chidi Njokuani
Njokuani had an incredible UFC debut earlier this year when he knocked out Marc-Andre Barriault in just 16 seconds. It was an amazing start, and it was a long time coming.
Although he’s new to the UFC roster, Njokuani has been a professional MMA fighter since 2007, meaning he’s been competing for 15 years.
Dusko Todorovic vs. Chidi Njokuani Final Betting Analysis:
Njokuani is by far the superior striker in this fight, and with his improved grappling skills, he will be able to keep this fight standing and knock Todorovic out.
UFC Fight Night: Polyana Viana vs. Tabatha Ricci
Why Bet on Polyana Viana
Viana is currently on a two-fight win streak, tapping both of her opponents via armbar.
Why Bet on Tabatha Ricci
Ricci has gone 1-1 in the UFC octagon as of this point in her carreer.
Polyana Viana vs. Tabatha Ricci Final Betting Analysis:
This should come down to whether Viana can take Ricci down and get on top, as she’s probably the more effective grappler by a hair.
However, Ricci does look capable in her own right, and so this one is likely to go the distance in Viana’s favor.
UFC Fight Night: Jun Yong Park vs. Eryk Anders
Why Bet on Jun Yong Park
Park has a 3-2 record in the UFC and he has performed fairly well overall.
He has shown off a solid ground game in his wins as he was able to take his opponents to the mat and beat them on the floor. His striking is decent too, but not great.
He is coming off of a KO loss to Gregory Rodrigues in his last fight in what was a back-and-forth war.
Why Bet on Eryk Anders
With a 6-6, 1 NC record in the Octagon, Anders has certainly been very inconsistent.
However, he has fought a very high level of competition for the most part, with most of his losses coming to ranked opponents. He is coming off of a loss to Andre Muniz, but Muniz could be a future champion in the weight class, so I don’t think it’s that bad of a loss.
With solid takedown defense and improved striking, he could prove to be a tough matchup for Park.
Jun Yong Park vs. Eryk Anders Final Betting Analysis:
Park’s ground game is very good, but he’s overly reliant on it, and it might not work against Anders.
Anders can nullify Park’s takedowns because he’s the bigger, stronger man, and he can do more damage to Park with his improved striking.
UFC Fight Night: Alen Amedovski vs. Joseph Holmes
Why Bet on Alen Amedovski
Alen Amedovski’s (8-2) short-notice Octagon debut against Krzysztof Jotko didn’t work out for him, as the Pole’s wrestling prowess condemned Amedovski to a decision loss.
Then came John Phillips, who knocked Amedovski cold just 17 seconds into the first round.
Why Bet on Joseph Holmes
Three months after tapping Shonte Barnes on Contender Series, Joseph Holmes (7-2) stepped up on short notice to face fellow alumnus Jamie Pickett.
Though he started strong, “Ugly Man Joe” ultimately faded down the stretch en route to his first loss since his professional debut.
Alen Amedovski vs. Joseph Holmes Final Betting Analysis:
Amedovski doesn’t have the stand up skills to deal with Holmes height, reach and clinch abilities; nor does he have the ground chops to either keep it there or get anything going off of his back.
Amedovski could have improved during his three years away, of course, but the guy willingly slugged it out in the pocket with Phillips, one of the most comically one-note fighters in UFC history. So, our pick is on Holmes getting an early finish.
UFC Fight Night: Parker Porter vs. Jailton Almeida
Why Bet on Parker Porter
Parker Porter (13-6) had the unenviable task of making his UFC debut against Chris Daukaus, who battered him into submission late in the first round.
He’s since put together a three-fight win streak, most recently edging out Alan Baudot in Feb. 2022. Now he steps in for Maxim Grishin on one month’s notice.
Why Bet on Jailton Almeida
Jailton Almeida (15-2) — undefeated since a 5-2 start — flipped the script on Contender Series by dominating wrestling specialist, Nasrudin Nasrudinov, on the mat.
“Malhadinho” was similarly dominant in his UFC debut, mauling fellow Brazilian jiu-jitsu artist Danilo Marques for a first-round ground-and-pound finish.
Parker Porter vs. Jailton Almeida Final Betting Analysis:
There is no size advantage large enough to make up for Almeida’s edge on the mat.
