Last Updated on June 10, 2024 11:31 pm by Erwin Noguera
A Rio de Janeiro classic will take place at the home of Botafogo, which, aspiring to reach first place, will have to host Fluminense, currently one of the disappointments of the Brasileirão.
The Fogao is coming off an important away win, beating Corinthians 1-0 with a goal by Junior Santos.
The Flu is coming from a draw in a game that was supposed to be a victory, as it tied 1-1 with Juventude at the Maracaná.
When and Where?
Tuesday, June 11, 7:00 pm ET at the Estádio Nilton Santos
Moneyline odds:
Botafogo 2.05
Fluminense 3.70
Draw Offs:
3.40
Where can I watch it?
Paramount+
Why Bet on Botafogo?
Botafogo was left with the aftertaste of last year’s Brasileirão, as a drop in performance in the last games almost left them without the Copa Libertadores for 2024. However, everything indicates that this seasonthey are out for revenge. The Fogao has just beaten Corinthians 1-0 as a visitor, thanks to a goal scored by striker Junior Santos. As a result, the Rio de Janeiro team is in third place with 13 points, one behind Flamengo and Bahia, who currently lead the table.
The arrival of Portuguese Artur Jorge on the Botafogo bench was a remedy for the club’s poor start to the year. It has only lost once in its last 12 matches and has secured its place in the round of 16 of the Copa Libertadores, where it will have to face Palmeiras.
The Fogao is a fearsome team with 13 goals scored, with Danilo Barbosa its best scorer with three. They have lost one of their three home games, but in front of their home fans, they have scored in all their matches, including the 5-1 win over Juventude.
There are several injured players on this team: Fernando Marcal, Matheus Nascimento, Pablo, and Rafael.
Why Bet on Fluminense?
Fluminense is coming from being champions of the Copa Libertadores in 2023, so this campaign is expected to lead the way locally and internationally, but they have disappointed in the Brasileirão. That is shown by their last match, where they could only draw 1-1 with Juventude, an opponent more likely to fight for not losing the category. Flu’s goal was scored by Marcelo from the penalty spot.
They have only six points in seven matchdays, four games without a win, and have lost all their away matches, allowing seven goals against and only scoring twice. The team is in 15th position, with only one point ahead of the last team that is losing the category, which for now is Corinthians.
It is not a normal scenario, and having gone first in the group stage of the Copa Libertadores does not make the concern of the fans go away. But there is one great hope: the return of an idol like Thiago Silva, who came to contribute to his class in the Flu defense.
For the time being, André is injured for coach Fernando Diniz, who does not count on Jhon Arias because he is with the Colombian National Team in Copa America.
Final Betting Analysis: Botafogo vs. Fluminense
This year, they already met for the state championship, and Botafogo won by 4-2. The Fogao has achieved victories in the last four matches against the Flu and has not lost to this rival since 2022.
The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Botafogo as the favorite. Their Moneyline shows 2.05, Fluminense has 3.70, and the draw is at 3.40.
Fluminense has a strong squad. However, their start to the season is not ideal, while Botafogo, guided by Artur Jorge from the bench, looks more structured and, therefore, will take the three points at home. Go for a 3-1.
Go for a win for Botafogo. If you bet $100 at 2.05, you will gain $105 for a total payout of $205.
Botafogo vs. Fluminense Betting Pick: Botafogo
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