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Pumas vs. Chivas Preview and Free Pick

Last Updated on November 9, 2023 3:39 pm by Erwin Noguera

A vital match on the last date of the first phase of Liga MX, as a qualified Chivas must visit Pumas, which needs to win to be sure of a spot in the quarterfinals.

The Felines are coming off a 3-0 home win over Atlas, thanks to goals from Cesar Huerta, Juan Dinenno, and Gustavo del Prete. 

The ‘Rebaño Sagrado’ secured a 1-0 home win over Cruz Azul, thanks to a Jonathan Padilla conversion, to secure their passage to the next round.


Saturday, November 11, 8:00 p.m. ET at the Estadio Olímpico Universitario in Mexico DF

Moneyline odds: 

Pumas +129 

Chivas +195

Draw Offs:


Where Can I Watch?  

TUDN and Univisión 

Why Bet on Pumas?

At the beginning of October, Pumas was approaching the highest position in the table. Notwithstanding, the final stretch of the month was tough, losing two of its three matches. 

However, in the last game, they beat Atlas 3-0 with goals from Juan Dinenno, César Huerta, and Gustavo del Prete. Huerta confirmed that he is the team’s best striker with eight goals. Between him and the Argentinian Dinenno, they gave 14 goals to Pumas, which confirms them as a very dangerous offensive duo in Manitoba. 

The ‘Universitarios’ have the fifth-best attack of the Apertura 2023, with 26 goals. Defensively, they have 18 goals against, a figure that puts them in the average.

At the Olímpico Universitario stadium, Pumas have won four of their last five matches, improving their sensations in front of their home fans. Their victims have been Tigres, Atlético San Luis, Querétaro, and Atlas. 

Defender Arturo Ortiz can return to the ‘Felinos’ lineup after serving his suspension. Argentinean striker Eduardo ‘El Toto’ Salvio will miss the game due to an injury.

Why Bet on Chivas?

When they had to raise their level to secure their place in the quarterfinals of the Liga MX, Chivas did just that, winning four of their last five matches. 

On the last date, they beat Cruz Azul 1-0, with a goal by Jonathan Padilla. With these three points, they reached 27 units, placing them in fourth place. 

So far, Chivas have scored 22 goals and conceded 21, which does not speak very well of their defensive performance. They are far from the marks of favorite teams such as América (14), Tigres (18) or Monterrey (15). 

The good thing about the ‘Rebaño’ is that they have improved their away performances, as they have won the last two matches they have played in that condition, beating Puebla and Querétaro. 

We should remember that Guadalajara is the current runner-up in Mexican soccer, and the fact that it is entering the next stage of the competition directly should be a warning to other rivals. This team has already shown greatness this year in the most important moments. 

Ricardo Marín served his suspension on the last date, while Carlos Cisneros and José Macías were injured.

Final Betting Analysis: Pumas vs. Chivas 

Pumas are desperate for a win at home, and by taking advantage of Chivas’ qualification, they can take all three points and advance directly to the quarterfinals of the Liga MX Apertura 2023. 

The numbers at have Pumas as the favorites, as the Moneyline for them shows +129. Meanwhile, Chivas have +195, and the draw is at +250. 

The last time these teams played at the ‘Universitarios’ stadium, Guadalajara won 2-1, with goals from Carlos Cisneros and Daniel Ríos. 

Go for a win in Pumas’ Moneyline. If you bet $100 at +129, you will gain $129 for a total payout of $229. 

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