With the top of the table at stake, two teams who knew what was to lead the Brasileirão this season clash as Fortaleza and Bahia try to recover.
The Leao do Pici comes after a draw with Athletico Parananse. It is their third match in a row without a win, confirming that they didn’t have what it takes to remain at the top.
Bahia is slowly recovering after a midseason crisis, and they come from a good victory over Atlético Mineiro 3-0.
Fortaleza vs. Bahia betting odds and info
| Fortaleza 2.28 | Bahia 3.245 | Draw Offs: 3.3 |
| When? | Saturday, September 21 at 8:00 PM ET, 7:00 PM CST, 6:00 PM MT, 5:00 PM PT |
| Where? | Estádio Castelão |
| Where can I watch it? | ViX, Premiere, and Paramount+ |
Why bet on Fortaleza?
Fortaleza has broken its little losing streak with a draw, but it needs wins to regain the top spot. Their 14 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses leave them in a good position to fight till the end, but they must wake up quickly.
The problem as of late seems to lie in the attack, with just two goals scored in the last three games. Like most teams in the Brasileirão, they don’t have a great goal-scorer but compensated that with a remarkable defense. Now, having received five goals in the aforementioned three matches, the foundation of the house of cards was shaken and it fell off.
This match at home is a good chance to recover as Bahia is one of the worst visiting teams outside the bottom of the table, but they still boast a diligent squad capable of surprising.
Why bet on Bahia?
Bahia comes trying to build up on their recent win, which landed them 12 wins, six draws, and eight losses. However, as visitors, things aren’t looking the best for them against one of the most successful teams in this season. In this condition, they have three wins, four draws, and three losses, being defeated by teams that, a priori, are inferior, like RB Bragantino recently.
Still, the Bahiaço’s 3-0 Victory against Atletico Mineiro was a good moment in their season and yet another opportunity to build a successful run.
However, they must tighten the defensive line as they have already received twenty goals out of home, leaving them with a goal difference of -3 in this regard. If Fortaleza scores first, they’ll have a hard time responding.
Final Betting Analysis: Fortaleza vs. Bahia
Neither team is at its best, and their primes this season came at different times, so it was not possible to see them face at their maximum potential either way.
In the last 23 matches, there is almost absolute parity, with Fortaleza having seven wins, Bahia eight, and there were eight draws. Their previous game was a 1-0 victory for the Bahiaço at Salvador de Bahia, last June 13, 2024.
Both teams have great needs this time, but we believe that Fortaleza’s decline is steep and will keep going for a little while. Go for a surprise victory for the visitors by 1-2.
Go for a victory for Bahia at 3.245. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $224.5 for a total payout of $324.5.
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