UFC 313 just wrapped up, and now, we are going to take the trip back to Las Vegas. We get quite a fun clash in the Middleweight division as a headliner to what we expect to be quite a fun event to follow up.
Not only will the main event be quite a good fight overall, but also a rematch for Marvin Vettori and Roman Dolidze, whose fight, back in March of 2023 ended in a win for Vettori.
We have quite an interesting set of fights filling up the rest of the main event, like a clash between Elizeu Zaleski and Chidi Njokuani, the lightweight clash between Alexander Hernandez and Kurt Holobaugh, and a duel involving Kevin Vallejos and Seung Woo Choi.
Besides that, there is a lot of international talent in the seven prelim clashes as we pick up the pace in the six fights in the main event.
You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 Fight Card Odds and Info
| Marvin Vettori 1.66 | Roman Dolidze 2.248 |
| Elizeu Zaleski 1.54 | Chidi Njokuani 2.507 |
| Alexander Hernandez 1.53 | Kurt Holobaugh 1.47 |
| Da’Mon Blackshear 1.205 | Cody Gibson 4.56 |
| Diyar Nurgozhay 1.27 | Brendson Ribeiro 3.72 |
| Kevin Vallejos 1.186 | Seung Woo Choi 4.85 |
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta 1.59 | Ryan Spann 2.332 |
| Su Young You 1.15 | AJ Cunningham 5.4 |
| Josias Musasa 1.113 | Carlos Vera 5.95 |
| Sam Hughes 2.891 | Stephanie Luciano 1.42 |
| André Lima 1.27 | Daniel Barez 3.73 |
| Josiane Nunes 1.55 | Priscila Cachoeira 2.431 |
| Yuneisy Duben 3.83 | Carli Judice 1.27 |
| When? | Saturday, March 15th, at 4:00 pm ET, 3:00 pm CST, 2:00 pm MT, and 1:00 pm PT |
| Where? | the UFC Apex, in Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Where Can I Watch It? | UFC Fight Pass |
UFC Fight Night: Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze
Why Bet on Marvin Vettori?
Vettori hasn’t fought in over one and a half years, and that’s an extremely long time to be inactive in a division constantly moving.
Marvin Vettori has always been a dangerous fighter to deal with. His forward pressure and outstanding cardio have been a threat to many in the division, and his striking defense leaves a whole heap load to the imagination. He’s the definition of a gritty fighter and someone who constantly pushes a nasty pace.
However, his inactivity leaves a few questions in the air because he was injured last year, but the degree of said injury is unknown.
Vettori can stick to his guns this weekend and use his high-pace wrestling to whittle down Dolidze. Going back to those leg kicks that were used to devastating effect in the first fight, although we would be remiss to say that Dolidze has evolved in recent fights and fully expects a different kind of fight this weekend.
Why Bet on Roman Dolidze?
Dolidze has looked good recently, from his dominant win against Anthony Smith to the freak injury that broke Holland’s ribs. Dolidze has seemingly leveled up in recent fights, and all comes from aggression. He is a lot more aggressive when he’s fighting. He doesn’t waste time playing it safe with strictly wrestling. It’s wrestling with the purpose of maiming and land ground and pound, and he does that exceptionally well now.
The only problem we have with Dolidze is how he looks on the feet, he has no head movement, no footwork, just a stillness to his stance, and is incredibly easy to read with his strikes.
Everything is loaded up. There are no feints that matter, just some slight pawing followed by kicks or boxing combinations, and that stillness on the feet is why he gets pressured toward the cage.
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze Final Betting Analysis:
If Dolidze can stick to Vettori and drag him into deep waters as he did to Anthony Smith, then we will see Vettori slow down a bit. So, to recap, Vettori needs to slow down that forward motion of Dolidze and execute what he did so well before attacking the legs early.
He also needs to have his back separate from the cage. Dolidze may feel incentivized to look for takedowns more often than he did in the first, but
Vettori will capitalize on damage standing up, and as long as they fight on their feet, the Italian fighter has this on the bag.
