Premier League Matchday 11 Betting Favorites

Last Updated on November 6, 2025 1:32 pm by Erwin Noguera

The Premier League enters its final matchday before the international break, and the schedule has been unforgiving: this round is packed with competitive and emotionally charged matches.

The teams arrive in very different situations, some looking to maintain their European aspirations and others trying to get back on track before November becomes an uphill battle. All this at a crucial point in the season when the details begin to set the real trend.

The day kicks off with Tottenham vs. Manchester United, which feels like a direct clash for European ambitions. Both have 17 points, but they come from contrasting situations: Spurs have been deflating after a promising start, while United seems to have found greater competitive stability in recent weeks. The pressure and urgency will be evenly distributed.

Meanwhile, Arsenal watches from the top with a slight advantage. Arteta’s side leads the table and could extend its lead because, behind them, Manchester City and Liverpool face each other at the Etihad. It is the duel that has marked much of the last decade in the Premier League, but with a different twist: now there is a third party watching from the provisional throne. To make matters worse, the Gunners must visit Sunderland, who are proving to be the big surprise of the early season.

At Gambyl Exchange, you can explore all the predictions for the Premier League, the final bets for this matchday, and the odds for each match.

Premier League Weekly Picks Betting Odds

Premier League Matchday 11: Tottenham vs. Manchester United

In recent years, Burnley have been bouncing between promotion and relegation, but they’re determined to change that. With 10 points, they sit 16th in the table, five points above the relegation zone. They’ve recorded three wins, one draw, and five losses. The team has a decent scoring record (12 goals) but also the worst defense in the league, conceding 17. They’re in good form, coming off back-to-back wins against Leeds (2-0) and Wolves (2-3).

Arsenal leads the Premier League with a four-point advantage over second place. They have seven wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring 16 goals and conceding just three—the best defensive record in the competition. The ‘Gunners’ are on a seven-game winning streak across all competitions and are coming off a 1-0 victory over Crystal Palace thanks to a goal from Eberechi Eze. It was the English forward’s first Premier League goal, and it comes at a crucial time as Arsenal are dealing with up to eight injured players, mostly all of them regular starters.

Burnley vs. Arsenal Betting Pick: Arsenal

Premier League Matchday 11: Sunderland vs. Arsenal

Sunderland is exceeding expectations that, frankly, few dared to raise at the start of the season. Their defensive structure is solid, aggressive, and well-synchronized: they don’t give away any ground, they fight for every loose ball, and they reduce space in the middle with a discipline that makes anyone uncomfortable. Furthermore, playing at the Stadium of Light, they are not content to sit back; they press high up the pitch with conviction and, when they win the ball back, they dare to break quickly and attack.

However, up front is an Arsenal side that is playing with the confidence of a team that knows who it is. Arteta’s team has become a machine at controlling scenarios: they dominate the tempo, set the pace of attack, protect possession in safe areas, and above all, defend their area as an absolute priority.

This match has moments that could become tense, because Sunderland will not give up fighting duels or making life difficult for the Gunners. But there is a gap in hierarchy, depth in the squad, and experience in managing big games. If Arsenal stick to their plan and don’t get caught up in a chaotic exchange, they should impose their authority. They are not at the top by chance. Here, in theory, they should confirm that status.

Sunderland vs. Arsenal Betting Pick: Arsenal

Premier League Matchday 11: Chelsea vs. Wolves

Chelsea is starting to look like a more recognizable, more consistent team. It is not yet a consolidated giant, but there are clear patterns: orderly pressure, patient circulation, and well-chosen accelerations when they find the free inside or the wing forward to face.They do not need to monopolize possession to control the game, butrather manage the pace. The big question mark remains in the finishing of games; they have had moments to seal the deal and have failed to do so, especially at Stamford Bridge, where the emotional margin becomes thinner.

Wolves, on the other hand, are going through a dull spell, almost without light. There is a lack of clarity in the final pass, a lack of conviction in the areas, and a lack of leadership to recover after mistakes. The most worrying thing is not the table or the numbers, but the feeling of fragility: every goal conceded seems to knock the team down completely. When the initial plan doesn’t work, there is no plan B. And a team without adjustments or answers suffers in difficult situations.

That is why the script for the match may be defined very early on. If Chelsea scores first, not only does it take the lead on the scoreboard, but it also sets up a narrative that is difficult to reverse: emotional control, play in the opponent’s half, and Wolves forced to attack with structures they have not yet mastered. If the home team finds that initial strike, the rest becomes a formality. Barring a major surprise, this is the type of match that Chelsea should win without too many scares.

Chelsea vs. Wolves Betting Pick: Chelsea

Premier League Matchday 11: Manchester City vs. Liverpool

This is the match. Guardiola and Slot face each other again, although now with a different twist: Liverpool no longer relies almost exclusively on intensity to wear down opponents, but seeks to combine pressure with control. Slot has tried to reorganize the structure so that the team does not break down in transitions, but they are still adjusting their automatisms, especially when the opponent forces them to defend deep. And if there is one opponent that knows how to push you to your limits, it is Manchester City.

City arrive with a sense of having regained their momentum. The Champions League victory was not only comprehensive in terms of the score but also clear in terms of performance. The midfield moved fluidly: the inside forwards appeared between the lines, the wingers held up play and created space, and Haaland was once again the final point that dictates any defense. When City manages to activate its inside channels, those attacking midfield movements that seem simple but break down the opposition’s structure, the game tends to slowly tip in their favor until it becomes inevitable. It may take time, but they get the job done. They are patient, repetitive, and almost obsessive in their execution.

Liverpool, on the other hand, arrives with a different energy: more direct, more vertical, more uncomfortable. They have regained the ability to attack quickly when they steal the ball, to bite at the top, and to run with the ball in advance. That gives them a constant threat, a “if you make a mistake, I’ll hurt you” that few teams have. But there is also a price to pay: when they attack with such intent, they tend to leave space behind their fullbacks and midfielders who push up to press. And against City, that space is worth its weight in gold. The Etihad Stadium does not forgive mistakes.

Manchester City vs. Liverpool Betting Pick: Manchester City