It is strange to say, but the most important match of this weekend’s Matchday 15 of the Brasileirão will be the one between Palmeiras and Bahia, teams that are fighting for the leadership of the tournament.
The Verdão is coming from a draw against Grêmio (2-2) and moved away from Flamengo, leader of the championship.
The Bahiaço has surprised everyone, probably even themselves, and is also three points behind Mengão in the fight for the title.
When and where?
Sunday, July 7, 5:30 pm ET at the Allianz Parque
Moneyline odds:
Palmeiras 1.65
Bahia 5.3
Draw Offs:
3.95
Where can I watch it?
Premiere, Disney+, Paramount+, and Vix
Why Bet on Palmeiras?
Palmeiras suffered a setback during the week but is still fighting for their third title. With 27 points, they are three points behind Flamengo, accompanied by Botafogo and Bahia, so it is very important to win this Sunday. The Verdão managed to rescue a point in Porto Alegre by drawing 2-2 with Grêmio after trailing 2-0 thanks to goals from José López and young Estêvão at 74 and 77 minutes, respectively.
That’s six wins, one draw, and one loss in the last eight matches for Abel Ferreira’s team, which has a large number of absentees due to suspension, injury, or national team duty. Among those who should return this weekend are Gustavo Gómez, Raphael Veiga, Zé Rafael, and Gabriel Menino. Murilo and Lázaro are still injured, while Richard Ríos (Colombia) and Endrick (Brazil) are at the Copa América.
Precisely about Endrick, it is very likely that the young player will not play for Palmeiras anymore after he was sold to Real Madrid. That is why the club is already looking for a replacement for its striker, and several Brazilian media claim that they already have an agreement with Gabriel Barbosa, a player who has not been taken into account by Flamengo but has known quality.
Surprisingly, the Paulista team has not been doing very well at home, with four wins, one draw, and two defeats, but those four wins are the most recent results.
Why Bet on Bahia?
It is almost halfway through the Brasileirão, and Bahia, a team that usually fights to avoid relegation, is fourth in the championship, level with second and third, and only three points behind the leader, Flamengo.
Nobody would have believed this of the Tricolor, but what started as an illusion is taking more and more shape. In their last match, they beat Juventude 2-0 with goals by Thaciano and Cauly, but their great strength has been their stadium, the Arena Fonte Nova, where they have won all the games they have played (7) since they have only six points out of a possible 21 in away games.
They have four games without a win away from home in the Brasileirão, and the last two were defeats against strong teams such as Flamengo and São Paulo, similar to what they will face against Palmeiras.
The only absence for coach Rogério Ceni will be that of Colombian full-back Santiago Arias, who is injured.
Final Betting Analysis: Palmeiras vs. Bahia
The last time they met was on October 28 last year, and Palmeiras won 1-0 with a goal by Raphael Veiga. That’s three consecutive wins for the Verdão at home and seven games without defeat. The last time Bahia beat Palmeiras as visitors was on July 26, 2012.
The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Palmeiras as the favorite. Their Moneyline shows 1.62, Bahia has 5.0, and the draw is at 4.20.
Great duel presents the 15th date of the Brasileirão between Palmeiras and Bahia, two teams equal in points and fighting to get closer to the leader. However, the Bahiaço has shown not to be strong away and has been losing to the big teams, so we are going with the victory of the Verdão. Go for a 2-1.
Go for a win for Palmeiras. If you bet $100 at 1.62, you will gain $62 for a total payout of $162.
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