UFC Fight Night: Elizeu Zaleski vs. Chidi Njokuani
Why Bet on Elizeu Zaleski?
Zaleski is coming off a win against some dude named Scroggin, who, again, we will likely never hear from again. There are quite a few positive things that we can talk about when it comes to Zaleski, he’s got great cardio for a 38+ year old man, and his striking still is a threat to many in the division as he is quite dynamic and explosive on the feet.
However, Zaleski does suffer from being a bit frozen at times. If he is unable to be the aggressor, he does not do too well as a defensive fighter, he is so used to be able to bully his opponents through unpredictability and explosiveness.
Why Bet on Chidi Njokuani?
Njokuani has a huge reach advantage over Zaleski, which is great, but what isn’t great, or at least in our opinion less great, is the fact that we haven’t seen a classic knockout that he’s so well known for.
We think his reach advantage will give him a bit more confidence in his hands and perhaps we’ll see a much more aggressive fighter, but it’s just a bit disheartening to see a lack of KO’s from him recently.
Anyway, Njokuani will have to stick to his boxing in this one in order to win, because any kick thrown could easily be caught by Zaleski and thus turned into a takedown by the veteran.
Elizeu Zaleski vs. Chidi Njokuani Final Betting Analysis:
If Njokuani becomes the more aggressive fighter in this bout, expect Zaleski to fall apart and be unable to settle into a flow in which he can then effectively fire back.
Zaleski is also at a 7 inch reach disadvantage, and reach has been a problem for Zaleski, so we think as long as Njokuani keeps his hands high ready for a head kick from Zaleski and just uses his straight boxing combinations to take away Zaleski’s forward aggression, Njokuani could find success throughout the fight and even perhaps a finish.
UFC Fight Night: Elizeu Zaleski vs. Chidi Njokuani
Why Bet on Elizeu Zaleski?
There are quite a few positive things that we can talk about when it comes to Zaleski. He’s got great cardio for a 38-year-old man, and his striking still is a threat to many in the division as he is quite dynamic and explosive on the feet.
However, Zaleski does suffer from being a bit frozen at times. If he is unable to be the aggressor, he does not do too well as a defensive fighter. He is used to being able to bully his opponents through unpredictability and explosiveness.
Why Bet on Chidi Njokuani?
Njokuani has a huge reach advantage over Zaleski, which is great, but what isn’t great, or at least in our opinion less great, is the fact that we haven’t seen the classics knockout he’s so well known for.
We think his reach advantage will give him a bit more confidence in his hands and perhaps we’ll see a much more aggressive fighter, but it’s just a bit disheartening to see a lack of KO’s from him.
Njokuani will have to stick to his boxing to win because any kick thrown could easily be caught by Zaleski, turning into a takedown by the veteran.
Elizeu Zaleski vs. Chidi Njokuani Final Betting Analysis:
If Njokuani becomes the more aggressive fighter in this bout, expect Zaleski to fall apart and be unable to settle into a flow in which he can effectively fire back.
Zaleski has a 7-inch reach disadvantage, so we think as long as Njokuani keeps his hands high and ready for a head kick from Zaleski and uses his straight boxing combinations to take away Zaleski’s forward aggression, Njokuani could find success throughout the fight and even perhaps find a finish.
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh
Why Bet on Alexander Hernandez?
Hernandez has typically done well enough in his career to stay relevant, typically displaying decent kickboxing and a very low stance. He has assimilated well into his offensive style and will not be very helpful in defending the takedowns at the hips or legs.
Hernandez’s offensive output comes from both sides, he never really repeats the same kind of sequence over. He’s diverse with his approach and typically tends to switch stance to further allow more naked shots to land effectively as his opponent would still be making his reads.
Why Bet on Kurt Holobaugh?
Holobaugh is coming off a guy named Kaynan Kruschewsky, who probably is not ever going to be relevant anymore, and the main thing that jumps out at me here is Holobaughs age.
