Matchday 23 of the Brasileirão offers some great matches, and one of the highlights is the one between Palmeiras and São Paulo.
The Verdão is in a slump and comes from a 1-1 draw with Flamengo, moving away from the lead.
The Tricolor, on the other hand, managed to recover the lost ground and is getting closer and closer to the leader of the tournament.
Palmeiras vs. São Paulo Betting Odds and Info
| Palmeiras 1.85 | São Paulo 4.5 | Draw Offs: 3.4 |
| When? | Sunday, August 18, 3:00 pm ET, 2:00 pm CST, 1:00 pm MT, Noon PT |
| Where? | Allianz Parque |
| Where can I watch it? | Premiere, Disney+, Paramount+, and Vix |
Why Bet on Palmeiras?
Palmeiras is not living its best moment. With 38 points, they are in fourth place, the same as São Paulo, which is fifth. They are five units behind the leader, Botafogo, and with 29 goals, they have an average of 1.3 per game, which is low for the numbers they normally manage.
They are coming from a 1-1 draw with Flamengo, which makes two consecutive draws and four games without a win. They have only obtained 5 points out of the last 18, something unsuspected for Abel Ferreira’s team, the current Brasileirão champion. In addition, they were eliminated from the Copa do Brasil and are in the middle of the round of 16 of the Copa Libertadores, so they have to think about that and suddenly rotate players. On the positive side, their opponent is Botafogo, so they do not have to make an international trip.
The young Estevão is the revelation of the team, being the top scorer (5) and assister (4) of the Verdão in the championship. However, the 17-year-old midfielder was injured and has not been able to play the last few games but is expected to be ready for the weekend. The same applies to striker Felipe Anderson, who did not play against the Fla.
Uruguayan Joaquín Piquerez is injured, and defender Murilo, who was sent off, will be absent. Likewise, the Paraguayan Gustavo Gómez and the Argentinean Aníbal Moreno received their fifth yellow card and will be suspended. Ferreira will have many problems assembling the defense.
Why Bet on São Paulo?
São Paulo had a small bump in the road but has already managed to get out of it, winning its two most recent games and reaching 38 points, tied with Palmeiras but with a worse goal difference, so it knows that a victory will move it up at least one position in the table.
Their last two Brasileirão matches were 1-0 wins over Flamengo and Atlético Goianiense, and they also advanced to the quarterfinals of the Copa do Brasil after eliminating Goiás, and are in the round of 16 of the Copa Libertadores, where they will travel to Uruguay to face Nacional.
Although they are one of the teams that score the most goals (30), they do not have a great top scorer and have shared the task among the strikers, with Luciano (6), Lucas Moura (5), Ferreira (5), Jonathan Calleri (5), and André Silva (4) scoring the most goals. Only they have more than one goal, something that speaks well of a team that does not depend on one player to win.
Someone who needs to change his attitude is Luis Zubeldía. The coach is receiving many yellow cards for arguing, and after the one he received in the last game against Atlético Goianiense, he was suspended for this weekend. In total, the Argentine has received 15 in 27 matches in all competitions with the Tricolor, including two red cards. He received in eight of the last ten games in the Brasileirão.
Final Betting Analysis: Palmeiras vs. São Paulo
The last time they met was on April 29 this year, and tied 0-0. In 2024, they have played three times between Supercopa do Brasil, Torneo Paulista, and Brasileirão, and all were draws, two of them 0-0.
In the league, São Paulo has not beaten Palmeiras in five games, and the Verdão crushed the Tricolor 5-0 the last time they played at the Allianz Parque.
The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Palmeiras as the favorite. Their Moneyline shows 1.85, São Paulo has 4.50, and the draw is at 3.40.
Great duel between two teams that are tied on points and want to fight for the championship. However, it has been noted that both clubs are tired at this point of the season and will also have their heads set on the Copa Libertadores. We think it will be a 1-1 draw.
Go for a draw. If you bet $100 at 3.40, you will gain $240 for a total payout of $340.
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