The battle for the top of the Brasileirão is red hot, as the last matchday ended up with only one of the top three spots on the board landing a victory, letting Flamengo get a slight advantage and the teams below catch up a little.
Precisely, the two teams who took the chance to close the distance were Athletico-PR and São Paulo, who now face a key battle to keep their momentum going.
When:
Wednesday, July 3, at 8:30 pm ET at the Arena da Baixada
Moneyline odds:
Athletico-PR 2.24
São Paulo 3.385
Draw Offs:
3.25
Where can I watch it?
ViX, Premiere, and Paramount+
Why Bet on Athletico-PR?
The 5th placed team, Athletico-PR, has six wins, four draws, and three losses but has finally landed a win, bouncing back from a loss after three draws in a row.
The Furacão has been doing pretty well on the season, but its defense has been a major flaw. Not because they receive many, being one of the best defenses in the top ten (10 goals against), butthe issue is the timing of some of those goals. If it weren’t for a couple of last-minute concessions, they could be at the top of the table.They have conceded goals in five of their last six games while totaling six goals scored in that period.
They will be hosting here, so they have that in their favor.
Why Bet on São Paulo?
The visitors will be the 6th placed São Paulo, who have six wins, three draws, and four losses, one point behind the hosts. After a skid of two losses in a row, they fixed their path with two wins, the last being the most remarkable as it was against top-chasing Bahia.
The Paulistas have been trying to pull forward into the top of the board, and their offense has been pretty aggressive, being close to the top scorers. However, their defense needs to improve, as they have conceded quite a bunch too.
They have taken nine goals in their last five games, so things are not solid at the back. Still, there is plenty of faith in the project of Zubeldía, even though there’s a lot of room for improvement.
Final Betting Analysis: Athletico-PR vs. São Paulo
In the last 44 games, things are pretty tight, with 12 wins by Paranaense, 15 for the Paulistas, and 17 draws.In the last five games, the trend continued: two draws, two wins for São Paulo, and one for Athletico-PR.
We are expecting this clash to be pretty eventful, likely ending in a high-scoring match. Their last game was at the Arena da Baixada for the Brasileirão and it was a 1-1 draw.
Some things point to a draw. However, we believe the Paulistas’ defense may fall short again, so we’ll go for a 2-1 local win.
Go for a win for Athletico-PR at 2.24. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $124 for a total payout of $224.
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