He’s getting up there in age for sure, and whilst he’s got grit and determination to win fights, we just fail to see him win against someone like Hernandez.
Holobaughs is a very well-rounded fighter who is great at using his cardio and pressure to win fights, but it’s only effective in this fight if he can avoid the strikes of Hernandez, and we think he’s going to run into them and keep marching forward.
Anyway, pressure and body kicks are going to be the primary skills for Holobaugh to achieve victory here.
If he engages within boxing range, Hernandez is more than comfortable enough to throw short and sharp combinations down the line.
Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaugh Final Betting Analysis:
We do not at all expect Holobaugh to be as wrestle-heavy as Hernandez’s other opponents, and we’re going to see Hernandez be a bit more comfortable in being the aggressor on the feet.
We expect Hernandez to win here as he will be looking more comfortable than in most of his recent fights.
UFC Fight Night: Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson
Why Bet on Da’Mon Blackshear?
Blackshear isn’t a high-caliber fighter, despite his recent success over Cody Stamann. Although, one might argue that his grappling ability could give Gibson a fair bit of trouble.
The great thing about Blackshear is that his BJJ skillset will give Gibson a few things to think about.
Gibson is mostly a wrestler who wants to take things to the ground, thus it could lead to a situation in which Blackshears submission offense really shines and Gibson gets caught in something.
Why Bet on Cody Gibson?
Gibson is coming into this fight nearing the end of his career. Gibson’s relatively well rounded and has a relatively straightforward approach to fighting, a lot of stance switches and a lot of pressure, and if he can perhaps keep this fight standing and against the cage, he could pull away with a win considering that the judges see holding someone against the cage the most prized position a fighter can take.
Gibson’s jab is fairly dangerous. He’s comfortable throwing it out both as an offensive weapon to set up further combinations or defensively as he glides out of the way of an attack whilst flashing out the jab.
Da’Mon Blackshear vs. Cody Gibson Final Betting Analysis:
If Blackshear doesn’t get that much-needed submission, he’s just going to be dealing with a great grappler who will maintain top position and thus run out the clock with control time in his favor.
This isn’t to say that the submissions will be easy to find. Gibson himself has a brown belt in BJJ, but they will be quite available as we suspect a lot of this fight will take place on the ground.
We expect Gibson’s approach to hand him the win in this clash.
UFC Fight Night: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro
Why Bet on Diyar Nurgozhay?
Nurgozhay is solid on the feet, and he has dangerous kicks to the body and head. Anything that comes from the power side is quite powerful, but he can wrestle and mix it up on the ground.
That alone is more than enough to deal with Ribeiro, who is primarily known for his ability to land powerful shots on the feet.
Why Bet on Brendson Ribeiro?
Ribeiro is coming off a rather boring back-and-forth fight against Caio Machado, but having a boring fight against Machado is one thing and to barely win via split decision is another thing entirely.
It seems that the formula for any Ribeiro fight to be successful is to let those hands go and land early and often because if the fight becomes a slow, methodically paced one, he probably loses most of the time due to his unique power factor being negated by a slow tit for tat.
Ribeiro has an 8-inch reach advantage which may come to his advantage if he is able to bite down on the mouthpiece and make it very gritty. Otherwise, Nurgozhay is going to be far too comfortable at kicking distance early on in the fight to throw and land his body kicks.
Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Brendson Ribeiro Final Betting Analysis:
This is Nurgozhay’s debut, and we expect the same thing we saw during his DWCS fight, albeit with a bit more wrestling. Power side shots, powerful body and head kicks, and maybe a takedown or two thrown in for good measure, as long as he doesn’t eat a kick to the head from Ribeiro.
Things seem to point to Diyar taking the win only if he can find the kicking distance.
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Vallejos vs. Seung Woo Choi
Why Bet on Kevin Vallejos?
Kevin Vallejos has 10 KO wins under his belt, 6 of them in the first round, and that’s all that needs to be said here.
Vallejos tends to start with leg kicks relatively strongly, and that’s all he needs to allow his hands to land more effectively as his opponent becomes a bit concerned about those leg kicks.
