Miami Dolphins Betting Odds

Last Updated on October 7, 2025 2:01 pm by Allen

Team Overview

The Miami Dolphins enter 2025 emphasizing a significant culture shift under Mike McDaniel’s continued leadership. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa outlined changes in team dynamics, highlighting a more player-driven approach where leaders take greater responsibility for team success. The organization moved on from players who lacked commitment to team values, implementing what Tagovailoa described as “addition by subtraction”. Miami projects a 7-10 record with questions surrounding their ability to compete consistently against quality opponents. The Dolphins face substantial pressure to prove they can overcome their reputation for struggling in crucial moments, with much of their success dependent on Tagovailoa’s health and performance.

Offensive Line Analysis

Miami’s offensive line enters 2025 with significant question marks despite potential for major improvement. The unit’s success depends heavily on the health of Austin Jackson and James Daniels, both of whom have durability concerns. Rookie Patrick Paul must transition from his strong preseason performance into regular season success as he replaces veteran Terron Armstead at left tackle. The Dolphins also need rookie Jonah Savaiinaea to provide adequate production at guard. Miami’s offensive line struggles directly impact Tagovailoa’s effectiveness, as his injury history makes pass protection paramount to the team’s success.

Defensive Line Analysis

The Dolphins’ defensive line provides the foundation for an eighth-ranked EPA per play defense from 2024. Miami maintained most of their defensive front despite roster turnover in other areas, providing stability for coordinator play-calling. The unit features solid interior presence while managing depth concerns at multiple positions. The defensive line’s ability to generate consistent pressure without sacrificing run defense remains crucial to Miami’s overall defensive success. Questions exist about whether the current personnel can maintain their 2024 performance levels with the supporting cast changes around them.

2025 NFL Season

First Kickoff Game – vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Miami Dolphins fell 33-8 to the Indianapolis Colts in the season opener, struggling to gain momentum on offense while the Colts played a near-flawless game led by Daniel Jones’ three total touchdowns. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 114 yards with a late touchdown pass to De’Von Achane, but also committed three turnovers, while the team’s run game and receivers were mostly contained.

Key moments included Miami losing the turnover battle and getting hurt by big plays from the Colts, as well as injuries to starting guard James Daniels and cornerback Storm Duck, both sidelined for upcoming weeks. Miami managed only 211 total yards, falling short in both time of possession and defensive stops against a hot Colts offense.

Looking ahead to their Week 2 home opener against New England, Miami must focus on cleaning up mistakes, protecting Tagovailoa, and shoring up the offensive line to rebound and keep pace in a competitive AFC East.

Week 2 – vs. New England Patriots

Despite Tua Tagovailoa’s return to action, the Dolphins couldn’t hold onto late leads and fell to 0-2. The offense showed flashes with Washington’s explosive punt return and effective drives through the air, but critical defensive breakdowns proved costly. The Patriots’ special teams dominated, particularly Gibson’s game-winning return that shifted momentum permanently. Miami’s inability to stop New England’s comeback highlighted persistent defensive issues that have plagued them through two weeks.

Week 3 – vs. Buffalo Bills

The Miami Dolphins fell to 0-3 after their disappointing Thursday night loss to Buffalo Bills, continuing their struggles despite showing competitive fight. Tua Tagovailoa completed 23 of 34 passes for 146 yards with touchdowns to Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill, while rookie Ollie Gordon contributed a rushing touchdown. However, costly mistakes proved decisive, including a critical roughing the punter penalty by Zach Sieler that gave Buffalo crucial field position for their go-ahead score. The Dolphins’ inability to close out games has become a concerning pattern in their winless start.

Miami finds themselves in a deep hole at 0-3, a record that historically provides little hope for playoff contention – only four of 162 teams since 1990 have made the playoffs after starting 0-3. The Dolphins face mounting pressure to turn their season around quickly, with their offensive weapons in Waddle and Hill still capable of explosive plays but the team unable to put together complete performances. They’ll need to find solutions to their early-season struggles before their playoff hopes completely evaporate.

Week 4 – vs. New York Jets

Miami secured their first victory of the season with a 27-21 triumph over the New York Jets on Monday Night Football. The Dolphins controlled the game throughout, building leads of 3-0, 10-3, and 24-10 before holding off a late Jets rally. This marked the 10th consecutive time Miami has defeated New York at Hard Rock Stadium, continuing their dominance in the head-to-head series. The victory provided much-needed relief for a team that had struggled early in the season despite preseason expectations.

However, the win came at a cost as star receiver Tyreek Hill suffered a dislocated knee injury that could impact Miami’s offensive capabilities moving forward. The Dolphins travel to face the Carolina Panthers in Week 5, looking to build momentum from their breakthrough performance.

Week 5 – vs. Carolina Panthers

Despite racing to a 17-point lead, Miami crumbled 27-24 against the Carolina Panthers as the defense was gashed for over 200 rushing yards and Tyreek Hill was forced out for the season with an injury. Tua Tagovailoa managed 256 yards and three touchdowns, but the lack of explosive playmakers showed in the second half as late penalties killed a potential comeback.

Miami looks to stabilize in Week 6 against the Los Angeles Chargers, seeking answers for their run defense and searching for new offensive weapons to overcome Hill’s absence.

2025 NFL Season Preview

Miami opens against Indianapolis Colts in Week 1, beginning a season where they face all three division rivals in the first four weeks. The Dolphins’ early schedule provides an immediate test of their cultural changes and Tagovailoa’s leadership. Miami’s season hinges on avoiding the injury issues that derailed their 2024 campaign, particularly with key players like Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, and other injury-prone stars. The team’s new culture initiatives will face immediate scrutiny as they attempt to prove critics wrong about their ability to compete with quality opponents.

Odds to Win Division and Super Bowl

The Dolphins enter with +950 odds to win the AFC East, reflecting skepticism about their ability to compete with Buffalo. Miami’s Super Bowl odds sit at +8000, indicating little confidence in their championship potential. These odds reflect concerns about Tagovailoa’s injury history, the team’s struggles against quality opponents, and questions about roster depth. Many sportsbooks view Miami as a team with talent that consistently underperforms expectations.

2025 Predictions

Miami projects a 7-10 record, missing the playoffs for the second consecutive season. Tagovailoa faces a make-or-break season where failure to stay healthy and perform consistently could result in the team moving on from him in 2026. The Dolphins are predicted to show flashes of their potential but ultimately fall short due to injury concerns and inability to win crucial games. Success depends entirely on Tagovailoa’s health and the team’s ability to overcome their reputation for inconsistency.