NFL Conference Championships Predictions, Picks, Betting Analysis and Special Bets

Betting on the NFL conference championships is an exciting way to add even more profitability to the most important games of the NFL Championship season. With two high-stakes matchups on Championship Sunday, understanding team strengths, key players, and betting strategies can help you make informed wagers. Whether you’re new to sports betting or a seasoned pro, this guide breaks down the games and provides expert insights to help you navigate the action.

We’ve got two games that will decide who heads to the Super Bowl. In the NFC Championship, the Washington Commanders face the Philadelphia Eagles. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship. 

Be sure to check out Ivan Perron’s analysis of the Love Affair between NFL Referees and Patrick Mahomes or the Gambyl Odds team’s indepth Commanders vs Eagles Game Analysis or the Chiefs vs Bills Betting Analysis and Predictions.

We’ve broken down both games, covering the moneyline and over/under bets, plus our most popular special bets for both the NFC and AFC Championship games.

NFC Championship: Commanders vs. Eagles

Odds: Philadelphia Eagles -278 vs. Washington Commanders +200

Over/Under: 47.5 points (Under -111, Over -111)

Bet on the NFC Championship here

This game is a big showdown between two teams from the same division, the NFC East. Both the Commanders and Eagles have been strong this season, and this matchup will be their third meeting of the year.

Washington Commanders: The Commanders have had an amazing season, making it all the way to this championship game. Their rookie quarterback, Jaden Daniels, has been playing like a pro, avoiding mistakes and leading the team well. The defense has been strong, especially against the pass, but their run defense has struggled at times.

Washington has been great at taking advantage of their opponents’ errors. They forced key turnovers to beat the Buccaneers and the Lions in earlier playoff games. But against a team as good as the Eagles, they’ll need to be nearly perfect to win.

Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles have one of the most balanced teams in the league. Their defense is excellent, with top-tier pass coverage and a powerful pass rush led by Jalen Carter. On offense, Saquon Barkley has been their star, running all over defenses this season. He’s had two huge games against the Commanders already this year.

The Eagles’ key to winning is controlling the game. If they can run the ball well with Barkley and force Jaden Daniels into mistakes, they’ll be in great shape. Playing at home in Philadelphia also gives them an advantage.

Betting Insights:

• Key Factor: Saquon Barkley. If he has another big game, the Eagles are in great shape.
• Gambyl Pick: Philadelphia Eagles. With their strong running game and defense, they have the edge, but it should be a close game.
• Betting Suggestion: Consider betting on the Eagles’ moneyline at -278 for a safer choice or explore the Commanders’ +200 line for a high-reward underdog pick. With an Over/Under set at 47.5 points, the balanced odds (-111) suggest a close game, but betting the Under may be slightly more favorable given the Eagles’ defensive strength.

AFC Championship: Bills vs. Chiefs

Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -139 vs. Buffalo Bills +110

Bet on the Chiefs vs Bills here at the Gambyl Exchange

The rivalry between the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs has been one of the most exciting in football. Can the Bills finally beat the Chiefs in the playoffs?

Buffalo Bills: The Bills have one of the best offenses in the league, with great balance between passing and running. Quarterback Josh Allen has been fantastic, and James Cook has been a big help to the running game. After beating the Ravens in the playoffs, the Bills look ready for this tough challenge.

On defense, they need Von Miller and the defensive line to put pressure on Patrick Mahomes. If they can force turnovers and make the most of their chances in the red zone, they’ll have a shot at winning.

Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs are no strangers to big games—this is their seventh straight AFC Championship appearance! Mahomes is as good as ever, and their defense has been solid in clutch moments. With key players like Isaiah Pacheco and Hollywood Brown back in the lineup, their offense is even more dangerous.

The Chiefs know how to win in big moments. Arrowhead Stadium is one of the toughest places to play, giving them a big home-field advantage.

Betting Insights:

• Key Factor: Buffalo’s run game. If the Bills can keep the ball on the ground and control the clock, they have a great chance to win.
• Gambyl Pick: Buffalo Bills. It’s hard to bet against Mahomes, but the Bills have the balance on offense and defense to finally pull off a win.
• Betting Suggestion: The Chiefs’ moneyline at -139 reflects their slight edge as the favorites, but Buffalo at +110 offers solid value for those backing the underdog. This game could swing either way, so look for in-play opportunities if either team takes an early lead.

Championship Sunday Predictions

We’re picking the Eagles and Bills to move on to the Super Bowl. These games will be exciting, with big plays and key moments deciding the winners. Don’t forget to check for last-minute updates, like injuries or changes in the weather, before placing your bets.

Who do you think will win on Championship Sunday? Let us know in the comments! Stay tuned for our Super Bowl preview next week, and trust Gambyl for the best insights, odds, and picks!

NFC Championship Special Bets

Special bets are ways to make the game more exciting and more profitable for sports bettors. Our bets have been expertly crafted to provide you with the best value and profit opportunities based on more than just the result of the game.

Saquon Barkley to have more than 200 rushing yards in the NFC Championship game

This is an aggressive, higher risk bet with massive profit potential. While rare, this kind of historic performance is exactly what superstars like Barkley deliver on the biggest stage. The Commanders’ run defense has been inconsistent, and Barkley has already had monster games against them this season. If the Eagles lean on their ground game to control the tempo, Barkley could explode for a career-defining night.

This is not a bet for the cautious—it’s a high-risk, high-reward play. But if Barkley breaks loose and the Eagles dominate time of possession, you could cash in on one of the most lucrative props of the postseason. Betting on greatness is never a bad strategy, and Barkley has all the tools to make history here.