Why Bet on Seung Woo Choi?
Choi is coming off a KO loss against Steve Garcia, and well, what else is there to say other than Choi’s chin will be tested once again?
It’s obvious that the UFC wants Vallejos up as a rapidly rising star, but maybe Choi could have used a break.
Kevin Vallejos vs. Seung Woo Choi Final Betting Analysis:
We expect Vallejos to look much cleaner on the feet, and considering that Vallejos’ opponent on DWCS fights somewhat similar to Choi in that it’s an all-offense style, we think that Vallejos is going to do what he did on DWCS, dig to the body, then start targeting upstairs with a volley of dangerous punches.
Hopefully, Choi doesn’t get too rattled up. However, we expect Vallejos to get the win.
UFC Fight Night: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ryan Spann
Why Bet on Waldo Cortes-Acosta?
Cortes-Acosta has been playing it smart recently, doing the right things someone who wants to achieve success in the UFC should do, such as wrestling a Taekwondo-style fighter for three rounds and not-quite outbox but still doing reasonably well against a very aged Arlovski.
Acosta has a piston of a right hand, and we think it’s about time we saw him rely on it again.
Cortes is not one to make action happen. He waits at punching range for something to happen, and then when something happens, he retaliates with maybe one or two punches down the line, but as a heavyweight, he leaves a bit to the imagination.
Why Bet on Ryan Spann?
Spann’s run in the UFC has been quite interesting. He has more memorable losses than wins, at least in our opinion, but we will say that submitting OSP is interesting.
Now that he’s moving up, we expect him to be a bit more timid on the feet as he feels out the striking process against Cortes-Acosta because Heavyweights hit a lot differently.
We think Spann’s athleticism can play a major role in success here as he has good footwork and speed, but we might not yet know how much of that speed is reduced with the additional weight.
Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Ryan Spann Final Betting Analysis:
The good news is that Spann will probably be feeling heavyweight power for the first time if Cortes-Acosta does bite down on the mouthpiece and throws.
We think Spann can land some decent boxing combinations on Cortes-Acosta if he sticks and moves, but it won’t take long before Cortes-Acosta lets his power side go.
UFC Fight Night: Su Young You vs. AJ Cunningham
Why Bet on Su Young You?
Young has always been a heavy-pressure wrestler and grappler since the RTU tournament. We don’t see that style changing now when Cunningham is coming off a fight in which he got taken down by someone who doesn’t hold a match to someone like Young You.
We suspect the game plan for this one is simple for Young You. Get in close, crowd the strikes of Cunningham, and then go for the level change and take the fight to the ground.
Why Bet on AJ Cunningham?
Cunningham, on the other hand, is someone who doesn’t really give us too much hope. His DWCS fight ended in a KO loss in which he landed at a 28% clip, dreadfully low. Then his most recent fight against Ludovit Klein was basically a major “set up for success” fight for Klein.
The fact is that Cunningham most likely isn’t ready for the UFC. He hasn’t shown us anything that indicates He’s a UFC-caliber fighter, and for him to come up against an RTU winner who utilizes heavy pressure with his wrestling and grappling, we don’t have much hope for Cunningham to pull anything off unless it’s on the feet in which he may have a chance to hurt You, but that’s the only pathway to success for Cunningham.
Su Young You vs. AJ Cunningham Final Betting Analysis:
We are somewhat concerned about You’s ability to fight standing up, as there have been some moments in which he felt the pressure from the striking and had to rely on takedown attempt after takedown attempt.
The same thing is going to happen in this fight, regardless of how rocky the striking is for Young You, he will constantly aim for takedowns and aim to keep the fight on the ground for a prolonged period of time, and that is what will earn him victory here.
UFC Fight Night: Josias Musasa vs. Carlos Vera
Why Bet on Josias Musasa?
Musasa is coming off a split-decision win over his opponent, and after having to watch the tape, we are barely impressed. Musasa is primarily a boxer who throws power, and that’s about it.
