A thrilling match awaits in the final round of Liga MX: Toluca is already set for direct qualification to the quarterfinals, but they need a win to potentially reclaim second place in the standings. Meanwhile, América is in a must-win situation to avoid slipping into the Play-In.
The Diablos Rojos are coming off a 2-1 loss on the road to Tigres, with their only goal scored by Jesús Gallardo in the second half.
On the other hand, the Águilas moved up in the standings after a 2-1 victory over Pachuca, led by goals from Alejandro Zendejas and Alan Cervantes.
Toluca vs. América Betting Odds and Info
| Toluca 2.49 | América 2.56 | Draw Offs: 3.6 |
| When? | Saturday, November 9 at 8:00 PM ET, 7:00 PM CST, 6:00 PM MT, and 5:00 PM PT |
| Where? | Estadio Nemesio Díez |
| Where can I watch it? | fuboTV, TUDN, and Univision |
Why bet on Toluca?
Toluca is having a standout season, being one of the most consistent teams in Liga MX recently, securing top-six finishes in four of the last five semesters, counting this. They have secured a spot in the top three but are still aiming for that second-place finish behind Cruz Azul.
The honor of being the runner-up slipped away in their last match, as they fell 2-1 to Tigres, with André-Pierre Gignac and Juan Brunetta scoring for the opposition and Jesús Gallardo pulling one back.
With nine wins, five draws, and two losses, Toluca sits in third place with 32 points, one behind Tigres and nine of Cruz Azul. They’re guaranteed at least a third-place finish, yet their goal is to reclaim the second spot from the Felinos.
The Diablos Rojos have been unbeatable at home, with six wins and two draws. They’ve scored 24 goals while allowing only seven, making them a formidable force on their turf.
The team also boasts the league’s top scorer, Portugal’s Paulinho, who has 12 goals and five assists. Their only absence will be Paraguayan Juan Escobar, sidelined due to injury.
Why bet on América?
Unlike in previous seasons, when they were consistently among the top three, América has struggled to occupy the top spots this time.
With a 2-1 win over Pachuca, thanks to goals from Alejandro Zendejas and Alan Cervantes, they have at least secured a spot in the Play-In, but their goal is to maintain their current position.
The Águilas are sixth with 27 points, meaning they are currently set to advance directly to the Liguilla. However, if they lose this round, they could drop to as low as ninth. In other words, they must win at the Nemesio Diez Stadium.
Away from home, América has been a rather inconsistent team, as evidenced by the fact that they’ve won only one of their last five matches. They have drawn three and lost the other.
Their top scorer is forward Henry Martin, with eight goals, and five assists. It is also worth noting that after Cruz Azul and Toluca, América has the best offensive record in Liga MX with 27 goals.
Among the injured players for the team are Víctor Dávila, Igor Lichnovsky, and Jorge Mere.
Final Betting Analysis: Toluca vs. América
The last clash between these teams ended in a 5-1 rout in favor of the Águilas with goals from Diego Valdés (2), Henry Martin, and Julián Quiñones (2).
The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Toluca as the favorite. Their Moneyline shows 2.49, América has 2.56, and the draw is at 3.6.
There’s no doubt that given their current form, Toluca should come away with the win, but for América, victory is a must. They will bring out the full strength of their roster to secure all three points on the road. Go for a 1-3.
Go for a win for América. If you bet $100 at 2.56, you will gain $156 for a total payout of $256.
EN 
ES 
PT 
PT_BR