The Italian Serie A is ending, and with only two rounds left to play, all the teams will want to finish strong to achieve their respective objectives. Now, this weekend, we will have an exceptional match to open the curtain of the 37th matchday between Fiorentina and Napoli.
The fight for the top of the standings is completely defined, as Inter were crowned champions several weeks ago. However, the rest of the European positions are still open and in a big fight, taking into account that, due to new UEFA regulations, this season, Serie A has five slots for the next edition of the Champions League.
The team that finishes in sixth place has its place in the Europa League along with the seventh, while the eighth will be present in the Conference League.
Undoubtedly, this makes the teams much more determined in this final stretch of the season to seek victories.
When and Where?
Friday, May 17, 2:45 pm ET at the Stadio Artemio Franchi
Moneyline odds:
Fiorentina 2.65Â
Napoli 2.76
Draw Offs:Â
3.62
Where can I watch it?Â
Paramount+ and Star+
Why Bet on Fiorentina?
Fiorentina is currently in eighth place in Serie A with 53 points from 35 games, coming from 15 wins, 8 draws and 12 defeats. They have conceded 53 goals and scored 40 so far this season. With two matchdays remaining, they are six points behind sixth-placed Lazio but with a game in hand. If they win that game, the gap with will be reduced to three points.
Despite some inconsistent performances, the Viola has won three of their last five games, including a recent 2-1 win over Monza. They will approach their upcoming match against Napoli confidently, aiming to secure crucial points for their European qualification aspirations.
Fiorentina’s main objective for the season is to secure a place in European competitions. Sitting in eighth place, they are within reach of Lazio in sixth place. Winning their remaining three games could propel them into that tournament. However, they must also keep a close eye on Napoli, who are just two points behind them. This game is key.
Securing a Europa League spot in the league would mark a successful season. However, they could also secure their ticket to that competition by winning the Conference League final against Olympiacos.
Why Bet on Napoli?
Napoli’s recent form has been disappointing, with three draws and two defeats in their last five Serie A games. This dip in form has seen them drop down the table after winning the Scudetto last season.
Their most recent game ended in a 0-2 home loss to Bologna. Before that, they drew 1-1 away to Udinese and 2-2 at home to Roma. They also suffered defeats to Empoli (0-1) and Atalanta (0-3).
Compared to their title-winning season, Napoli’s form has been disappointing. Their goal difference this season is +7, whereas, at the same stage last season, it was +38 when they were comfortably leading.
Napoli’s decline in form has been unexpected, considering they still have many key players from their title-winning team. However, injuries and loss of confidence seem to have affected their recent results. They need to make changes quickly to secure a place in European competition.
Final Betting Analysis:Â Fiorentina vs. NapoliÂ
In the last 20 matches between these two teams, Napoli dominates the series with ten wins. On the other hand, La Fiore accumulated five triumphs, while five games ended with draws on the scoreboard.
The most recent match between these two teams ended in a 3-0 victory for the Partenopei. However, before that, the locals managed a 3-1 away win.
At Gambyl Betting Exchange, we can see that there is a Moneyline that favors Fiorentina at 2.65, while Napoli starts at 2.76.
For this match, our prediction is a win for Fiorentina by 2-1.
Look for a straight win for Fiorentina. If you put $100 at 2.65, you’ll see a $165.00 win with a total payout of $265.00.
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