The Serie A has had a weird season until now, with some of the best teams from the last edition having poor campaigns. That is the case of Napoli and Lazio, two clubs that, although close to the top four, were expected to perform better.
‘Il Aquile’ started the season at a horrible rhythm, struggling in the lower part of the table for some weeks. However, they have revived as of late, and come with four wins in a row.
‘Il Partenopei’ are the defending champions, but those months of glory seem like a mirage from a distant past. The team comes with two wins in the last five games.
When:
Sunday, January 28th, noon ET at the Stadio Olimpico
Moneyline odds:
Draw Offs:
Where Can I Watch it?
Why Bet on Lazio?
The locals were one of the best teams in Italy last season, and although they never truly put Napoli’s lead in danger, they were still pretty consistent in second place. However, this year, the combination of a tricky Champions League group, the departure of Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, and the low level of their strikers took a toll on the team.
They come with ten wins, three draws, and seven losses. The same numbers as Atalanta, but with a much worse goal difference than the ‘Dea’ (+4). Taty Castellanos and Inmobile have been pretty poor this season, but they still have managed to pull the chestnuts out of the fire with goals coming from all over the squad, from midfielders to defenders.
They have been a nightmare for Napoli recently, beating them two times in a row at their home.
Why Bet on Napoli?
The defending champions have been poor lately, although they have the excuse that the schedule has been pretty punishing towards them in a fragile moment. Since early December, they have faced four teams from the top ten, losing against all of them. Now, in less than a month, they have to face Lazio, Milan, and Barcelona in the Champions League.
The future seems gloomy, and they are dark horses in the race for the top four at the moment. However, the great Napoli that terrorized Serie A not long ago is still there, as their only sensible loss in the summer was Kim Min-Jae.
They come with nine wins, four draws, and seven losses, three points from the fourth qualified (Fiorentina).
Final Betting Analysis: Lazio vs. Napoli
They have faced 41 times, with twelve wins for the Romans, twenty-one for the South Italians, and eight ties. It’s clear that there’s great paternity in favor of Napoli, but as we said before, Lazio has been a punisher for them as of late.
The matches between these two teams are pretty tense, and the fact that Mauricio Sarri managed Napoli in a bright age for the club adds spice. However, ‘Il Partenopei’ seems to have a mental block against powerful and on-form teams in Serie A, so they’ll lose again. We predict a 1-0 win for Lazio.
Go for a victory for the locals at 2.36. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $136 for a total payout of $236.
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