New Liga MX season and a new “Cruzazuleada.” After being the best team in the round-robin by a large margin, Cruz Azul must now recover from a 3-0 deficit against Tijuana to reach the semifinals.
After conceding two goals in the first twenty minutes, the Maquina Cementera got totally off-put, to the point that Jorge Sanchez received a red card in the 36th minute, and the thrashing was already confirmed before half-time.
Is there a chance for recovery? Let’s find out.
Cruz Azul vs. Tijuana betting odds and info
| Cruz Azul 1.25 | Tijuana 10.5 | Draw Offs: 5.95 |
| When? | Saturday, November 30th, 8:10 pm ET, 7:10 pm CST, 6:10 pm MT, and 5:10 pm PT |
| Where? | Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes |
| Where can I watch it? | ViX, TUDN, Azteca 7, and Univision |
Why bet on Cruz Azul?
It’s hard to tell what happened last Wednesday, except for the fact that the remarkable Cruz Azul from the regular season was nowhere to be found.
Against a team that had to survive two Play-In matches to reach this stage, the Cementeros got zero shots on target from only eight attempts. They also achieved a measly 26% of possession and completed a little more than a third of the passes than Tijuana, with only 253, and still had less than 75% accuracy.
After recovering from his injury, Georgios Giakoumakis started but with little to no effect. He was replaced by Sepúlveda, who didn’t have much influence as well.
Why bet on Tijuana?
As said before, Tijuana had to survive the Play-In. The team was in the top six for much of the season but fell down in the last few weeks. They were close to sending América to the second match but allowed the draw in the last minutes to finally lose on penalties.
Against Atlas, they had no issue. In fact, they have two 3-0 wins in a row in this postseason, a remarkable feat for a team that, not long ago, was a bottom dweller. Still, the fact is that they had to play two more matches than Cruz Azul and still looked like the fresher and clearer team.
They had only four shots on target and scored three times, proving a remarkable efficiency. They also got close to 75% of possession, showing a performance worthy of Pep Guardiola’s wetter dreams. Their front three, composed of Reynosa, Zuñiga, and Álvarez, got in charge of the goals, with one each.
Final Betting Analysis: Cruz Azul vs. Tijuana
There is little more to say. Statistics are worthless when you came as a favorite and got completely destroyed. We must add that Cruz Azul isn’t precisely a team with a “hot chest,” as they say in Latin America. In fact, they tend to be the opposite.
With the Ciudad de los Deportes stadium being in their favor, and the team boasting an unbeaten record in the capital this season, they should have something to rely on. Still, it will hardly be enough.
Cruz Azul will go on the attack, and there is a chance that they leave too much space, allowing another disappointment. We will go for a win for the locals either way. Go for a 2-1.
Go for a victory for the locals at 1.25. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $25 for a total payout of $125.
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