The Copa América brings a big game on Monday when the home team, the USA, plays its qualification to the next phase against the country that has shown, so far, to be the strongest in the tournament: Uruguay.
The United States suffered a major setback in the previous match when they lost to Panama and must win, or they could be eliminated.
On the other hand, Uruguay has been a steamroller and has just humiliated Bolivia with an overwhelming 5-0 victory that has them practically qualified.
When and Where?
Monday, July 1, 9:00 pm ET at the Arrowhead Stadium
Moneyline odds:
USA 2.49
Uruguay 2.9
Draw Offs :
3.39
Where can I watch it?
TUDN, Univision, and DGO
Why Bet on the USA?
The United States has already managed to overtake Mexico and position itself as the strongest team in CONCACAF. However, it is now measuring itself against CONMEBOL opponents to better evaluate its true soccer level. After a 2-0 win over Bolivia in the first matchday, they lost to a rival from the same confederation: Panama . It was a 2-1 defeat influenced by Timothy Weah’s early red card in the 18th minute.
Despite that, the Americans managed to take the lead with a goal by Folarin Balogun, but César Blackman and José Fajardo turned it around.
Now, the Stars and Stripes are in second place with three points and a +1 goal difference, but Panama has the same number of points and a -1 goal difference . What happens is that while the United States will face a power like Uruguay, the Canaleros will play against a weak Bolivia.
While Christian Pulisic’s performance so far has been good, the team needs more from its star. The Milan player has a goal and an assist against Bolivia but could not versus Panama, and now, in the most important game, he has to show all his talent.
Coach Gregg Berhalter will have two very important absentees. In addition to Weah, who is suspended, goalkeeper Matt Turner was injured in the previous game and will be a doubt until the last minute. The changes could be Brenden Aaronson for the winger and Ethan Horvath for the goalkeeper.
Why Bet on Uruguay?
Uruguay has been phenomenal in the Copa América. They had already been showing very good things in the qualifiers, and now they have been a steamroller, defeating Panama 3-1 and Bolivia 5-0. With six points and a goal difference of +7, it would take a miracle not to qualify.
Thanks to these results and what they have shown on the field, Uruguay has positioned itself as one of the main candidates for the title, if not the main one. In addition, they have Darwin Núñez on top of his game, who scored in the first two matches and has seven consecutive games scoring with the Uruguayan national team, during which time he scored ten goals.
But it is not only the Liverpool striker, in all the lines, they have very good players, such as Maxi Araújo and Federico Valverde. The Toluca player is the top scorer of the team with two goals and an assist, while the Real Madrid player has been an all-rounder running all over the field, even scoring a goal.
Marcelo Bielsa has brought back some of the “Charrúa claw” mystique to the Uruguayan team, which is looking to win the title again 13 years later since the last time was in 2011.
Another good news is that they have neither suspended nor injured players, but it is still highly possible that some of the usual starters will be rested.
Final Betting Analysis: USA vs. Uruguay
There are two things to take into account. On the one hand, in the two Uruguay games and one of the USA matches, there were more than two goals, and that option has odds of 2. On the other hand, it is also important to emphasize that the Uruguayans have not received any cards in this championship, and if they receive less than two yellow cards, that pays 1.95.
The last time they faced each other was a friendly in 2022 that ended goalless. Also , they met once in Copa América, in 1993 and the South Americans won 1-0 . They have eight matches between them with two victories per side and four draws . However, they have only met twice in official games, and both times the Uruguayans won: the aforementioned in the Copa América and another in the 1924 Olympic Games (3-0).
The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have the USA as the favorite . Their Moneyline shows 2.49, Uruguay has 2.9, and the draw is 3.39.
Uruguay does not have many needs for this game and may use substitutes, but they are still a great team. On the other hand, the United States has the pressure of competing at home and needing to win, and it will play against them. The South Americans will take the victory by 3-1.
Go for a win for Uruguay . If you bet $100 at 2.9, you will gain $129 for a total payout of $229.
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