He rarely leaves the first round which is testament to his quick starts and comfort in throwing his power early. The thing we like about Musasa is that he just doesn’t throw power shots, he can set up the power side attack with his lead hand, as any other boxer might, and we just think that’s neat.
Still, he has a lot to prove to us this weekend because he’s coming up against a 37-year-old fighter with one fight in the UFC. We expect Musasa to start strong, use his forward pressure to back Vera against the cage, and just let his hands go as he always does.
Why Bet on Carlos Vera?
Vera on the other hand is coming off a horrific loss against Rinya Nakamura in which he was controlled on the ground for 13 minutes and that’s all that he really showed us, he showed us that he can be controlled on the ground.
We guess the only positive from this fight is that we might see his striking a bit more, or at least Vera may find appropriate moments to look for his submissions, as he does have a few good guillotine chokes on his record.
Josias Musasa vs. Carlos Vera Final Betting Analysis:
With all that has been said, we genuinely think Vera was signed into the UFC to make him a filler fighter just so that Rinya can fight, and now he has to fight Musasa.
Either way, Vera may have to take the fight to the ground to stifle the offensive output of Musasa and to control the beast, especially in the first round, but we believe Musasa will do enough damage and get the win.
UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Stephanie Luciano
Why Bet on Sam Hughes?
Hughes is one of the most below-average fighters in the strawweight division at the moment. Everything she does in the cage is somewhat passable as a fighter. However, she fails to hold a candle against most of the other UFC fighters.
Sam Hughes is relatively well-rounded and likes to throw in high volume, often turns up the violence a notch when her coach asks for it, and is quite receptive to any callout from her corner.
The problem is that she will almost forever be a substandard UFC fighter who has no bright future ahead of her in terms of contenders.
Why Bet on Stephanie Luciano?
Luciano is very new to the UFC, and this is her first time she’s fought a new opponent since her back-to-back fights against Alencar. The good news about this fight is that if it remains standing, we get to see more of what Luciano does well on the feet, body kicks, boxing combinations, knees up the middle, and offensive clinch attacks are all so beautiful to watch.
What’s most impressive is the urgency to get back to her feet when taken down because she doesn’t waste time scrambling back to her feet to re-engage with her opponent with her strikes.
Sam Hughes vs. Stephanie Luciano Final Betting Analysis:
Hughes’ wrestling could be a difference maker in this fight, and since she mixes in her takedowns with her striking relatively well, we suspect that swarming her opponent with activity is going to be a key aspect of her game plan this weekend.
Hughes still has a fair chance to win this fight if visually she looks busier than her opponent, because 5 shots that look like they land is more effective to the judges eyes than a single well placed shot.
Luciano’s urgency to get back up is going to be a big problem for Hughes if Hughes is unable to hold on tight and just pin her to the ground to take away her ability to return to the feet, and we expect Luciano to do the damage on the stand up and chip away Hughes’ confidence.
UFC Fight Night: André Lima vs. Daniel Barez
Why Bet on André Lima?
Lima is coming off a fairly competitive fight against Felipe Dos Santos, and the one thing we love about Lima is his calmness. He doesn’t exactly move around a lot unless it’s that slow-forward movement in which he backs his opponent toward the cage.
He does this by threatening his left hand through feints and heavy leg kicks, and that left hand is destructive and accurate.
Lima’s defensive work is relatively good as well. He blocks most of the shots coming his way, and whilst he did get “outstruck” by Felipe, it’s kind of hard not to when Felipe’s constantly throwing stuff.
Why Bet on Daniel Barez?
Barez is still relatively new to the UFC, but we do like what I see for a 36 year old. Barez’s offensive output is going to be the biggest danger for Lima, he’s got excellent boxing and isn’t afraid to make that first round a nightmare.
He dropped Altamirano in the first round and then just laid down some horrific ground and pound, so there’s no doubt in my mind that the first round against Lima will be just as dangerous.
Aggression and output are the two main keys to victory for Barez, but as with any fight, he needs to be careful of what comes back his way, and Barez does not have the best striking defense.
