Botafogo is in a tight contest with Palmerias for the Brasileirão title, and their next rival is a Grêmio team that, on the contrary, is in the relegation battle.
O Fogo is coming from a tight duel with São Paulo in the Libertadores, reaching the quarterfinals after beating the Paulistas on penalties. For the league, they recently beat Fluminense.
The Tricolor Gaucho comes from a terrible defeat at home against Criuciúma, a direct rival in the relegation battle.
Botafogo vs. Grêmio betting odds and info
| Botafogo 1.686 | Grêmio 5.05 | Draw Offs: 3.84 |
| When? | Saturday, September 28 at 8:00 p.m. ET, 7:00 pm CST, 6:00 pm MT, and 5:00 pm PT |
| Where? | Arena BRB Mané Garrincha |
| Where can I watch it? | ViX, Premiere, and Paramount+ |
Why bet on Botafogo?
The locals have 17 wins, five draws, and five losses, maintaining a three-point lead over Palmeiras with an equal number of games played.
Botafogo came out of an unstable period with a streak of five matches undefeated in the league, with four victories. Their last game for the Série A was a tight duel with the Fla in the Maracanã. The great challenge for O Fogo was surpassing their mental block as visitors, as they were suffering a lot away. Still, they are the best in the league in this condition, winning half of their 14 matches played outside of the Nílton Santos.
We must point out that they will act as locals, but the game will be celebrated at the Arena BRB Mané Garrincha. The authorities tend to organize important games in that stadium, located in Brasilia, to justify its existence.
Why bet on Grêmio?
Grêmio was giving signs of life a couple of months ago, managing to leave the relegation positions. However, the gas seemed to run out again recently, so they failed to establish in the middle of the table. Their record features nine wins, four draws, and 13 losses.
The visitors come from a loss against Cruciúma at their home. That victory allowed the Tiger to surpass the 30 points line, and jump over the Tricolor Gaucho in the table. They are just three points away from Corinthians, the last team to be relegated and which has been improving lately.
Their away record is pretty poor, winning just three of their 12 matches away from home and losing half of them. However, in their favor, their next match is on neutral ground, which could somewhat benefit them. Still, Botafogo is looking like a force of nature lately, so they need to be solid, especially at the back.
Final Betting Analysis: Botafogo vs. Grêmio
Since 2004, they have played 35 times. Grêmio has a big advantage of 18 wins in that period, contrary to 11 for Botafogo. There have been only six draws, a percentage of less than 18%, so a tie is the most risky bet by far. Their last draw was in 2017 for the Copa Libertadores.
Their last five matches feature three victories for the Tricolor and two for the Fogao, while their prior game was a 1-2 victory for Botafogo as visitors, although, at the time, Grêmio was playing outside its stadium due to the emergency in the south of Brazil. In that sense, the circumstances were similar to this next match.
The Cariocas have managed their squad excellently considering the amount of games they have played recently. With the league recovering time from the issues at the beginning of the season and the Libertadores in a key stage, they have been playing almost every three days, so the team performance has been remarkable. We believe the situation will take its toll sooner or later, but we’ll go for a victory for the “locals” by 3-1.
Go for a victory for Botafogo at 1.686. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $68.6 for a total payout of $168.6.
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