Bahia vs. Vitória Preview and Free Pick

Bahia vs. Vitória Preview and Free Pick

The top of the table is pretty tight in the Brasileirão, but we have a look a little lower towards a team that keeps falling from grace. Bahia wants to recover its good sensations in the Ba-Vi derby vs. Vitória.

The Bahiaço was defeated again, this time by Fluminense 1-0.

On the contrary, Vitória got some fresh air with a victory against Cuibá.

Bahia vs. Vitória Betting Odds and Info

Bahia 1.635Vitória 5.36Draw Offs: 3.94
When?Sunday, August 11 at 3:00 PM ET, 2:00 PM CST, 1:00 PM MT, noon PT
Where?Arena Fonte Nova
Where can I watch it?PremiereDisney+Paramount+, and Vix

Why Bet on Bahia?

Located seventh in the table, the team is on nine wins, five draws, and seven losses run, failing to win in its last five matches.

At first, a surprise push for the title seemed on the cards. However, as we got closer to the second half of the season, form started to dwindle, and, now, they are eleven points behind Botafogo at first.

The good news is that they still have some cushion, as just behind is another team that fell from grace, Athletico-PR, with whom they shared the top some weeks ago. The team from Paranaense is in eighth place with 28, contrary to Bahia’s 32, so falling more on the table is not possible, at least, for one more matchday.

The team hopes that the Fonte Nova Arena, where they won their first seven Brasileirão 2024 games in a row, serves to recover some momentum.

Why Bet on Vitória?

The visitors will be the 15th placed Vitória, who are on a two-match winning streak. They have six wins, three draws, and 12 losses, being one of the teams fighting to stay afloat and out of the relegation zone.

The Leão da Barra beat none other than Palmeiras on their last visit, so they have the confidence to face this derby looking for a win. However, throughout their last 11 away matches in Série A, they have been involved in low-scoring affairs, with an average of less than two goals per game. A high-scoring match is not on the cards.

Now, turning our looks again to the relegation battle, they have a single-point advantage over Corinthians and Flamengo at the 18th and 17th place, respectively, so a bad combination of results could sink them deep into the red zone. The error margin is null at the moment.

Final Betting Analysis: Bahia vs. Vitória

Even though Vitória gathered a second win and regained some hope leaping out of the last places, the locals still have a much better squad, although one in low hours.

Since 2010, they have played an impressive 56 times, mainly in their regional championship, the Campeonato Bahiano, where Vitória is the defending champion. In this spam, there have been 17 victories for Bahia, 19 for the Leão da Barra, and 20 draws. The last ten games tell a similar history with five draws, three wins for Vitória, and two for the Bahiaço.

Still, the visitors have not won in the Arena Fonte Nova since 2020, and we doubt they’ll repeat the feat this time. We’ll go for victory for the locals by 2-1.

Go for a victory for Bahia at 1.635. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $63.5 for a total payout of $163.5.

Bahia vs. Vitória Betting Pick: Bahia

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