He stands very tall and almost unmoving from a defensive perspective and it is because of that near stillness in the upper body that we can see Lima finding that left hand and thus slowing down the determined Barez’s aggressive actions.
André Lima vs. Daniel Barez Final Betting Analysis:
The good news for Lima is that Barez isn’t quite as active on the feet, as most of his output stems from ground and pound. Lima’s takedown defense is also likely to be tested here, especially if Barez feels too much pressure and threat from the left hand, which he will.
Either way, that first round is going to be Barez’s primary round to deal the most damage and try to end the fight, as he does tend to start ridiculously quickly.
If the fight makes it past the first, Lima will be taking it home.
UFC Fight Night: Josiane Nunes vs. Priscila Cachoeira
Why Bet on Josiane Nunes?
Nunes is known for her power, she’s built to carry around power and strike in short bursts, but really that’s all she needs. Her last fight against Cavalcanti was kind of destined to be a loss due to Cavalcanti’s style and speed, but honestly she made it just competitive enough for us to think that she’s got a fair chance to bounce back and move up in the divisions.
The good news for this match-up is that Cachoeira is a bit of a lower-tier fighter, someone who you give to cans to make them less of a can. Nunes’ attacks are repetitive, and it’s clear that she only needs to land a few power shots to turn the tide, so expect her to want to set up the big shots early to take out Cachoeira.
We think that due to the massive height disadvantage of 5 inches, Nunes’ overhand attacks are likely to be a key weapon in landing cleanly due to Cachoeira being at that right height for, well, overhands to land.
Why Bet on Priscila Cachoeira?
Cachoeira has had some glimpses of overwhelming badassery, her fight against Ariane Lipski was a shock to a whole lot of people, but it goes to show just how much of a powerhouse she can be.
The thing with Cachoeira is that she’s very one-dimensional, pretty dangerous on the feet, but about as useless as a mermaid in a walking marathon on the ground. However, with that said, we are hoping that she’s improved her grappling in this fight because it is genuinely the main path to victory for Cachoeira.
Josiane Nunes vs. Priscila Cachoeira Final Betting Analysis:
Nunes needs to keep this fight standing to win, she needs to keep throwing those power attacks to not only damage Cachoeira but to appease the judges and perhaps turn some scorecards her way due to the activity and all that.
We are expecting the fight to be fun to watch because Cachoeira might be an interesting underdog, but we are confident that Nunes will land the victory.
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Carli Judice
Why Bet on Yuneisy Duben?
Duben is coming off a KO win on DWCS half a year ago, but she isn’t tecnical at all, there are no feints, nothing that tells us that she knows proper punching technique or footwork, she is just… someone who wants to throw punches in bunches, nothing pretty, nothing really effective, just power and stuff.
Why Bet on Carli Judice?
Judice has been in firefights before. Her last two opponents have landed 100 strikes plus on her during a 3-round fight. Her fight against Fernandes was a Fight of the Night, which is a rare honor for someone with her background and experience.
The problem is that she absorved over 100 strikes! She is there to be hit, and that’s probably not a great thing to do when coming up against someone who isn’t afraid to throw everything into her horrific shots.
We would not be surprised if Judice came out of this fight bruised and battered because Duben wants to go that way. The good news is that Judice likes to throw leg kicks here and there, so we expect that to be part of the game plan, but then again, the best counter for a leg kick is an overhand.
Yuneisy Duben vs. Carli Judice Final Betting Analysis:
Judice has shown the ability to grit through the toughest of fights. She can stand and strike with anyone willing to stand and strike, and her speed and footwork will help her a lot in this fight.
Our only concern is that her left-side guard is quite low at times. We can see Duben trying to land that overhand right as it has been the main successful attack during her fight against Shannon on DWCS, so we think Judice is going to have to be very vigilant, with her left hand being raised at all times to mitigate damage from that side.
With Duben’s lack of technical approach, we believe Judice will find a way to chip the aggression and damage the legs before proceeding to break Duben down.
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