Saquon Barkley receiving yards greater than 30 in the NFC Championship game

This special is a smart, aggressive bet with a strong chance to deliver solid profits. Barkley has been a dual-threat weapon all season, and the Eagles are likely to utilize his pass-catching abilities against a Commanders defense that has struggled to contain versatile backs.

This bet has high upside, as the Eagles’ game plan could easily feature short, quick passes to Barkley to neutralize the Commanders’ pass rush. With Barkley’s explosiveness in the open field, it could only take a few receptions to smash this line. Betting on Barkley’s versatility in a high-stakes matchup makes this an attractive wager with huge profit potential. Don’t miss the chance to back one of the NFL’s most dynamic playmakers.

Jayden Daniels to pass for more than 225 years in the NFC Championship game

This is a sharp, aggressive bet with excellent value. Daniels has been red-hot in the postseason, showcasing composure and precision beyond his years. Against a tough Eagles defense, the Commanders will lean on Daniels to make plays through the air to keep pace.

The game script is primed for Daniels to hit this mark, especially if Washington falls behind early and relies on the pass to stay competitive. With his ability to spread the ball and extend plays, hitting 225+ yards is not just possible—it’s likely. Betting on Daniels to deliver under pressure in the season’s biggest game is a calculated risk that could pay off big. Back the rookie to shine!

Either Jayden Daniels or Jalen Hurts to Have 3+ Pass TDs

Both quarterbacks are primed to air it out in this high-stakes showdown, making this a bet packed with value. Hurts has proven he can carve up defenses in big games, and Daniels has shown poise and an ability to deliver in the red zone during this postseason.

With two offenses capable of explosive plays and two quarterbacks who thrive under pressure, this prop bet is a smart way to capitalize on the game’s expected intensity. If either QB catches fire, this line will hit with ease. High stakes, high reward—this is the perfect wager for bettors looking to strike gold.

NFC Champion Game Fourth Quarter Total Points to be greater than 13.5 points

Championship games are often decided in the final quarter, where offenses open up, urgency peaks, and points come in bunches.

With two competitive teams in the Eagles and Commanders, the fourth quarter could easily turn into a high-scoring shootout, especially if either side is chasing the lead. Both offenses have shown they can deliver in clutch moments, making this bet a prime opportunity to cash in on late-game fireworks. If you’re looking for a wager that thrives on playoff chaos, this is the one to back.

AFC Championships Special Bets

Josh Allen to pass for more than 229.5 yards in the AFC Championship game

Josh Allen to throw for over 229.5 yards in the AFC Championship game is a must-play bet with significant profit potential. Allen is the centerpiece of the Bills’ offense and has consistently delivered big passing performances, especially in high-stakes games. Against the Chiefs, a team known for explosive offenses, the Bills will rely on Allen’s arm to keep up and attack downfield.

This line is conservative given Allen’s ability to rack up yardage through both intermediate and deep throws. With his elite weapons and the likelihood of a fast-paced game script, surpassing 229.5 yards feels like a strong possibility. Betting on one of the NFL’s best quarterbacks to shine when it matters most is a winning strategy. Take the over and ride with Allen.

Patrick Mahomes to pass for more than 249.5 yards in the AFC Championship Games

Mahomes thrives under playoff pressure, and with the Chiefs hosting their seventh straight AFC Championship, the stage is set for him to deliver another signature performance.

The Bills’ defense is tough, but Mahomes has proven time and time again that he can dissect even the best units with his elite accuracy and creativity. In a game that’s likely to be a shootout, Mahomes surpassing 249.5 yards is well within reach. Backing one of the NFL’s most dynamic passers to shine on the big stage is a no-brainer. Bet the over with confidence!

Buffalo Bills to score more than 23.5 points in the AFC Championship game

The Bills’ offense, led by Josh Allen, is one of the most dynamic in the league, capable of putting up points in a hurry. With their balanced attack and ability to strike both through the air and on the ground, breaking the 23.5-point mark is a realistic expectation.

Against a Chiefs team that thrives offensively, the Bills will need to keep the scoreboard moving to stay competitive. This game has all the makings of a high-scoring showdown, and Buffalo has the firepower to capitalize. Bet on the Bills to exceed this total and make your wager count.

Kansas City Chiefs to score more than 28.5 points in the AFC Championship game

With Patrick Mahomes leading one of the league’s most explosive offenses, the Chiefs are built to put up points, especially on their home turf at Arrowhead Stadium.

Facing a strong Bills team, the Chiefs will need to lean on their high-powered attack to stay ahead, and Mahomes has the weapons to make it happen. Whether it’s through big plays or extended drives, Kansas City has consistently delivered in high-pressure playoff situations. Betting on the Chiefs to surpass 28.5 points is a smart play with excellent profit potential. This is the game where offense reigns supreme—back the over with confidence!

AFC Champion Game Fourth Quarter Total Points to be greater than 18.5 points

Playoff games are often decided in the final moments, and with offensive powerhouses like the Chiefs and Bills, the fourth quarter is set up for fireworks.

As both teams push for the win, expect aggressive play-calling, quick drives, and scoring opportunities. Late-game urgency combined with two elite quarterbacks in Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen makes this line well within reach. If you’re looking to capitalize on the intensity of championship football, this bet is a prime opportunity. Back the over and watch the points pile up in crunch time!

Super Bowl LIV only weeks away, the biggest betting event of the year is just around the corner. Check our Super Bowl futures, Super Bowl MVP and special bets, place your bets early while the lines are favourable.