The Brasileirão will gift us an excellent game: the Fla-Flu. However, this time, it will be different from what we are accustomed to, as Fluminense and Flamengo are far away on the league table.
The Flu is in the relegation zone after many weeks without a win, slowly killing the happiness they gave to their fans after their first Libertadores title.
The Fla is at the top of the table again and seems like a firm candidate for the Série A title.
When and where?Â
Sunday, June 23rd, 3:00 pm ET at the Maracanã
Moneyline odds:Â
Fluminense 4.105
Flamengo 1.88
Draw Offs:Â
3.64
Where can I watch it?
ViX, Premiere, and Paramount+
Why Bet on Fluminense?
The locals are living a total nightmare after touching heaven. They accumulate a single win, three draws, and six losses.
This could be the worst possible time for Fluminense to face the derby. They have not been good in 2024 as a whole, but are coming with four losses in their last five games, showing their lowest level in many years as of late.
Even as administrative locals, the future looks gloomy for the Flu in this clash. Their last win was against an equally as bad Vasco da Gama, and, surprisingly, it could be said that they have not beaten a top-level team since defeating Boca Juniors in the Copa Libertadores final many months ago. They have failed to win against Palmeiras, Botafogo, São Paulo, and their next rivals (on many occasions) since then.
Why Bet on Flamengo?
The visitors and leaders have a record of six wins, three draws, and a single loss. They are coming after winning four of their last five clashes, drawing the other. That makes them the team with the best form in the Brasileirão, as only Palmeiras comes close (four wins, one loss).
After losing to Botafogo in the early season, they have been unstoppable in Brazilian competitions and only saw defeat against Palestino in the Libertadores.
However, we all know that derbies have a different feeling, especially this one, deemed as the best in all of Brazil. In their favor, their last encounters with their dire rivals have been successful, eliminating them from the Taça Guanabara in the Liga Carioca in March.
Betting Analysis: Fluminense vs. Flamengo
The registers between these teams go back to the last 86 matches. In that span, Flamengo took a considerable advantage with 37 wins, contrary to 24 for Fluminense. There have been 25 draws.
More recent stats keep being favorable to Flamengo, who has not lost since April 2023. Since then, they have played seven times, with three triumphs for the Fla.
Effectively, they tend to draw a lot in recent times, but their levels are miles apart at this stage. We’ll go for a 1-3 win for the visitors in this Carioca derby.
Go for a victory for Flamengo at 1.88. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $88 for a total payout of $188.
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