Last Updated on October 12, 2023 5:43 pm by Erwin Noguera
Millonarios is coming from a mandatory break due to problems in the Liga Betplay calendar, but on Matchday 17 it will return to the field and must host Junior, a team in need of points.
The ‘Embajadores’ won 2-1 away against Envigado in their last clash, and are currently ninth with 22 points, but with two games less.
On the other hand, the ‘Tiburon’ ended a poor run of results and beat Deportivo Cali 3-2 at home, with a brace by Carlos Bacca and a goal by José Enamorado, and still dreams of the Cuadrangular.
Saturday, October 14, 9:20 pm ET at the Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín
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Why Bet on Millonarios?
Millonarios has the pressure of being the reigning champion of the Betplay League, so it must qualify and seek the two-time championship, something that has not happened since America de Cali did it between 2019 and 2020.
In their last league match the ‘Embajador’ team won 2-1 against Envigado as visitors, thanks to goals from midfielder Larry Vásquez and striker Beckham Castro.
However, the Bogota club has not seen league action for two weekends, as it had to postpone the matches against Unión Magdalena and América due to external aspects, although it did play in the quarterfinals of the Copa Colombia and won both games versus Alianza Petrolera: 2-0 and 1-2.
The team coached by Alberto Gamero has six matches without losing, winning five of them. Their position is eighth, with 22 points, 14 goals scored, and 13 against.
However, for the home match against Junior, they have fundamental absentees, since goalkeeper Álvaro Montero and striker Leonardo Castro were called up by the Colombian National Team for the Qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup.
Why Bet on Junior?
Junior has had 2023 to forget, with two changes of coaches and looking for a miracle to avoid being eliminated again in the first phase of the Betplay League, as happened in the previous semester.
In their last match, they defeated Deportivo Cali 3-2 at home with goals by Carlos Bacca (2) and José Enamorado, so they are in tenth place with 21 points, one point behind their rival. This victory also served to break a four-game winless streak.
To be sure of a place in the playoffs, the team from Barranquilla must win at least 10 of the 12 remaining points, so getting at least a draw in the tough Bogota would be a good deal for Arturo Reyes’ team.
This team has excelled mainly in attack, especially when José Enamorado, Luis González, Deiber Caicedo, and Carlos Bacca, who has eight league goals, are available.
However, the participation of winger Enamorado is on hold for the match due to discomfort in one of his ankles. The good news is that midfielder Jhon Vélez has finished his suspension and will be available.
Other confirmed absentees are goalkeeper Santiago Mele, who is with the Uruguayan National Team, and defender Brayan Ceballos, who is with Colombia’s U-23 team. The presence of these two players with their countries enables defender Emanuel Olivera to play.
Final Betting Analysis: Millonarios vs. Junior
It can be said that Millonarios has fresh legs, enjoys the advantage of the altitude of Bogota, and has players at a better level, which is why it is the favorite to take the three points against Junior de Barranquilla.
The numbers at MyBookie.ag have Millonarios as favorites, as the Moneyline for them shows -120, meanwhile, Junior has +375 and the draw is at +235.
The last match between these two teams in Bogota was 1-0 in favor of the ‘Embajadores’ with a goal from midfielder David Mackalister Silva.
Go for a win in the Millonarios’ Moneyline. If you bet $100 at -120, you will gain $83 for a total payout of $183.