Last Updated on May 3, 2024 10:59 am by Erwin Noguera
The Liguilla of the Clausura MX 2024 is about to begin, with only the last game from the Play-In missing: Pachuca vs. Necaxa.
After Necaxa vs. Querétaro and Pachuca vs. Pumas, match 3 will define the last participant of the Liguilla quarterfinals. The two teams had a great performance throughout the Clausura 2024 regular season, so it is no surprise to see them in this defining match.
However, it’s notable that both are coming from playing full games in terms of minutes, as both went to penalties in their Play-In games.
When and Where?
Sunday, May 5, 9:00 pm ET at the Miguel Hidalgo “Huracán” Stadium
Moneyline odds:
Pachuca 1.853
Necaxa 3.985
Draw Offs:
3.6
Where can I watch it?
Fox Sports, Fanatiz, and TUDN
Why Bet on Pachuca?
Pachuca has always been one of the strongest teams in Mexican soccer, despite not having been a protagonist in recent campaigns. In the regular season, the team finished in seventh place in the table, so they had to face eighth-placed Pumas to fight for a place in the quarterfinals.
The winner of that match advanced directly to the next stage, while the loser would have a second chance against the winner of the other game. In this case, the Tuzos couldn’t beat Pumas UNAM at home, and after a 0-0 draw in regulation time, they had to play for qualification from the penalty spot. In the end, with a score of 5-3, the felines defeated the locals to qualify.
Now, Pachuca will have to play their best to try to win this match, as they will have no more chances to stay alive in this Clausura MX 2024.
Why Bet on Necaxa?
On the other hand, Necaxa comes into this match with confidence because, unlike Pachuca, they won their first match of this Play-In phase. Their series with Querétaro was a do-or-die game, as the winner would have to play this defining match, while the loser would be eliminated from the tournament.
In this case, Necaxa had a decent game and took the lead in the 56th minute. However, 3 minutes later, Querétaro equalized the actions to make this game muchmore interesting. Then, at the end of regulation time and with the score level, the teams went to the penalty shootout.
Finally, after a 3-2 score in the penalty shootout, Necaxa managed to survive and will now play for their lives against Pachuca in this match for qualification.
Final Betting Analysis: Pachuca vs. Necaxa
In the last 20 matches between these two teams, Pachuca has dominated the series with eight wins. On the other hand, Necaxa has accumulated four triumphs, while eight games have ended in draws.
The last match between these two teams, on February 23, 2024, ended in a 1-1 draw.
Referring to their current form, both teams enter this match in a weird mood. It could be said that they had good campaigns, but their regular season closing has been deficient, with just two wins in the last five games in both cases. However, Pachuca has the excuse that they have been performing magnificently in the CONCACAF Champions Cup and reached the final after getting rid of América.
The Tuzos are a superior team, and their form is the result of a tight schedule and the lack of squad deep. However, in this match against Necaxa, they will show their superior quality and win 3-1.
Go for a victory for the locals at 1.853. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $85.3 for a total payout of $185.3
Pachuca vs. Necaxa Betting Pick: Pachuca
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