Roma vs. Lazio – Betting Odds and Free Pick

Last Updated on November 4, 2022 11:53 am by Erwin Noguera

The Roman Derby is played this Sunday in the Italian Serie A for matchday 13 with two teams that are only separated by 1 point.

Roma reached fourth place last weekend, and against their eternal rival, they do not intend to give up that place that gives them a place in the next Champions League.

Lazio comes to this game very beaten with two defeats in a row that took fourth place and eliminated them from the Europa League.


Sunday, November 6 at 1:00 pm ET at the Stadio Olimpico

Moneyline odds:

Roma +101

Lazio +270

Draw Offs:


Where Can I Watch it? 

Paramount+ and CBS Sports Network

Why Bet Roma

Roma arrives highly motivated for this match after a good week where they beat Hellas Verona (1-3) as a visitor to move up to the fourth place, and then Ludogoretz (3-1) to take second place in the group in the Europa League and advance to the next knockout round, where they will face one of the third-place finishers in the Champions League. In addition, they have already 3 wins in a row.

Despite Paulo Dybala being out due to injury, José Mourinho’s team has found form and has only lost 1 of 6 games without the Argentine, and that was against leaders Napoli. Of course, both Tammy Abraham and Andrea Belotti have to improve their numbers to help the team, which is the one that has scored the fewest goals (16) among the first 8 and the one with the worst goal difference (+5). Georgino Wijnaldum and Leonardo Spinazzola are also absent through injuries.

As data, Roma has not drawn any home games this season and in the Serie A only Inter (0) has fewer ties than the Lupa (1). 

Why Bet Lazio

It was not a good week for Lazio because in 4 days they lost 2 games that meant important things to them. First, a very surprising defeat against Salernitana at home (1-3) and then versus Feyenoord (1-0) in the Europa League that eliminated them from the tournament and sent them to the Conference League.

Coach Maurizio Sarri will be without his two most important players: his captain Ciro Immobile, injured, and his vice-captain, Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, suspended. Undoubtedly very important casualties for the team that is fifth in the championship 1 point behind its eternal rival and that has Inter at the back with the same points (24) and Juventus and Udinese with 22, so winning is an obligation.

Final Betting Analysis: Roma vs. Lazio

The Roman Derby will be a great game, with a lot of friction, many fouls, and many cards, and where we believe that Roma has the balance more inclined in their favor due to several factors: the home team, the streak with which they come, and the casualties. Although the two teams will not be able to count on very important players, we believe that the Lupa has a better way to cover those losses and that will be decisive, so they will stay with the victory.

At we find that Roma is the favorite of the match with a Moneyline of +101, while Lazio has +270 and the draw is +255.

The last game between the two was on March 20 this year and Roma thrashed 3-0 with a brace from Tammy Abraham and a goal from Lorenzo Pellegrini, all in the first half. For its part, Lazio won the previous derby, on that occasion 3-2. And it has always been very even because the last time a team won two consecutive games was Roma in 2016, and the home team has almost always been the winner.

Go for a straight win for Roma in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 on the win at +101, you will gain $101 for a total payout of $201.

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