The ease with which “Malhadinho” has tossed people around suggests that he’ll get Porter to the mat without too much trouble, and from there it’s just a question of whether the Brazilian decides to pound him out or choke him out.
UFC Fight Night: Uros Medic vs. Omar Morales
Why Bet on Uros Medic
“The Doctor” kept his first-round finishing streak alive by thrashing Mikey Gonzalez on the Contender Series, then needed even less time to put away Aalon Cruz in his Octagon debut.
His second UFC appearance pitted him against fellow Contender Series alum, Jalin Turner, who put an end to Medic’s unbeaten record via first-round club-and-sub.
Why Bet on Omar Morales
Omar Morales (11-2) went from brutally upsetting Harvey Park on Contender Series to claiming victory in his first two UFC appearances. He then elected to drop to Featherweight, where he went 1-2.
Uros Medic vs. Omar Morales Final Betting Analysis:
Only Giga Chikadze has managed to hurt Morales in the Octagon, so I like him to weather the early storm, then feed Medic a steady diet of one-two combinations and low kicks en route to a decision win.
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Jonathan Martinez
Why Bet on Vince Morales
Vince Morales (11-5) likewise initially struggled to find his footing in the world’s largest mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion, dropping three of his first four UFC bouts. He has since righted the ship with two straight wins, among them a vicious knockout of Louis Smolka in Dec. 2021.
The win marked his sixth professional (technical) knockout and eighth professional finish overall.
Why Bet on Jonathan Martinez
Jonathan Martinez (15-4) had a rather inauspicious UFC start, as he found himself dominated by Andrew Soukhamthath in Moncton.
He now sits at 6-2 in his last eight bouts, one of those losses coming by highly questionable decision against Andre Ewell.
Vince Morales vs. Jonathan Martinez Final Betting Analysis:
Morales has some real power in his right hand and some genuine boxing chops, so it’s not out of the question that he could lamp Martinez the way Davey Grant did if “Dragon” gets too comfortable mixing it up inside.
Still, it’s likelier that Martinez plays a conservative game, taking apart Morales’ lead leg and keeping him at a distance for UFC victory No. 7.
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Colares vs. Chase Hooper
Why Bet on Felipe Colares
Felipe Colares (10-3) — the former Jungle Fight Featherweight champion — has alternated losses and wins since joining UFC undefeated (7-0).
His last two fights have seen him survive early trouble to overpower Luke Sanders and battle Chris Gutierrez to a split decision loss.
Why Bet on Chase Hooper
Though Chase Hooper’s (10-2-1) win on Contender Series only earned him a developmental contract, he worked his way to the Octagon proper with a 3-0-1 run on the regional circuit.
He now sits at 2-2 in the world’s largest MMA promotion, most recently dropping a decision to Steven Peterson.
Felipe Colares vs. Chase Hooper Final Betting Analysis:
Enormously limited though he may be, Colares has the right set of skills to knock Hooper’s UFC record back below .500.
He’s insanely durable, extremely aggressive and sufficiently skilled on the ground to hold his own in Hooper’s wheelhouse.
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Elise Reed
Why Bet on Sam Hughes
Sam Hughes (6-4) opened her UFC career with three consecutive losses to division standouts Tecia Torres, Loma Lookboonmee and Luana Pinhero. She came up big with her back against the wall, though, out-lasting a strong start from Istela Nunes to claim a majority decision victory.
Why Bet on Elise Reed
Less than two months after winning the Cage Fury Strawweight title, Elise Reed (5-1) moved up in weight for a short-notice debut against Sijara Eubanks. Though that predictably ended poorly, she got back on track eight months later with a split decision over Contender Series graduate Cory McKenna.
Sam Hughes vs. Elise Reed Final Betting Analysis:
Reed’s footwork should allow her to pick off Hughes’ linear rushes and steer clear of the fence. Plus, Reed’s cardio is great, so she’s unlikely to fade late.
Hughes’ two biggest weapons in this match up are her wrestling and adaptability. The former shouldn’t be an issue so long as Reed stays mobile, and the greater variety of her striking makes it difficult for Hughes to get dialed in in time to retake control. In the end, Reed’s rangy offense should carry her to a narrow win.
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