Last Updated on June 25, 2024 3:52 pm by Erwin Noguera
Group B of the Copa América may have its first qualified team, as Venezuela and Mexico meet on matchday 2. A win for either means a ticket to the next stage of the tournament held in the United States.
The Vinotinto took advantage of the fact that Ecuador was down a man for most of the match and won 2-1, with Jhonder Cádiz and Eduard Bello goals.
The Tri suffered but beat Jamaica, a regular rival in CONCACAF, 1-0. The goal was by Gerardo Arteaga.
When and Where?
Wednesday, June 27, 9:00 pm ET at the SoFi Stadium
Moneyline odds:
Venezuela 3.95
Mexico 2.22
Draw Offs:
3.20
Where can I watch it?
FOX Sports and ViX
Why Bet on Venezuela?
There is no doubt that the Venezuelan national team is experiencing a sweet moment with the arrival of Argentine coach Fernando Batista, who has them competing in a great way in the qualifying rounds. In the Copa América, they started on the right foot, beating Ecuador 2-1. The Vinotinto was losing with a goal by Jeremy Sarmiento, but Jhonder Cádiz and Eduard Bello turned it around in the second half.
What is striking is that coach Batista introduced Cádiz and Bello in the second half, which showed his knowledge of the roster he has. The Venezuelan team has a squad that is not young, but it is not veteran either. Their most experienced player is Salomón Rondón, who is accompanied by players who already have an international pedigree.
For example, players such as Yeferson Soteldo, Darwin Machís, or Yanger Herrera have proven experience in wearing the uniform of their country. Although they lost two friendlies, the Vinotinto has six official matches without losing, and their last setback was on September 7, 2023, when they lost 1-0 to Colombia.
Why Bet on México?
There are many questions regarding the present and future of the Mexican National Team, which has been beaten in CONCACAF tournaments by the United States, but in the Copa América, it has a chance to redeem itself. At least in the first match, they beat Jamaica 1-0, thanks to a goal by Gerardo Arteaga in the second half.
With this victory over the Jamaicans, the Tri ended a streak of two defeats in a row, conceding seven goals against Uruguay and Brazil . They had previously lost the Nations League final versus the United States by 2-0, confirming that the Stars and Stripes team is now their Beste Noire.
They have lost five of their last matches and drawn one more . They have not beaten heavy opponents, as their victims have been Jamaica, Bolivia, Panama, and Honduras . One fact in favor of the Mexicans is that they have not lost to Venezuela since 2011 . It is their only defeat in 11 matches.
Final Betting Analysis: Venezuela vs. México
Venezuela’s matches usually have two goals, and only three of ten games have had more than three goals . 2.5 goals or less is paying 1.75.
Santiago Giménez has not scored for Mexico since the Gold Cup final, so he is in a seven-game drought. His goal pays $2.80. A sending-off pays 3.10, but red cards have only been given between Mexico and Venezuela in one of the last five clashes , while the possibility of a penalty kick has odds of 2.60 (Mexico has not conceded a penalty kick since September 9, 2023).
The last time they played for the Copa América, these countries drew 1-1, and it was in 2016, also on U.S. soil. However , the Vinotinto has only defeated La Tri once in 11 matches.
The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Mexico as the favorite . Their Moneyline shows 1.87, Venezuela has 3.95, and the draw is at 3.20.
A priori, Mexico would be a candidate to win, but Venezuela is in a great moment and will be able to get a valuable point to define the qualifiers of this group in the last matchday. We’ll go for a 1-1.
Go for a draw . If you bet $100 at 3.20, you will gain $220 for a total payout of $320.
Venezuela vs. México Betting Pick: Draw
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