Kentucky Derby Odds, Free Expert Picks, and Results: 2021 Edition

Winning the The Kentucky Derby is arguably one of the most valuable prizes for jockeys, sponsors, owners, and teams in the North American horse racing.

For horse racing bettors, it’s the second most popular wagering event second only to the Super Bowl.

The 147th edition of the Kentucky Derby is always held on the first Saturday of May, this year, it’s May 1, 2021, with an approximate post time of 6:57 p.m

Let’s dive into how these colts qualified for the Derby, we’ll also be giving you 3 free picks and some horse racing betting advice.

The Kentucky Derby is considered the most important horse race in the United States, and will host the 20 best horses in the world qualify by competing in the Road to the Kentucky Derby.

In the preliminary event, points are awarded only to the horses that finished in the first 4 places in each race.

This race features 3-year-old thoroughbred colts, and an exciting quarter-mile race.

The Derby was scheduled to run last summer, but the coronavirus pandemic postponed it. It’s estimated that a 16.2 million people will watch the Derby on NBC with an audience that’s growing by about 10% every year.

Kentucky Derby Favorites

Let’s start with the horse that, according to the horse betting experts, is the favorite to win. Essential Quality (2-1), the feisty colt who has dominated the field in recent races, will start 14th.

Rock Your World (5-1) is the second favorite to take the victory and will start in the 15th position.

Known Agenda (6-1) as the third favorite and, we finish with Hot Rod Charlie (8-1) who will be the 4th favorite and will start in 9th place.

All eyes are focused on the favorite Essential Quality, the reigning two-year champion who is coming into the Derby undefeated in his last five races.

His credentials in recent races include a victory at Blue Grass at Keeneland on April 3 of this year, that allowed him to climb to first place in the overall Derby standings with 140 points.

Let’s not discount the rest of the field, Rock Your World, trained by John Sadler, has gone an impressive undefeated 3-0 after a victory by four and a half lengths in the Santa Anita Derby.

Kentucky Derby Odds

Kentucky Derby 2021 Post Positions via

Now, let’s take a more in depth look at all 20 horses that will participate in the 147th running of the Kentucky Derby.

Kentucky Derby 2021

Position Rating Horse/Sire Trainer / Jockey Last Start HRN
1 8.08 Known Agenda Curlin T. Pletcher I. Ortiz, Jr. 1st, 2021 Florida Derby (G1)  6-1
2 7.07 Like the King Palace Malice W. Ward D. Van Dyke 1st, 2021 Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3)  50-1
3 6.23 Brooklyn Strong Wicked Strong D. Velazquez U. Rispoli 5th, 2021 Wood Memorial (G2)  50-1
4 6.16 Keepmeinmind Laoban R. Diodoro D. Cohen 5th, 2021 Blue Grass Stakes (G2)  50-1
5 6.67 Sainthood Mshawish T. Pletcher C. Lanerie 2nd, 2021 Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3)  50-1
6 6.33 O Besos Orb G. Foley M. Pedroza 3rd, 2021 Louisiana Derby (G2) 20-1
7 6.91 Mandaloun Into Mischief B. Cox F. Geroux 6th, 2021 Louisiana Derby (G2) 15-1
8 8.00 Medina Spirit Protonico B. Baffert J. Velazquez 2nd, 2021 Santa Anita Derby (G1)  15-1
9 8.18 Hot Rod Charlie Oxbow D. O'Neill F. Prat 1st, 2021 Louisiana Derby (G2) 8-1
10 7.70 Midnight Bourbon Tiznow S. Asmussen M. Smith 2nd, 2021 Louisiana Derby (G2) 20-1
11 5.77 Dynamic One Union Rags T. Pletcher J. Ortiz 2nd, 2021 Wood Memorial (G2)  20-1
12 7.28 Helium Ironicus M. Casse J. Leparoux 1st, 2021 Tampa Bay Derby (G2)  50-1
13 6.26 Hidden Stash Constitution V. Oliver R. Bejarano 4th, 2021 Blue Grass Stakes (G2)  50-1
14 8.59 Essential Quality Tapit B. Cox L. Saez 1st, 2021 Blue Grass Stakes (G2)  2-1
15 8.27 Rock Your World Candy Ride J. Sadler J. Rosario 1st, 2021 Santa Anita Derby (G1)  5-1
16 6.29 King Fury Curlin K. McPeek B. Hernandez, Jr. 1st, 2021 Lexington (G3)  20-1
17 7.57 Highly Motivated Into Mischief C. Brown J. Castellano 2nd, 2021 Blue Grass Stakes (G2)  10-1
18 7.31 Super Stock Dialed In S. Asmussen R. Santana, Jr. 1st, 2021 Arkansas Derby (G1)  30-1
19 7.44 Soup and Sandwich Into Mischief M. Casse T. Gaffalione 2nd, 2021 Florida Derby (G1)  30-1
20 6.47 Bourbonic Bernardini T. Pletcher K. Carmouche 1st, 2021 Wood Memorial (G2)  30-1

Free Picks and Predictions

Betting the Derby is always tricky, with the first race being held way back in 1875, we have alot of data to look back on when making picks.

It may come as a surprise, but the favorite to win has only actually won 49 out of 141 times. That’s just over 1/3 of the time.

If we take a look back at recent history, things look grim for the favorites. From 1979 to 2011 the favorites have only won 4 out of 28 times.

On the bright side, the past 9 years have been much kinder to the favorites. California Chrome and American Pharoh ended up fulfilling their status as favorites.

The most important thing to remember: there’s no such thing as a sure bet. Especially in the Derby, these 3 year old colts can be very unpredicatable.

If you’re interested in hedging your bets, take a look at breaking down how to manage your bankroll and hedge properly over at

I’m going to give you 3 scenarios based on 3 horse betting experts to consider for your Saturday wagers.

Free Derby Pick #1 – The Favorites

1. Essential Quality

2. Rock Your World

3. Known Agenda

Free Derby Pick #2 – The Upset

1. Highly Motivated

2. Essential Quality

3. O Besos

Free Derby Pick #3 – Didn’t See That Coming

1. Hot Rod Charlie

2. Mandaloun

3. King Fury

Which of the 3 picks should you take?

That depends on how risk tolerant or risk averse you are with your bankroll on something as difficult to predict as The Kentucky Derby.

Some calculated hedge bets that could cover a few different scenarios is the smart bettors way to go here.

Pro Betting Tip: Be sure not to blow your bankroll on any one outcome.

Where to Watch the 2021 Kentucky Derby

When is it? Saturday May 1, 2021 at (approximately) 6:57pm

Where? Churchill Downs a.k.a Twin Spires, Louisville, Kentucky

Where to watch it? NBC

Kentucky Derby 2021 Results

Medina Spirit is the winner of the 147th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs. Medina Spirit paid $26.20 to win, $12.00 to place, and $7.60 to show. The full order of finish in the 2021 Kentucky Derby is as follows:

  1. Medina Spirit
  2. Mandaloun
  3. Hot Rod Charlie
  4. Essential Quality
  5. O Besos
  6. Midnight Bourbon
  7. Keepmeinmind
  8. Helium
  9. Known Agenda
  10. Highly Motivated
  11. Sainthood
  12. Like the King
  13. Bourbonic
  14. Hidden Stash
  15. Brooklyn Strong
  16. Super Stock
  17. Rock Your World
  18. Dynamic One
  19. Soup and Sandwich
  20. King Fury (SCRATCH)

Jose Luis Cardano

Jose has been an avid sports and betting fan for over 25 years. His free picks for Horse Racing, UFC betting, & LIGA MX have helped Gambyl Nation increase their win percentages.

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