Winning the The Kentucky Derby is arguably one of the most valuable prizes for jockeys, sponsors, owners, and teams in the North American horse racing.
For horse racing bettors, it’s the second most popular wagering event second only to the Super Bowl.
The 147th edition of the Kentucky Derby is always held on the first Saturday of May, this year, it’s May 1, 2021, with an approximate post time of 6:57 p.m
Let’s dive into how these colts qualified for the Derby, we’ll also be giving you 3 free picks and some horse racing betting advice.
The Kentucky Derby is considered the most important horse race in the United States, and will host the 20 best horses in the world qualify by competing in the Road to the Kentucky Derby.
In the preliminary event, points are awarded only to the horses that finished in the first 4 places in each race.
This race features 3-year-old thoroughbred colts, and an exciting quarter-mile race.
The Derby was scheduled to run last summer, but the coronavirus pandemic postponed it. It’s estimated that a 16.2 million people will watch the Derby on NBC with an audience that’s growing by about 10% every year.
Kentucky Derby Favorites
Let’s start with the horse that, according to the horse betting experts, is the favorite to win. Essential Quality (2-1), the feisty colt who has dominated the field in recent races, will start 14th.
Rock Your World (5-1) is the second favorite to take the victory and will start in the 15th position.
Known Agenda (6-1) as the third favorite and, we finish with Hot Rod Charlie (8-1) who will be the 4th favorite and will start in 9th place.
All eyes are focused on the favorite Essential Quality, the reigning two-year champion who is coming into the Derby undefeated in his last five races.
His credentials in recent races include a victory at Blue Grass at Keeneland on April 3 of this year, that allowed him to climb to first place in the overall Derby standings with 140 points.
Let’s not discount the rest of the field, Rock Your World, trained by John Sadler, has gone an impressive undefeated 3-0 after a victory by four and a half lengths in the Santa Anita Derby.
Kentucky Derby Odds
Now, let’s take a more in depth look at all 20 horses that will participate in the 147th running of the Kentucky Derby.
Kentucky Derby 2021
|Position||Rating||Horse/Sire||Trainer / Jockey||Last Start||HRN|
|1||8.08||Known Agenda Curlin||T. Pletcher I. Ortiz, Jr.||1st, 2021 Florida Derby (G1)||6-1|
|2||7.07||Like the King Palace Malice||W. Ward D. Van Dyke||1st, 2021 Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3)||50-1|
|3||6.23||Brooklyn Strong Wicked Strong||D. Velazquez U. Rispoli||5th, 2021 Wood Memorial (G2)||50-1|
|4||6.16||Keepmeinmind Laoban||R. Diodoro D. Cohen||5th, 2021 Blue Grass Stakes (G2)||50-1|
|5||6.67||Sainthood Mshawish||T. Pletcher C. Lanerie||2nd, 2021 Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3)||50-1|
|6||6.33||O Besos Orb||G. Foley M. Pedroza||3rd, 2021 Louisiana Derby (G2)||20-1|
|7||6.91||Mandaloun Into Mischief||B. Cox F. Geroux||6th, 2021 Louisiana Derby (G2)||15-1|
|8||8.00||Medina Spirit Protonico||B. Baffert J. Velazquez||2nd, 2021 Santa Anita Derby (G1)||15-1|
|9||8.18||Hot Rod Charlie Oxbow||D. O'Neill F. Prat||1st, 2021 Louisiana Derby (G2)||8-1|
|10||7.70||Midnight Bourbon Tiznow||S. Asmussen M. Smith||2nd, 2021 Louisiana Derby (G2)||20-1|
|11||5.77||Dynamic One Union Rags||T. Pletcher J. Ortiz||2nd, 2021 Wood Memorial (G2)||20-1|
|12||7.28||Helium Ironicus||M. Casse J. Leparoux||1st, 2021 Tampa Bay Derby (G2)||50-1|
|13||6.26||Hidden Stash Constitution||V. Oliver R. Bejarano||4th, 2021 Blue Grass Stakes (G2)||50-1|
|14||8.59||Essential Quality Tapit||B. Cox L. Saez||1st, 2021 Blue Grass Stakes (G2)||2-1|
|15||8.27||Rock Your World Candy Ride||J. Sadler J. Rosario||1st, 2021 Santa Anita Derby (G1)||5-1|
|16||6.29||King Fury Curlin||K. McPeek B. Hernandez, Jr.||1st, 2021 Lexington (G3)||20-1|
|17||7.57||Highly Motivated Into Mischief||C. Brown J. Castellano||2nd, 2021 Blue Grass Stakes (G2)||10-1|
|18||7.31||Super Stock Dialed In||S. Asmussen R. Santana, Jr.||1st, 2021 Arkansas Derby (G1)||30-1|
|19||7.44||Soup and Sandwich Into Mischief||M. Casse T. Gaffalione||2nd, 2021 Florida Derby (G1)||30-1|
|20||6.47||Bourbonic Bernardini||T. Pletcher K. Carmouche||1st, 2021 Wood Memorial (G2)||30-1|
Free Picks and Predictions
Betting the Derby is always tricky, with the first race being held way back in 1875, we have alot of data to look back on when making picks.
It may come as a surprise, but the favorite to win has only actually won 49 out of 141 times. That’s just over 1/3 of the time.
If we take a look back at recent history, things look grim for the favorites. From 1979 to 2011 the favorites have only won 4 out of 28 times.
On the bright side, the past 9 years have been much kinder to the favorites. California Chrome and American Pharoh ended up fulfilling their status as favorites.
The most important thing to remember: there’s no such thing as a sure bet. Especially in the Derby, these 3 year old colts can be very unpredicatable.
If you’re interested in hedging your bets, take a look at breaking down how to manage your bankroll and hedge properly over at DerbyBetting.org
Free Derby Pick #1 – The Favorites
1. Essential Quality
2. Rock Your World
3. Known Agenda
Free Derby Pick #2 – The Upset
1. Highly Motivated
2. Essential Quality
3. O Besos
Free Derby Pick #3 – Didn’t See That Coming
1. Hot Rod Charlie
3. King Fury
Which of the 3 picks should you take?
That depends on how risk tolerant or risk averse you are with your bankroll on something as difficult to predict as The Kentucky Derby.
Some calculated hedge bets that could cover a few different scenarios is the smart bettors way to go here.
Pro Betting Tip: Be sure not to blow your bankroll on any one outcome.
Where to Watch the 2021 Kentucky Derby
When is it? Saturday May 1, 2021 at (approximately) 6:57pm
Where? Churchill Downs a.k.a Twin Spires, Louisville, Kentucky
Where to watch it? NBC
Kentucky Derby 2021 Results
Medina Spirit is the winner of the 147th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs. Medina Spirit paid $26.20 to win, $12.00 to place, and $7.60 to show. The full order of finish in the 2021 Kentucky Derby is as follows:
- Medina Spirit
- Hot Rod Charlie
- Essential Quality
- O Besos
- Midnight Bourbon
- Known Agenda
- Highly Motivated
- Like the King
- Hidden Stash
- Brooklyn Strong
- Super Stock
- Rock Your World
- Dynamic One
- Soup and Sandwich
- King Fury (SCRATCH)