Last Updated on June 29, 2024 2:54 pm by Erwin Noguera
The Brasileirão comes our way in an interesting situation, as the scoreboard has been extremely tight since day one. Flamengo have reduced their gap at the front, allowing Bahia to catch up 24 points, while also closely followed by Botafogo and Palmeiras at 23.
The Verdão had been the best team of the Série A in June. However, they got a massive thrashing by Fortaleza last time and should recover the momentum.
The visitors, Corinthians, come from two ties and are deeply immersed in the relegation battle.
When and Where?
Monday, July 1st, 7:00 p.m. ET at the Allianz Parque
Moneyline odds:
Palmeiras 1.47
Corinthians 7.2
Draw Offs :
4.3
Where can I watch it?
ViX, Premiere, and Paramount+
Why Bet on Palmeiras?
Palmeiras, the currently 4th placed team on the board, comes with seven wins, two draws, and three losses as they aim for the top.
However, they lost their most recent match against Fortaleza, and even though it was unexpected, we don’t fully believe they will be on a losing streak. They were going through an excellent five-game winning streak before the upset and have shown the ability to recover quickly many times.
Now, they look towards getting back into the winning column against one of the worst teams of the season in a Derby Paulista.
Why Bet on Corinthians?
The visitors have had a terrible start to their season, landing a single victory, drawing six matches, and losing five so far, netting them only nine points. Corinthians have not won a single game since April 28th and have four ties and a loss in their last five games.
After a mild challenge for the top at the start of the 2022 Série A campaign, the team has been on a downward curve ever since the second half of that tournament. Last year, they were relegation candidates all season long until they pulled the chestnuts out of the fire in the previous few weeks, interchanging wins and losses.
Corinthians is one of the biggest teams in Brazil, nevertheless in the São Paulo state. However, the Brasileirão is ruthless in terms of relegation, and nobody is safe.
Final Betting Analysis: Palmeiras vs. Corinthians
This is a good chance for the Verdão to retake the top, and it would taste even better against their biggest rival. However, they need too many teams to lose points for that to happen, so it’s a bit complicated. However, with how tight has been the table, there’s no doubt that another long winning streak like the last one should put them ahead sooner or later.
For Corinthians, things look dire. Facing this rival in one of their worst moments, sport-wise, in their recent history is no good, even less in the Allianz Parque, a hostile ground in Brazil by excellence.
In the last 63 matches, there has been absolute parity. 21 wins for each team and the same number of draws. It would be fun to look out if that is some kind of record, as it’s weird to see numbers so perfect in as many games.
However, in the previous five games the history has been different, with two wins for Palmeiras and three draws. To find the last win for Corinthians we have to look back to 2021. Meanwhile, their last win in the Allianz Parque was in 2019.
We’ll go for a 2-0 victory for the Verdão.
Go for a victor for the locals at 1.47. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $47 for a total payout of $147.
Palmeiras vs. Corinthians Betting Pick: Palmeiras
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