Bills vs. Jaguars for MNF: Preview and Free Pick

After an exciting Thursday Night Football match, we prepare for the NFL Week 3’s weekend, featuring many excellent matches.

This time, the Buffalo Bills will be hosting the MNF clash after a perfect start, and now, they have an excellent chance to extend their streak against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who had a terrible start to the season.

With both teams coming in from opposite momentums, we can’t wait to see things develop in the first part of the Monday Night Football double showdown to close the week.

Why Bet on the Bills?

The Bills remain one of the strongest franchises in the NFL to never win a Super Bowl. This season they’ll want to change that, and started well by obliterating the Dolphins (10-31) again in an early season clash, just like last season.

Buffalo lost a lot in the Offseason but the success remains. They defeated the Dolphins in the effectiveness department and are riding solid momentum to another AFC East title.

The Bills are the better team in this matchup, they are at home, and if they play a clean game like they did in Miami when they had no turnovers and committed only one penalty, they should be able to move the ball against this defense and control the game here.

The formula to beat Miami was simple. A Tyler Bass kick, someone receives, elaborate, touchdown. James Cook was especially prolific while Josh Allen had a mostly anonymous game, slightly surpassing the double digits in successful passes. It was a weird match as the Dolphins were superior in passing and rushing yards, but it was still of little use, as last season MVP candidate Tua Tagovailoa had a nightmarish evening suffering three interceptions.

Why Bet on the Jaguars?

The Jags have historically been one of the weakest teams in the NFL. However, in 2022 they showed some signs of a possible wake up and they started the previous campaign like a steamroller. However, an injury to Trevor Lawrence ended the dream of a second postseason participation in a row, suffering a comeback after leading their division by almost five games at some point. They haven’t recovered ever since, with the QB available or not.

It’s been a frustrating start offensively for Trevor Lawrence and company, with the latest example coming in a loss to a Cleveland Browns team that was previously embarrassed by the Dallas Cowboys.

The team has lost seven of its last eight games and needs a victory to remain in the hunt for a postseason berth. The AFC South is one of the weakest divisions of the NFL (well fitting for the franchise), and three of the teams had a 0-2 start, with only the Texans showing signs of life. So, it’s not impossible.

Jacksonville’s offense hasn’t been as bad as the final box scores indicate. They have plenty of issues on third down, ranking converting just 26.32% of third downs, and also converting red zone trips to touchdowns, but as a whole, they still rank 16th in Net Yards per Play.

Final Betting Analysis: Bills vs. Jaguars

The Jags have not shown much this season to give us any optimism. Trevor Lawrence isn’t producing as he should and Doug Pederson has had some questionable game management issues.

The new-look Bills are winning with a balanced offensive attack and Josh Allen is taking care of the football. The team looks like a formidable force in the AFC once again, even with some of their offseason departures.

The Floridans suffered a lot from Dustin Hopkins’ kicks against the Browns, so they’ll probably suffer the same fate against Tyler Bass next Monday.

We’ll go for a victory for the locals at the OVER.

Go for a victory for the locals at 1.408. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $40.8 for a total payout of $140.8.

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Bills vs. Jaguars Betting Pick: Buffalo Bills